Categories
Articles

Borders 10-K notes

Some information from the just-released Borders (BGP) 10-K.

* Achieved average sales per square foot of $228 and average sales per superstore of $5.6 million.
* International superstores, which operate under the Borders name, achieved average sales per square foot of $381 and average sales per superstore of $8.3 million in 2007.
* Waldenbooks Specialty Retail operates stores under the Waldenbooks, Borders Express and Borders Outlet names, as well as Borders-branded airport stores. Average sales per square foot were $277 and average sales per store were $1.1 million for 2007
* Borders leases all of its stores. Borders store leases generally have an average initial term of 15 to 20 years with multiple three- to five-year renewal options. At February 2, 2008, the average unexpired term under Borders existing store leases in the United States was 9.8 years prior to the exercise of any options. The expiration of Borders leases for stores open at February 2, 2008 are as follows:
* Waldenbooks Specialty Retail store leases generally have an initial term of five to 10 years, and in certain cases posses renewal terms of one to three years. At present, the average unexpired term under Waldenbooks Specialty Retail existing store leases is approximately 1.7 years.
* Borders has $92.2 million remaining on a share repurchase authorization but cannot repurchase them if borrowings under credit agreement exceed 90%.
* Borders Rewards has grown to over 25 million members.

Again, nothing earth shattering which is a nice disclosure sign.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

"Fast Money" for Tuesday


Tuesday’s Picks
Jeff Macke likes Citigroup (C) $22.51

Karen Finerman prefers Microsoft (MSFT) $28.06

Pete Najarian recommends Halliburton (HAL) $44.08

Guy Adami thinks Wachovia (WB) $25.55 is a buy with an extraordinarily tight stop.

Monday’s Results
Jeff Macke recommends making a list of names you like and buying the dips. He’s looking at Intel (INTC)$21.24 and Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.8 Close $55.15 GAIN

Guy Adami prefers Apple (AAPL) $147.14 around $145. Close $147.78 GAIN

Tim Seymour thinks the UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ProShares (EEV) $75.55 is a buy as a bet against the emerging markets. Close $75.85 GAIN

Jon Najarian recommends shorting eBay (EBAY) $30.98 Close $31.37 LOSS

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-3
Jeff Macke= 27-20-1
Tim Seymore= 15-10
Guy Adami= 26-24
Pete Najarian= 27-22
Karen Finerman= 20-24-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Lampert Ups Autozone (AZO) Stake

In a just released SEC filing Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman Eddie Lampert disclosed through his RBS and ESL hedge funds he has increased his AutoZone (AZO) holdings to 22.669 million shares. This is up from 22.2 million just last week. The purchases were made 4/9 and 4/10 at about $116 a share.

Lampert now holds 36% of the total outstanding

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long SHLD, None

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Monday’s Links

How bad, Ross, Porn, Cullen

– Could this pessimism be a sign of the bottom?

– If he is buying, downside from here is minimal

– OK, how does one stop this? Every been to DC? It is best to keep them inside watching their screens.

– James Cullen is a very smart man

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Monday's Links

How bad, Ross, Porn, Cullen

– Could this pessimism be a sign of the bottom?

– If he is buying, downside from here is minimal

– OK, how does one stop this? Every been to DC? It is best to keep them inside watching their screens.

– James Cullen is a very smart man

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

The Problem With "Guarantee’s"

Wachovia (WB) CEO G. Kennnedy Thompson said in January, “Will Wachovia cut its dividend? And the answer to that question is we have no plans to cut the dividend, because we don’t need to cut the dividend. We are confident in our ability to meet our 2008 business plan and that plan, as we have said before, will generate cash earnings that will cover our dividend payments, continue to build necessary credit reserves, improve our capital ratios and support growth in our business lines.”

They also said “Wachovia is expecting to earn “in excess” of a dollar per share each quarter for about $4.12 a share total in 2008.”

Today Thompson is learning the danger of making promises in turbulent markets much like GE’s (GE) Jeff Immelt did last week with his “in the bag” comments from a month ago…

Wachovia posted a net loss was $350 million or 20 cents per share. It compared with a year-earlier profit of $2.3 billion, or $1.20 per share. Excluding items, the loss was $270 million, or 14 cents per share vs an expected profit of 48 cents per share.

Revenue fell 5 percent to $7.9 billion, short of the average $8.37 billion estimate. Wachovia set aside $2.83 billion for credit losses, and its investment bank took $1.56 billion of write-downs. They finally cut the quarterly dividend 41 percent to 37.5 cents per share (6% yield) from 64 cents, preserving $2 billion of capital a year.

Investors buying today still get a nice fat yield and the chance that anything Thompson says will hold true. His reputation and job are hanging now. It is one thing to make an assumption that turns out not to be true, it is quite another to chastise those doubting you and make a guarantee based on that which is stunningly wrong.

Is Wachovia a good investment long term? Sure. The question that now remains is whether or not Thompson will be around to see that time. His purchase of Golden West looks worse each day despite his proclamations to the contrary and now the dividend cut despite his assurance he would not.

It is one thing to follow fellow banks Citigroup (C), Merrill Lynch (MER) and UBS (UBS) raising tens of billions of dollars from foreign and private equity investors, and last week Washington Mutual (WMU) getting cash from private equity form TPG. It is another to do do after laughing at those who said you would.

Not good at all G…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WB,C, None

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

The Problem With "Guarantee's"

Wachovia (WB) CEO G. Kennnedy Thompson said in January, “Will Wachovia cut its dividend? And the answer to that question is we have no plans to cut the dividend, because we don’t need to cut the dividend. We are confident in our ability to meet our 2008 business plan and that plan, as we have said before, will generate cash earnings that will cover our dividend payments, continue to build necessary credit reserves, improve our capital ratios and support growth in our business lines.”

They also said “Wachovia is expecting to earn “in excess” of a dollar per share each quarter for about $4.12 a share total in 2008.”

Today Thompson is learning the danger of making promises in turbulent markets much like GE’s (GE) Jeff Immelt did last week with his “in the bag” comments from a month ago…

Wachovia posted a net loss was $350 million or 20 cents per share. It compared with a year-earlier profit of $2.3 billion, or $1.20 per share. Excluding items, the loss was $270 million, or 14 cents per share vs an expected profit of 48 cents per share.

Revenue fell 5 percent to $7.9 billion, short of the average $8.37 billion estimate. Wachovia set aside $2.83 billion for credit losses, and its investment bank took $1.56 billion of write-downs. They finally cut the quarterly dividend 41 percent to 37.5 cents per share (6% yield) from 64 cents, preserving $2 billion of capital a year.

Investors buying today still get a nice fat yield and the chance that anything Thompson says will hold true. His reputation and job are hanging now. It is one thing to make an assumption that turns out not to be true, it is quite another to chastise those doubting you and make a guarantee based on that which is stunningly wrong.

Is Wachovia a good investment long term? Sure. The question that now remains is whether or not Thompson will be around to see that time. His purchase of Golden West looks worse each day despite his proclamations to the contrary and now the dividend cut despite his assurance he would not.

It is one thing to follow fellow banks Citigroup (C), Merrill Lynch (MER) and UBS (UBS) raising tens of billions of dollars from foreign and private equity investors, and last week Washington Mutual (WMU) getting cash from private equity form TPG. It is another to do do after laughing at those who said you would.

Not good at all G…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WB,C, None

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Are You Kidding? Circuit City (CC) and Blockbuster (BBI)?

When this was first emailed to me I thought the emailer was being a smart a#@. Turns out it is true. How? Why? Haven’t shareholders suffered enough? Why does management hate them so much?

Blockbuster (BBI) said it made a $1 to $1.3 billion cash offer in a Feb. 17 letter to Circuit City (CC) Chief Executive Philip Schoonover. They decided to go public with the offer Monday after Circuit City did not provide access to its books. (Read the letter.)

Circuit City said today of Blockbuster they had “reservations as to their ability to finance the offer.” Considering that as of January Blockbuster only had $184 million in cash on the books, they are only $1 to $1.12 billion short of the stated goal.

In the letter
Blockbuster CEO Jim Keyes said, “Given current debt market conditions, we believe most of the cash necessary would be generated through the issuance of additional Blockbuster equity, most probably in a rights offering to our existing shareholders. We believe they, and the market, will recognize the merits of this transaction and we are confident that we can raise the required equity. The borrowing capacity of the combined business would provide the remaining cash proceeds.”

They’ll have to essentially dilute shareholders to the max and then raid the credit line CC set up in February to fund the deal since banks are not loaning money for deals that make sense much less one that means a struggling retailer barely making a profit buying one that isn’t.

The larger issue is, what is Blockbuster trying to become? They have a valuable franchise in video if they would just realize the video store concept is officially dead. Adding more brick and mortar locations, diluting shareholders and maxing out the credit line to acquire another problem is a huge mistake.

Keyes said “The combination of Blockbuster and Circuit City will result in an $18 billion retail enterprise uniquely positioned for the convergence of media content and electronic devices. We would seek to differentiate products in both Blockbuster and Circuit City stores by offering exclusive content and content-enabled devices. Both companies would benefit from complementary products, marketing, management strengths, technology and distribution and the resulting synergies would significantly improve consolidated financial performance.”

He has mentioned this vision before but it has yet to be rolled out in Blockbuster locations, why bet the farm on a wholly unproven concept? He talks about “differentiating products” in both locations. That is confusing because I was not aware of any similarities currently. Let’s also be real honest here. Using the term “management’s strengths” and either Blockbuster or Circuit City in the same sentence is laughable unless it is preceded by “lack of”.

Now, were RadioShack (RSK) to make a run a CC, that would make sense. Borders (BGP) and Barnes and Noble (BKS) does. This doesn’t on any level.

Maybe Keyes is officially throwing on the towel in the war with Netflix (NFLX) and has decided to try a new direction?

Circuit City shareholders should jump at the price because they won’t see $6 to $8 a share anytime soon, this will destroy Blockbuster holders…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP, None

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Monday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades

AmericanWest Banc (AWBC)- DA Davidson Neutral » Buy $18
Northwest Airlines (NWA)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Delta Air Lines (DAL)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Seagate Tech (STX)- Caris & Company Average » Above Average
EuroBancshares (EUBK)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
SBA Comm (SBAC)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Crown Castle (CCI)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Diamond Offshore (DO)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Ross Stores (ROST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Atlas America (ATLS)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR)- Broadpoint Capital Underperform » Neutral
BP (BP)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Wright Medical (WMGI)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight

Downgrades

Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- Collins Stewart Buy » Hold
Seaspan (SSW)- Cantor Fitzgerald Buy » Hold
Ixia (XXIA)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Tollgrade (TLGD)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- BWS Financial Buy » Sell
General Electric (GE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Pinnacle (PNK)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Underweight
Garmin (GRMN)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
IdaCorp (IDA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Abercrombie (ANF)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ixia (XXIA)- JMP Securities Strong Buy » Mkt Outperform
Smith Intl (SII)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Cintas (CTAS)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Zoran (ZRAN)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Underperform
Total S.A. (TOT)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Valspar (VAL)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Johnson Controls (JCI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ensco (ESV)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
BlackRock (BLK)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Millennium Pharm (MLNM)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Red Robin Gourmet (RRGB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Hershey Foods (HSY)- Bernstein Mkt Perform » Underperform

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Monday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades

AmericanWest Banc (AWBC)- DA Davidson Neutral » Buy $18
Northwest Airlines (NWA)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Delta Air Lines (DAL)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Seagate Tech (STX)- Caris & Company Average » Above Average
EuroBancshares (EUBK)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
SBA Comm (SBAC)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Crown Castle (CCI)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Diamond Offshore (DO)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Ross Stores (ROST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Atlas America (ATLS)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR)- Broadpoint Capital Underperform » Neutral
BP (BP)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Wright Medical (WMGI)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight

Downgrades

Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- Collins Stewart Buy » Hold
Seaspan (SSW)- Cantor Fitzgerald Buy » Hold
Ixia (XXIA)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Tollgrade (TLGD)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- BWS Financial Buy » Sell
General Electric (GE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Pinnacle (PNK)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Underweight
Garmin (GRMN)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
IdaCorp (IDA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Abercrombie (ANF)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ixia (XXIA)- JMP Securities Strong Buy » Mkt Outperform
Smith Intl (SII)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Cintas (CTAS)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Zoran (ZRAN)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Underperform
Total S.A. (TOT)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Valspar (VAL)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Johnson Controls (JCI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ensco (ESV)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
BlackRock (BLK)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Millennium Pharm (MLNM)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Red Robin Gourmet (RRGB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Hershey Foods (HSY)- Bernstein Mkt Perform » Underperform

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

"Fast Money" for Monday


Monday’s Picks
Jeff Macke recommends making a list of names you like and buying the dips. He’s looking at Intel (INTC)$21.24 and Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.8

Guy Adami prefers Apple (AAPL) $147.14 around $145.

Tim Seymour thinks the UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ProShares
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEV) $75.55 is a buy as a bet against the emerging markets.

Jon Najarian recommends shorting eBay (EBAY) $30.98

Friday’s Results
Jeff Macke recommends Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.66 on a dip. Close $54.80 GAIN

Guy Adami prefers Cephalon (CEPH) $64.89. Close $63.15 LOSS

Tim Seymour likes ConocoPhillips (COP) $79.32 Close $78.54 LOSS

Jon Najarian thinks Cameco (CCJ) $37.42 is a buy. Close $36.74

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-2
Jeff Macke= 26-20-1
Tim Seymore= 14-10
Guy Adami= 25-24
Pete Najarian= 27-22
Karen Finerman= 20-24-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Wilbur Ross on SubPrime (video)

Wilbur says watch out for regional banks.

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

The Week’s Insider Buys


Amount of insider purchases:
Crocs Inc (CROX)= $4,988,274
Integramed America Inc (INMD)= $4,821,795
Granahan Mccourt Acquisition Corp (GHN)= $4,466,250
Xcorporeal Inc New (XCR)= $ 2,774,000
Allied Nevada Gold Corp (ANV)= $2,772,424
Titanium Metals Corp (TIE)= $1,938,842
Hillenbrand Inc (HI)= $ 1,742,936
Liberty Global Inc (LBTYA)= $842,383
Philip Morris International Inc ( PM)= $ 805,493

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

The Week's Insider Buys


Amount of insider purchases:
Crocs Inc (CROX)= $4,988,274
Integramed America Inc (INMD)= $4,821,795
Granahan Mccourt Acquisition Corp (GHN)= $4,466,250
Xcorporeal Inc New (XCR)= $ 2,774,000
Allied Nevada Gold Corp (ANV)= $2,772,424
Titanium Metals Corp (TIE)= $1,938,842
Hillenbrand Inc (HI)= $ 1,742,936
Liberty Global Inc (LBTYA)= $842,383
Philip Morris International Inc ( PM)= $ 805,493

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

Borders 8-K Filed

Some interesting notes from Borders (BGP) 8-K filed last night.

* Management as a group own 1.103 million shares making them a the 5th largest holder behind Citadels LP’s 3 million shares. Pershing is by far #1, Dremen Management is #2, and Deutsche Bank (DB)is #3.

* Most executive officers of the Company had received minimal or no bonus for the last three years.

Regarding Pershing and International Operations:

“The Purchase Offer Option is a backstop purchase offer that will give the Company the right, but not the obligation, until January 15, 2009, to require Pershing Square to purchase the Company’s Paperchase, Australia, New Zealand and Singapore subsidiaries, as well as its approximately 17% interest in Bookshop Acquisitions, Inc. (Borders U.K.) (collectively, the “Subject Companies”). Pershing Square’s purchase offer is at a price of $135,000,000 (subject to adjustment for indebtedness for borrowed money of the subject businesses and the after-tax benefit of cash remaining with the Subject Companies). Although the company believes that these businesses are worth substantially more than the backstop purchase offer price, the relative certainty of this arrangement provides the company with valuable flexibility to pursue strategic alternatives. Proceeds to the Company of any such purchase by Pershing Square would be first applied to repay amounts outstanding under the Term Loan Facility.

The Company may sell all of the foregoing businesses or may elect to sell only Paperchase and the Company’s interest in Bookshop Acquisitions (collectively, the “UK Business”) alone or together with the Company’s Singapore business. In the event of such election, the purchase price for the UK Business will be $65,000,000, or $67,500,000 for the UK Business and the Company’s business in Singapore (in each case, subject to adjustment).”

“Pershing Square has agreed not to interfere with the sale of the Subject Businesses to third parties until the acceptance of the Purchase Offer by the Company, and has agreed not to contact any potential alternative buyers, with whom the Company or any of its representatives are then in discussions with prior to December 15, 2008 (or until January 15, 2009 if the Company is then party to a definitive agreement for the sale of all Subject Businesses not yet sold).”

” The Company has retained the right, in its sole discretion, to forego selling some or all of the Subject Companies to any party, to sell some or all of the Subject Companies to one or more third parties, or to require Pershing Square to consummate the purchase transaction. Pershing Square has no right of first refusal or breakup fee or other preemptive right with respect to the sale of the Subject Companies by the Company to other parties.”

Regarding the Warrent to Pershing:

“The Warrants are freely transferable, subject to securities law restrictions, except the Side Letter provides that Pershing Square may not transfer (other than internally among its affiliates) any Warrants until January 1, 2009 or the earlier public announcement of the entry into a definitive agreement with respect to (or the completion of) a change of control or other extraordinary transaction involving the Company to which Pershing Square is not a party. In addition, Pershing Square has agreed not to sell or transfer any of its shares of the Company’s common stock until such time.”

No real bombshells here which is nice because it means Borders is doing a nice job disclosing relevant information to shareholders as it become available.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP,

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.