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Verizon Finally Unveils It’s iPhone Competition

We think it’ll be the best phone … this year. It will kill the iPhone,” Verizon (VZ) Wireless Chief Marketing Officer Mike Lanman said in an interview.

The Voyager, made by LG Electronics, beats the iPhone by offering faster wireless Web access. But to compete with the iPhone, which is only available to AT&T (T) subscribers, it has a large touch screen and full Web browser.

It also unveiled another LG phone, the Venus, made in black and pink, which has a phone keypad that slides out from under a touch screen. As with Voyager, it vibrates when a user taps a menu option on the screen.

Both phones have 2-megapixel cameras, and high-speed wireless connections for fast music and video downloads, and a slot for 8 gigabytes of extra memory. The iPhone has 8 gigabytes of built-in storage. Pricing was not detailed but Verizon said the phones would range from under $100 to about $400 vs. the iPhone’s $399 price tag.

Venus and Voyager both have 2-megapixel cameras, and high-speed wireless connections for fast music and video downloads, and a slot for 8 gigabytes of extra memory. The iPhone has 8 gigabytes of built-in storage. Photos are below

I don’t know that either of these are going to “kill” the iPhone but one thing is sure, now that Verizon users have an option, they will be far less likely to defect from the better network to jump to AT&T for the iPhone. I think a more likely word that should be used here is “iPhone equalizer?” The iPhone may a better product but the far superior Verizon network compared to AT&T and the lower cost of Verizon’s phones will give potential iPhone buyers serious pause.

It comes at a time when Apple is behind its own sales goal and iPhone users, so disenchanted by the AT&T network are hacking the phones to free them from it. Apple has responded by destroying those phones and lawsuits are in the process of hitting the courts for that action. All in all, while these phones will not destroy the iPhone, I think they will make Jobs actually realized what a cut throat industry he has jumped into.

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ADM Going Shopping?

For a while I have been saying that the ethanol industry is due for consolidation and it seems that the largest producer of it in the US, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) agrees.

ADM’s Chief Financial Officer Doug Schmalz said Tuesday the corn and soy bean processing giant would consider buying ethanol plants now that lower prices for the fuel have been preassuring production margins. “In general, we’ll look at all opportunitites including acquisitons,” Schmalz said at the Citi Biofuels Conference.

“We have to have properties that will fit within our network. Some plants just wouldn’t fit; others might. We’ll analyze that as they become available.”

This is where it gets real fun. We get to speculate as to what may happen. ADM will not be picking up the mom and pop ethanol collaboratives that have sprung up in recent years. When you will be producing 1.5 billion gallons of ethanol by the end of next year, picking up a 20 million gallon a year plant is a waste of your time.

That being said, when companies like Verasun (VSE) and Pacific Ethanol(PEIX) both trading a 52 week lows, the time to pick one of them up is perfect. Verasun would give ADM another 500 mgpy of production and access to an E85 infrastructure and partnerships with auto makers. Pacific Ethanol would give ADM another 300 mgpy and instant access to the potentially largest ethanol market in the US, California.

Pacific Ethanol has a market cap of $350 million and Verasun’s is $810 million so either would easily be digestible for the $21 billion ADM.

There has been way too much coming from ADM recently about expansion plans via partnerships or purchases for something not to be either in the works already or about to be. ADM, as I have said before is probably the quietest company out there. For them to actually be talking means something, most likely something very big is about to happen.

Investors have watched the stock drift for most of 2007 and I have repeatedly said to be patient and hold on (I am holding on to my shares with you). Continue to do so and by this time next year, we’ll be laughing at those who did not.

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"Fast Money" for Friday

No Picks for Friday

Thursday’s Results

Jeff Macke recommends selling KB Homes (KBH). Open $28.72 Close $28.10 LOSS

Karen Finerman prefers BEA Systems (BEAS). Open $13.94 Close $13.91 LOSS

Pete Najarian likes Apple (AAPL) . Open $157.92 Close $156.24 LOSS

Since my tracking began on 6/21 (1-1 means one up pick and one down pick and no results from my vacation weeks). The percentage is the percentage of successful picks

Guy Adami= 29-19 = 59%
Eric Bolling= 10-11 = 48%
John Najarian= 13-3 = 81%
Jeff Macke= 35-25 = 57%
Pete Najarian= 22-19 = 52%
Tim Seymore= 3-2 = 60%
Karen Finerman= 14-8 = 63%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 2-0 = 100%

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Thursday’s 52 Week lows

USBE US Bioenergy Corp 6.93
CMRG Casual Male Retail Gr … 8.69
CLDN Celadon Group Inc 10.58
CHIC Charlotte Russe Hldg Inc 14.19
CALC California Coastal Cm … 11.65
BSET Bassett Furniture Ind … 10.00
BIOF Biofuel Energy Corp 4.29
USAK USA Truck Inc 14.99
TXCC TranSwitch Corporation 1.05
TMTA Transm GGC Georgia Gulf Corporation 13.15
GEE Global Entmt Corp 4.45
FMP Feldman Mall Pptys Inc 7.04
FFFD North Central Bancsha … 38.00
FBMS First Bancshares Inc Ms 21.14
TAP Molson Coors Brewing Co 49.98
SPOR Sport-Haley Inc 3.18
MGPI Mgp Ingredients Inc 9.59
MFBC MFB Corp 29.56

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Thursday’s Links

iPhone, Pay for College, RI’s AG, Burden of proof

– Here is a great post that details how Apple (APPL)has become what it once mocked and detested

– Here is a great article on paying for college costs. If you have this coming down the road, please read it.

– Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch is up to his games again.

– Lead Paint lawsuits, if victorious would all but eliminate the “burden of proof”

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Google vs. AT&T and Verizon

“We don’t believe in a world where you have to give everything away for free.” AT&T (T) Mobility’s Mark Collins, vice-president for consumer data. Thus is the reason a Google (GOOG) phone, if it ever happens, will crush the competition.

Unlike Apple’s (APPL) iPhone that set people back an hefty penny, a Google phone that is either free or placed on a network for peanuts will have user flock to it. While many people did not make the shift to AT$T following the iPhone launch due to carrier cancellation charges, a free service would eliminate that consideration as the fee would be saved after only a month or two of service.

While the big carriers (AT&T, Verizon (VZ) and Sprint (S)) may not believe in giving anything away, that’s precisely what Google believes and is wildly successful doing. Even without a network, Google can connect mobile advertisers with users based on information from its search engine and maps just as it has done on the desktop. From a customer using Google search, for example, an advertiser learns they are at the corner bakery in the center of town and it learns the person has a taste for sweets. Wireless carriers have customer information as well, but they are not a data warehouse, and do not use it the way Google does.

Google has been rumored to be bidding the $4.6 billion that may be needed to win a spectrum auction. If it does and wins, there are a few option options: continue its broadband expansion, or perhaps buy a wireless carrier, such as the listless Sprint (S). A purchase of Sprint would allow it to launch the first free ad supported nationwide phone service.

Going this route would be very expensive but Google has the pockets to absorb the initial revenue disruption transferring the revenue structure. Long term, it would be a winner as the flood of new subscribers would eventually more than compensate for the early losses that would be inevitable. How long would the program take to start? How about immediately. On Sept. 17, Google announced a Web program aimed at advertisers who have created sites for display on cell phones. Like its online ad network, Google’s AdSense for Mobile delivers ads relevant to the advertiser’s mobile audience.

I love my blackberry, hate my carrier (Sprint) and personally would do a dance were Google to purchase them. Google has still kept it’s soul (unlike Apple) and like everything else they have done, the Google Sprint combo would end up being great.

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Altria’s Supreme Court Ruling: A Non-Event

Normally a loss before the Supreme Court for tobacco companies like Altria (MO) would be catastrophic, this time however it means nothing.

On Monday Altra issued the following statement:

“Today’s United States Supreme Court decision not to review the Engle decision at this time is not a decision on the merits of the case, but rather was based on the current procedural posture of the case, and does not preclude Supreme Court review at a later stage in the litigation once some individual cases are tried, according to William S. Ohlemeyer, Philip Morris USA vice president and associate general counsel.

Philip Morris USA will offer a vigorous defense against any former Engle class member who elects to bring an individual suit against the company. The company expects to have additional appellate options if any of those individual cases are tried, including a renewed request for review by the nation’s highest court.

“Each plaintiff who files suit still must prove liability on the part of the defendants including, among other things, that the use of a particular company’s cigarettes caused their illness and that the company’s conduct prevented them from making an informed choice to smoke,” Ohlemeyer said.

Last July, the Florida Supreme Court decertified the Engle class and reversed the state court jury’s award of $145 billion in punitive damages because, as a matter of law, the class certification and award were improper and excessive. However, the court gave former class members one year to file separate individual lawsuits against the defendants in the Engle case and preserved certain findings from the Engle class action trial.

“Some Florida plaintiffs’ attorneys, in advertising for clients, gave the false impression that former Engle class members need only file a lawsuit to collect damages. Nothing could be further from the truth.”

“Philip Morris USA intends to defend any and all such cases that may be filed. Each case will require an inquiry into whether those filing lawsuits are actually members of the former Engle class and a detailed examination of the facts behind each individual claim,” Ohlemeyer said.”

Simply put the curt decoded not to review it NOW, but still may do so later. In other words, they said “come back next year.”

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Thursday’s Upgrades and Downgrades

Here are the recent calls

UPGRADES

Fresenius Medical FMS Stanford Research Sell » Hold
DaVita DVA Stanford Research Sell » Hold
SYMYX Tech SMMX Nollenberger Capital Neutral » Buy
Temple-Inland TIN Lehman Brothers Equal-weight » Overweight
Orexigen Therapeutics OREX JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Strong Buy
Kaiser Alum KALU Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform
Green Mtn Coffee GMCR Piper Jaffray Market Perform » Outperform
Kinross Gold KGC RBC Capital Mkts Sector Perform » Outperform
General Motors GM Banc of America Sec Sell » Neutral
Charles River CRL UBS Neutral » Buy
Central European Dist CEDC Broadpoint Capital Neutral » Buy

DOWNGRADES

Cree CREE Canaccord Adams Hold » Sell
Gamestop GME Citigroup Buy » Hold
Petrobras Brasileiro PBR Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
Comp Vale Do Rio RIO JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Pepsi Bottling PBG Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
American Financial Realty Trust AFR Stifel Nicolaus Hold » Sell
Ultimate Software ULTI Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Capella Education CPLA BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Ceragon CRNT Collins Stewart Buy » Underperform
Dreamworks Animation DWA Pali Research Buy » Neutral
Toronto-Dominion Bank TD CIBC Wrld Mkts Sector Outperform » Sector Perform
Molex MOLX Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Covance CVD Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
Navteq NVT Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Parker-Hannifin PH UBS Neutral » Sell

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"Fast Money" for Thursday

Thursday’s Picks

Jeff Macke recommended selling KB Homes (KBH). Open $28.72

Karen Finerman preferred BEA Systems (BEAS). Open $13.94

Pete Najarian liked Apple (AAPL) . Open $157.92

Wednesday’s Picks

Jeff Macke liked Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Open $66.04 Close $66.10 GAIN

Guy Adami recommended Dean Foods (DF). Open $26.41 Close $26.08 LOSS

Karen Finerman preferred Kohl’s (KSS). Open $58.63 Close $60.02 GAIN

Pete Najarian thought PDL BioPharma (PDLI) is going higher. Open $23.24 Close $23.52 GAIN

Since my tracking began on 6/21 (1-1 means one up pick and one down pick and no results from my vacation weeks). The percentage is the percentage of successful picks

Guy Adami= 29-19 = 59%
Eric Bolling= 10-11 = 48%
John Najarian= 13-3 = 81%
Jeff Macke= 35-24 = 59%
Pete Najarian= 22-18 = 54%
Tim Seymore= 3-2 = 60%
Karen Finerman= 14-7 = 66%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 2-0 = 100%

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Ackman Buying Sears Holding Shares

Good news for Sears Holdings shareholders.

At a charity event in Dallas yesterday William Ackman, the owner of activist hedge fund Pershing Square Capital, told the audience that he owns a 5 million share (3.5%) stake in Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD) . Unlike Ackman’s large stake in Target (TGT) in which he pushed for a sale of companies the credit card unit, Ackman said was thrilled with the efforts of Sears’ Chairman Eddie Lampert and was looking forward to working with him.

The two have a history as last year, Ackman won a battle against Lampert’s Sears Holdings in the $899 million attempted takeover of Sears Canada. Ackman successfully argued that Sears Canada was worth at least twice what Lampert offered and Lampert was only able to purchase 70% of the company.

Ackman must be planning on being a partner with Lampert. The reason? Lampert at this point must own over 50% of the outstanding shares depending on how much of the $1.5 billion buyback the company completed in the last quarter.

If nothing else, this illustrates the potential in the shares that at $138 a share are vastly undervalued. Sears has been trading in sympathy with both the homebuilders and the financials (Sears is a quazi hedge fund with Lampert’s ability to invest its cash at his discretion) lately and both those sectors have been hit hard. Now that they are rebounding, expect that and the Ackman news to push shares higher.

I have said it before and it bears repeating, if you are buying shares in a company and you have people like Ackman and Lampert buying shares in the open market with you, you have to feel very comfortable with your decision.

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Wednesday’s 52 Week Lows

KG King Pharmaceuticals Inc 11.36
JCI Johnson Controls, Inc 39.39
ISLN Isilon Sys Inc 7.07
IPII Imperial Inds Inc 5.19
HDL Handleman Company 2.69
CLDN Celadon Group Inc 11.02
BYFC Broadway Financial Co … 8.90
BIOF Biofuel Energy Corp 4.81
WSTG Wayside Technology Gr … 12.92
WSOB Watsco 44.40
TMTA Transmeta Corp Del 5.50

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Starbucks Greatest Threat

It really doesn’t matter what management says at this point as their track record in the issue is spotty at best. It isn’t rising coffee, dairy prices or the likely event that 1 billion Chinese tea drinkers will not instantly convert to coffee. It is a red headed guy in a funny suit.

McDonald’s(MCD), after test marketing cappuccinos and iced coffee in various markets, is ready to begin rolling out a makeover of all its U.S. restaurants by 2009 to feature specialty beverages such as coffee drinks, smoothies, energy drinks, and other bottled beverages. It is estimated the move will result in an additional $1 billion in sales for the company.

Selling specialty drinks is the final piece of a vast beverage plan that has taken direct aim at Starbucks (SBUX). In the last few years, the two companies have tried to cut into each other’s core businesses, with Starbucks thus far unsuccessfully adding breakfast sandwiches and McDonald’s selling premium coffee. The strategy has worked for McDonald’s, whose coffee sales have risen 15% since the upgrade last year and has spent the past year testing iced coffee, mochas and cappuccinos in various parts of the country.

In test markets including California, Georgia, Michigan and Texas, specialty coffee has increased customer traffic by 44% a week. Most importantly, the initial tests show the new plan doesn’t require more employees or slow down service. This is again contrary to Starbucks sandwich results in which the additional was fraught with production problems and customer complaints of even further deterioration of service times.

McDonald’s plans to equip 1,500 restaurants to sell the new drinks by the end of 2007, with the rest completed by late 2008. Specialty beverages such as lattes have much higher profit margins than sandwiches. Sales in this new beverage category could rise by 90% in the next five years.

The billion dollars a year in sales are not going to be created out of thin air. They are going to be at the expense of Starbucks and other coffee chains. Obviously it will not be a dollar for dollar offset, but for a company planning to grow 18% a year to have a 13,000 store behemoth selling your products for far more affordable prices, one has to wonder where that growth is going to come from?

One thing is for sure, don’t look to management for a straight answer.

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Wednesday’s Links

Women, Reuters & Blogs, Size Matters, Mississippi

– All females need to read this.

– Just to underscore the growing importance of blogs as major news media looks to lock them up for themselves.

– The case for mega-cap companies today.

– What happens when you stop becoming the preferred area for lawsuits in the country?

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ADP Jobs Report: Perfect

For those hoping for another Fed rate cut but not a recession, today’s ADP Jobs number was just what you wanted.

The report, compiled by forecasting firm Macroeconomic Advisers using ADP’s payroll data covering some 23 million workers, estimates that nonfarm private employment rose 58,000 in September. If government payrolls grew by 22,000 during the month (the monthly average for the year through June), the Labor Department’s Friday report would show a September gain of about 80,000 jobs, the report said. this would be ion par with the 100,000 number economists had expected at the beginning of the month.

That is basically the increase economists expected in August, when payrolls stunned people when they dropped by 4,000 and raised fears of a recession. The September reading “confirms the recent deceleration of employment,” ADP said in its report.

Manufacturing employment dropped by 22,000 jobs, and housing-related sectors took a hit: Construction employment fell by 20,000 and financial-activities sector employment declined by 7,000 as mortgage layoffs continued.

Why is this perfect? Another negative report (job losses) would suggested a recession was either imminent or underway. A “weak” report shows the economy is still growing, albeit at a slower pace. Since inflation is still under control, this sets up a perfect situation for the Fed to lower rates to spur growth. For investors it is good because we now are not so concerned about a recession and earnings collapsing but anticipate a brief pause and then another acceleration as the rate cuts make their way through the system.

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Altria’s PMI Spin: Your Questions Answered.

Here are the answers to many of the questions you may have on the upcoming PMI (Phillip Morris International) spin from Altria (MO).

Q: I own Altria shares. What will I receive as a result of the Spin-off?

A: Altria will distribute one share of PMI common stock for each share of Altria common stock outstanding as of the Record Date for the Distribution.

Q: What is the Record Date for the Distribution, and when will the Distribution occur?

A: The Record Date is , , and ownership is determined as of 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on that date. Shares of PMI common stock will be distributed on , . We refer to this date as the Distribution Date.


Q: What do I have to do to participate in the Distribution?

A: Nothing. You will receive one share of PMI common stock for each share of Altria common stock held as of the Record Date. You may also participate in the Distribution if you purchase Altria common stock in the “regular way” market and retain your Altria shares through the Distribution Date.

Q: If I sell my shares of Altria common stock before the Distribution Date, will I still be entitled to receive PMI shares in the Distribution?

A: If you sell your shares of Altria common stock prior to or on the Distribution Date, you may also be selling your right to receive shares of PMI common stock. You are encouraged to consult with your financial advisor regarding the specific implications of selling your Altria common stock prior to or on the Distribution Date.

Q: How will the Spin-off affect the number of shares of Altria I currently hold?

A: The number of shares of Altria common stock held by a stockholder will be unchanged. The market value of each Altria share, however, will decline to reflect the impact of the Distribution.

Q: What are the U.S. federal income tax consequences of the Distribution to U.S. stockholders?

A: Altria [has received] a private letter ruling from the Internal Revenue Service and an opinion of counsel that the Distribution of PMI common stock to Altria stockholders will qualify as a tax-free distribution for United States federal income tax purposes. You should, of course, consult your own tax advisor as to the particular consequences of the Distribution to you, including the applicability and effect of any U.S. federal, state and local and foreign tax laws, which may result in the distribution being taxable to you. Altria will provide its U.S. stockholders with information to enable them to compute their tax basis in both Altria and PMI shares. This information will be posted on Altria’s website, www.altria.com/PMIspinoff, promptly following the Distribution Date. Certain United States federal income tax consequences of the Spin-off are described in more detail under “The Distribution—U.S. Federal Income Tax Consequences of the Distribution.”

Q: Is the Distribution tax free to Canadian stockholders?

A: Altria anticipates that the Canadian revenue authority will conclude that the Spin-off is an “eligible distribution” for electing Canadian resident stockholders and thus eligible for tax-deferral. Altria will post the results of the Canadian revenue authority’s determination on its website once such results become available. Absent the tax-deferral, Canadian-resident stockholders would be required to include the distribution of PMI common shares in computing income under the Canadian Tax Act.

The foregoing is for general information purposes and does not constitute tax advice to any Canadian stockholder. Such stockholders should consult their own tax advisors regarding the particular consequences of the Distribution to them, including the applicability and effect of any Canadian federal, provincial and territorial and foreign tax laws and regarding the actions and information necessary to make the required election, in the event that the Canadian revenue authority determines that the Spin-off is an “eligible distribution” for electing Canadian-resident stockholders.

Q: When will I receive my PMI shares? Will I receive a stock certificate for PMI shares distributed as a result of the Spin-off?

A: Registered holders of Altria common stock who are entitled to participate in the Distribution will receive a book-entry account statement reflecting their ownership of PMI common stock. For additional information, registered stockholders in the U.S. should contact Altria’s transfer agent, Computershare Trust Company, at [1-866-538- ] or by e-mail at altria@computershare.com. Stockholders from outside the U.S. and Canada may call [1-781-575- ]. If you would like to receive physical certificates evidencing your PMI shares, please contact PMI’s transfer agent. See “Description of Capital Stock—Transfer Agent and Registrar.”

Q: What if I hold my shares through a broker, bank or other nominee?

A: Altria stockholders who hold their shares through a broker, bank or other nominee will have their brokerage account credited with PMI common stock. For additional information, those stockholders should contact their broker or bank directly. Questions regarding the Distribution can also be directed to our information agent, D.F. King & Co., Inc., at [1-800-290- ].

Q: What if I have stock certificates reflecting my shares of Altria common stock? Should I send them to the transfer agent or to Altria?

A: No, you should not send your stock certificates to the transfer agent or to Altria. You should retain your Altria stock certificates. No certificates representing your shares of PMI common stock will be mailed to you. PMI common stock will be issued as uncertificated shares registered in book-entry form through the direct registration system.

Q: If I was enrolled in an Altria dividend reinvestment plan, will I automatically be enrolled in the PMI dividend reinvestment plan?

A: Yes. If you elected to have your Altria cash dividends applied toward the purchase of additional Altria shares, the PMI shares you receive in the Distribution will be automatically enrolled in the PMI Direct Stock Purchase and Dividend Reinvestment Plan sponsored by Computershare Trust Company (PMI’s transfer agent and registrar), unless you notify Computershare that you do not want to reinvest any PMI cash dividends in additional PMI shares. Contact information for the PMI plan sponsor (Computershare) is provided on page 92 of this Information Statement.


Q: Why is Altria separating PMI from its business?

A: Altria’s Board of Directors and management have determined that the separation will enhance long-term stockholder value by providing the benefits set forth below under the caption “The Distribution—Reasons for the Distribution.”


Q: Why is the separation of the two companies structured as a spin-off?

A: A U.S. tax-free distribution of shares in PMI is the most tax efficient way to separate the companies.


Q: Are there risks to owning PMI common stock?

A: Yes. PMI’s business is subject both to general and specific business risks relating to its operations. In addition, the Spin-off presents risks relating to PMI’s being a separately-traded public company. See “Risk Factors.”


Q: Does PMI plan to pay dividends?

A: Yes. PMI plans to pay a dividend at the initial rate of $ per share per quarter. Dividends are subject to the discretion of PMI’s Board of Directors in accordance with applicable law. See “Dividend and Share Repurchase Policy.”


Q: What will the relationship between Altria and PMI be following the Distribution?

A: After the Distribution, Altria will not own any shares of PMI common stock. However, in connection with the Distribution, we are entering into a number of agreements with Altria that will govern the Spin-off and our future relationship with Altria. See “Relationship with Altria.”


Q: What will Altria own following the Distribution?

A: Altria will own 100% of PM USA and Philip Morris Capital Corporation, as well as its 28.6% economic interest in SABMiller plc.