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The Oil Situation

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S&P 500 Intrinsic Value Index Update

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Housing Starts Still Historically Anemic

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The US Oil Situation

The price of oil is finally rising….it can go significantly higher

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The Fed Gets Ready To Follow Markets

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People Still Using CAPE for Valuation?? (updated)

We’ve addressed our feelings on the uselessness of CAPE before but I am seeing it being used frequently once again so it is time to revisit….

In fact, the WSJ just referred to it again…..CAPE hasn’t  “worked” in over a decade at predicting anything (not that it ever really did)…it.s time to put it to bed

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The Fed Still Follows The Market on Rates

We need to put to bed once and for all the notion the Fed is ahead of things and set rates to lead the market. It simply follows the market’s lead…..

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Economies Drive Markets

Some of Davidson’s best work….

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Private GDP Continues It’s Rise

GDP came in at 3% today despite two hurricanes……..that means we ought to see Q4 above 3% also as reconstruction begins. It’ll be the first time we’ve seen 3% plus growth for three consecutive quarters since before the financial crisis.

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Invest In Well Defined Behavior

“Davidson” submits:

You can’t forecast what you cannot see…or can you? People are more predictable than things.

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Current Indications Are For Higher Equity Markets

 

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Subs: GSE Docs Hacked????

Fairholme just won a “quick peek” at GSE docs……. might we all get a peek soon?

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Household Employment & Auto Sales Support Growing Economy

Today’s jobs report showed a loss of US jobs. This is but hurricane induced a blipa All the underlying data continues to support a growing economy and thus equity markets.

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Dollar Rises As Capital Seeks Returns