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Articles

Wednesday’s Upgrades and Downgrades

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 13, 2008

Upgrades
Veeco Instruments (VECO)- AmTech Research Neutral » Buy
Lubrizol (LZ)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Buy » Aggressive Buy
Medcath (MDTH)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Time Warner (TWX)- UBS Neutral » Buy
Schlumberger (SLB)- Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform
Liberty Media Capital (LCAPA)- Lehman Brothers Equal-weight » Overweight
Eldorado Gold (EGO)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Weatherford (WFT)- UBS Neutral » Buy

Downgrades
Hypercom (HYC)- Morgan Keegan Outperform » Mkt Perform
Brandywine Realty (BDN)- Stifel Nicolaus Hold » Sell
MBIA Inc (MBI)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
INX Inc. (INXI)- Brean Murray Buy » Hold
Watts Ind (WTS)- Morgan Joseph Buy » Hold
Winn-Dixie Stores (WINN)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
Thomas & Betts (TNB)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
MasTec (MTZ)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
Dycom (DY)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
PNM Resources (PNM )- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Willis Group (WSH)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
American Intl (AIG)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
SAFECO (SAF)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
PNM Resources (PNM)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Unilever PLC (UL)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Andersons (ANDE)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Baker Hughes (BHI)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Smith Intl (SII)- UBS Buy » Neutral

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Articles

Leucadia Still Buying AmeriCredit Shares

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

Leucadia (LUK), in an SEC filing Tuesday night disclose it had purchased more shares in AmeriCredit (ACF)

On Feb 8th, 7,800 shares were purchased at $13 a share.

On Feb. 11th, 37,797 shares were purchased at $12.99 a share.

Leucadia and its affiliates now own 25,633,373 shares or 22.5% of the total outstanding.

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Articles

"Fast Money" for Wednesday

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

Wednesday’s Picks
jeff Macke likes Wal-Mart (WMT) $50.25

Guy Adami recommends Intel (INTC) $20.90

Karen Finerman prefers Microsoft (MSFT) $28.34

Pete Najarian thinks Cisco (CSCO) $23.43 is a buy as a wireless infrastructure play.

Tuesday’s Results
Jeff Macke likes Yahoo! (YHOO) $29.87 Close $29.57 LOSS

Guy Adami prefers Merck (MRK) $45.31 Close $46.53 GAIN

Tim Seymour recommends Tesoro (TSO) $37.06 Close $36.59 LOSS

Pete Najarian thinks Allegheny Technology (ATI) $80.71 is a buy on any pullback. Close $79.12 LOSS

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-1
Jeff Macke= 8-8
Tim Seymore= 2-4
Guy Adami= 9-11
Pete Najarian= 9-8
Karen Finerman= 8-9-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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Articles

StockMaster’s Quant Pick Available

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

The StockMaster’s have a new “Quant Method Newsletter” pick available at Wall St. Newsletters.

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Articles

52 Week Low’s 2/12

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

(OVEN)- Turbochef Technologie …
(NXTM)- Nxstage Medical Inc
(NURO )- Neurometrix Inc
(NT )- Nortel Networks Corp New
(NHWK)- Nighthawk Radiology H …
(ARUN )- Aruba Networks Inc
(AMAB )- Americasbank Corp
(ALLT )- Allot Communications Ltd
(AHC )- A H Belo Corp
(CPI)- Capital Properties, Inc
(CMN )- Cantel Industries Inc
(CIOU )- Asia Special Sit Acqs …
(CCZ )- Comcast Holdings Corp
(BRO )- Brown & Brown Inc

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Articles

Ackman on Bond Insurers

A profile on CNBC on Ackman and his trades in MBIA (MBI) and Ambac (ABK)

Also discussed in his positions in Borders (BGP), Target (TGT), Sears (SHLD) and Wendy’s (WEN).

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long SHLD

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Tags ackman, bgp

Articles

Tuesday’s Links

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

Lizdon, Starbucks, Apple’s iPhone, Microsoft & Yahoo

– He is right, it would appear these folks were the LAST to know this

– Interesting. Not because Starbucks is silent but for the fact I have not seen this anywhere else.

– Will they make the 10 million unit sales?

– I have no opinion on this but this is a good one

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Tags sbux

Articles

Buffett’s Bailout? Uh… No

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

Do people really think Berkshires Hathaway’s (BRK.A) is really “helping” the bond insurers? Really?

Buffett offered to insure $800 billion of municipal bonds held by the major insurers such as Ambac (ABK) and MBIA (MBI). Problem with that is based on results to date, that seems to be the only part of the insurers portfolio not falling apart. While the move would improve the “guarantee” offered by both companies, it would then leave them holding a collection of failing loans. Buffett is essentially offering to insure the only part of their portfolio not at risk. How is this helping them? In all reality, this would end up being a drain on their liquidity.

The only person other than Berkshire shareholders and Buffett hoping they take the bait on this is probably Pershing’s Bill Ackman. Once the only stable part of their portfolio now pledged to Buffett, Ackman’s prediction of failure for the insurers is as close to a sure thing in investing as one could get…..

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Tags ackman, buffett

Articles

Sherwin Williams Continues Earnings Diversification

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

While the market may lump Sherwin Williams (SHW) in with the other “housing stocks” both today’s news and their earnings for the past year suggest otherwise…

Can anyone name a “housing stock” that saw earnings in 2007 grow double digits and project further earnings increases in 2008? Industries with huge housing exposure from builders, banks, chemical makers, wall board suppliers, insulation makers, mortgage companies all saw earnings decimated in 2007 and 2008’s outlook is spotty at best.

Who has bucked the trend? Sherwin Williams. Why? The US housing market is not the overwhelming driver of earnings at the company, despite what the market thinks.

In the past year, Sherwin-Williams has acquired paint and coatings companies in India, Uruguay and Mexico. As of Monday you can add Asia to the list.

Sherwin announced that it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire the Liquid Coatings Subsidiaries of Inchem Holdings of Inchem Holdings International Limited headquartered in Singapore. Terms were not released.

Inchem produces coatings applied to wood and plastic products in Asia. These waterborne, solvent-based, and ultraviolet (UV) curable coatings are applied to furniture, cabinets, flooring, and electronic products that are manufactured both for export as well as domestic sale. The coatings are made and sold in China, Vietnam and Malaysia, and distributed to 15 other countries throughout Asia.

CEO Christopher M. Connor said “this acquisition reaffirms our commitment to growing globally through organic growth accelerated by strategically important acquisitions. We are pleased to bring Inchem, a well respected company throughout Asia, it’s plants in China, Vietnam, and Malaysia, and most importantly its people into the Sherwin-Williams family.”

George E. Heath, President and General Manager of Sherwin-Williams Chemical Coatings Division, stated, “we continue to strengthen our growing global platform to better serve the needs of manufacturers in North America and Asia. Inchem supports this mission with great plants, products, and people throughout Southeast Asia.”

Many folks are advising to “wait” before buying shares in Sherwin. Here is the problem with that. My fear is that those who wait will find themselves wishing they had not as Sherwin becomes an enticing buyout prospect daily for a large buyer like a Dow Chemical (DOW) who could easily swallow the company. With only a $6.6 billion market cap, Sherwin is very easily digestible. Sorry James 🙂

Every few months Sherwin does a deal that further shrinks its exposure to the US housing market. Monday’s news is just another example.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Long Sherwin, Dow

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Tags dow

Articles

The WSJ’s Infomercial for Circuit City

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

What is god’s name is going on at The Journal? I just finished reading an “interview” with Circuit City’s (CC) CEO Philip Schoonover that was, sad. It reads like it was a press release from the company.

Let’s just put aside Schoonover’s destruction of 80% of the companies value in under two years. First things first, here is the “interview”.

This could only have been a “email me the questions and I will send you answers”. There was no follow-up. It was a series of questions with wholly accepted answers. They actually went as far as to print this:

Now, am I the only one who notices that when Schoonover took over the company’s stock price was at a near decade high? The year prior to Schoonover taking over the company made 31 cents a share and this year losses ought to exceed $2 a share. How is he engineering a turnaround?

Why is he even being spoken to about this subject? Can anyone anywhere show me any evidence of ANY turnaround?

Even in his “5 Tips” above, current actions totally contradict them.

Was Schoonover “listening to employees” (Rule #1) when he fired thousands of high priced but experience ones? The very employees it should be noted they are begging to return due to the precipitous drop in customer satisfaction in the stores?

Circuit City recently approved cash retention bonuses for current executives when it became apparent the current bonus plan was worthless due to the plummet in the stock price. Maybe that would have to perfect time to “refresh management” (Tip #2) and save shareholders several million dollars?

Rule #3, “Embrace Your Heritage” seems more than a little bit the polar opposite of the new “The City” concept being rolled out currently which is simply a reinvention of Radioshack’s (RSH) wheel.

Rule #4, “Protect the Future” actually made me chuckle because at the rate Schoonover is going, the only thing in the company’s “future” is a Chapter 11 filing. The guy does make me laugh.

I will give Schoonover credit for following Rule #5, “Stay the course”. I have seen no evidence that Circuit City has any chance rebounding from its current downward spiral.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Pity for shareholders (those who are left)

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Tags CC

Articles

Whitney Tilson on Sears Holdings

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

“What you have (in Sears Holdings (SHLD)) is a collection of brands and assets”, Whitney Tilson. Amen Whitney.. Watch the video..

Here is the video from last week I referenced in yesterday’s post.

Disclosure (“none” means no position): Long Sears, Fan of Whitney’s

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Tags SHLD

Articles

Tuesday’s Upgrades and Downgrades

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 12, 2008

Upgrades
Spirit Aerosystems (SPR)- Cowen & Co Neutral » Outperform
Adolor (ADLR)- Cowen & Co Neutral » Outperform
Vistaprint (VPRT)- Stifel Nicolaus Hold » Buy
China Petroleum (Sinopec) (SNP)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Discovery Labs (DSCO)- Brean Murray Hold » Buy
Lindsay Manu (LNN)- Rodman & Renshaw Mkt Underperform » Mkt Perform
Northeast Utilities (NU)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Napster (NAPS)- Bear Stearns Underperform » Outperform
SRA Intl (SRX)- UBS Sell » Neutral
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)- UBS Neutral » Buy
General Maritime (GMR)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Frontline (FRO)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral

Downgrades
Neah Power (NPWS)- Jesup & Lamont Buy » Neutral
Centene (CNC)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
NeuroMetrix (NURO)- Punk, Ziegel & Co Accumulate » Sell
Darden Restaurants (DRI)- MKM Partners Buy » Neutral
NeuroMetrix (NURO)- Stanford Research Buy » Hold
Brown & Brown (BRO)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Baldwin & Lyons (BWINB)- Morgan Keegan Outperform » Mkt Perform
Capital Corp. of the West (CCOW)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Granite Constr (GVA)- BB&T Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Microsoft (MSFT)- RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
Level 3 (LVLT)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Centene (CNC)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
BT Group PLC (BT)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Underperform
FirstMerit Corp (FMER)- Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform
Independent Bank (IBCP)- Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform
CBL & Assoc (CBL)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Castle Brands (ROX )- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
UTI Worldwide (UTIW)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
Telecom Italia (TI)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Unilever PLC (UL)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Tsakos Energy (TNP)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Arlington Tankers (ATB)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
WW Grainger (GWW)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
American Express (AXP)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Articles

"Fast Money" for Tuesday

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 11, 2008

Tuesday’s Picks
Jeff Macke likes Yahoo! (YHOO) $29.87

Guy Adami prefers Merck (MRK0 $45.31

Tim Seymour recommends Tesoro (TSO) $37.06

Pete Najarian thinks Allegheny Technology (ATI) $80.71 is a buy on any pullback.

Monday’s Results
Jeff Macke likes Microsoft (MSFT) $28.56 Close $28.21 LOSS

Guy Adami prefers Trinity Industries (TRN) $29.54 Close $29.48 LOSS

Karen Finerman is sticking with Crocs (CROX) $31.99 into earnings. Close $32.00 GAIN

Pete Najarian says CNET Networks (CNET) $8.29 is a buy on options action. Close $8.00 LOSS

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-1
Jeff Macke= 8-7
Tim Seymore= 2-3
Guy Adami= 8-11
Pete Najarian= 9-7
Karen Finerman= 8-9-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Articles

52 Week Low’s 2/11

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 11, 2008

(UBS)- UBS Ag
(UAM )- Universal American Fi …
(TVHU )- Media & Entmt Holding …
(TOD )- Todd Shipyards Corpor …
(SNY )- Sanofi Aventis
(SLRY)- Salary Com Inc
(SLE )- Sara Lee Corporation
(SDXC )- Switch & Data Facilit …
(RDY )- Dr. Reddy’s Labs, Ltd.
(MENT)- Mentor Graphics Corpo …
(MEND )- Micrus Endovascular Corp
(LPNT )- Lifepoint Hospitals Inc
(LDIS )- Leadis Technology Inc
(HSTX )- Harris Stratex Ntwrks Inc
(HMG )- HMG/Courtland Propert …
(HBC )- HSBC Hldgs Plc
(GTN )- Gray Television Inc
(ALL )- The Allstate Corporation
(AIG )- American Internationa …
(AHS )- Amn Healthcare Servic …
(AEG )- AEGON N.V.
(ABVA )- Alliance Bankshares Corp

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Monday’s Links

Post author By ToddSullivan
Post date February 11, 2008

Timing, Bills, Hockey, Flashback 20 years

– Were have we seen this story before?

– Please Ralph, sell the team to Tom

– Great story about sports and business

– What trading was like 20 tears ago

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