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AutoNation CEO Mike Jackson on "Bailout"

AutoNation’s (AN) Mike Jackson did the following interview yesterday on PBS

JEFF YASTINE: Earlier today, I spoke with Michael Jackson, CEO of AutoNation, the largest chain of auto dealerships in the country. I began by asking him how soon his business will feel the impact of the plan and when his customers will be able to get loans.

MICHAEL JACKSON, CEO, AUTONATION: As far as I`m concerned, the sooner the better, but it is going to be tough to predict exactly when it is going to happen. The banks have been saying no, looking for every excuse to say no, and they`re saying no to good costumers with good credit, with business that is very good for them. So clearly the banks are out of money to lend, and hopefully with the Treasury`s initiatives here, they can be back in business as soon as possible.

YASTINE: Now you`re the nation`s largest auto retailer, how bad is business, really?

JACKSON: Well, you know, it is a difficult economy to begin with. We`ve been struggling with it for the past two years, and we had the gasoline crisis in May, and by August, our business had stabilized from that. But then the credit squeeze turned into a credit crisis and a credit panic in the month of September, and it has impacted business by another 10 to 15 percent.

YASTINE: Do you think this bailout is enough boost consumer confidence, and restore trust in the financial system again?

JACKSON: It was — it is an absolute essential step on the journey back. Without it, there is no chance. But with this, I think that you`ll gradually rebuild trust and confidence, both with the banks and customers, and at least we can get the credit panic behind us. But we still, then, have to deal with the fundamentals of a weak economy, which are going to take more time to get through.

YASTINE: What are you telling your dealers at a time like this?

JACKSON: Just keep the visibility, and tell everybody it is not them, it is the environment. And we will get through this. We`re still solidly in the black and we`ll manage through this.

YASTINE: You know, one of the big Chevy dealers in the Southeast went under, went bankrupt last week. Will you be forced to close dealerships in a similar fashion, closing them in this environment?

JACKSON: Well, our business model is very different than what is happening — what happened to that Chevy dealer and some of our other competitors. They ran a business model of huge inventories with huge marketing budgets, high pressure tactics with razor thin margins. And that business model, with overcapacity and a dramatic decline in the business simply will not work.

YASTINE: You know, Mike, do you think we`re actually in a recession, and if so, the crystal ball question, of course, how long will it last?

JACKSON: I think the third quarter will show negative growth, and that`s even before the credit crisis and the credit panic really took off at the end of the quarter. So the economy is in serious trouble. What you cannot have, though, is a weak economy combined with a credit crisis/credit panic. You know, you have to go back to 1900 or 1930 to find similar circumstances. But when business is already weak and credit availability dries up, and by the way, the other shoe to drop will be that interest costs actually go up. If you look at the spread rates on LIBOR, because of the credit crisis, they`ve expanded by 200 basis points. So that`s a toxic combination that simply cannot exist for long or you do tremendous damage to the economy. Thank goodness Congress has acted and given the resources to Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Paulson, who are fighting this battle for our economy. And hopefully they take these new resources and apply them effectively to the market place and we can get things moving again as soon as possible.

YASTINE: Mike, thanks for your time on the program.

JACKSON: Thank you. My pleasure.

YASTINE: Our guest, Michael Jackson, CEO of AutoNation.

Original Post


Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long AN
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:                                                                                   

October 03, 2008                                                                                              

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

                                                                                                                                          

WILLIAM ACKMAN TO SPEAK ABOUT PERSHING SQUARE'S  INVESTMENT IN WACHOVIA

 

Presentation at Value Investing Congress this Monday

 

New York, NY – William Ackman will speak about Pershing Square Capital Management's investment in Wachovia (NYSE: WB) on Monday, October 6, 2008 at the 4th Annual Value Investing Congress.

 

Date:   Monday, October 6, 2008

Time:   11:40 a.m.

Place: Rose Theater

Frederick P. Rose Hall

Home of Jazz at Lincoln Center

Time Warner Center, 5th Floor

(Columbus Circle at West 60th Street)

Thank you,

Todd Sullivan

Sent from my BlackBerry® wireless device

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Ackman Owns 9% of Wachovia

From Bloomberg

William Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital Management LP bought a 9 percent stake in Wachovia Corp., now valued at $1.2 billion, according to a person with direct knowledge of the purchase.

The shares were acquired following Citigroup Inc.’s (C) Sept. 29 agreement to buy the bank and before Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) announced a rival offer today, said the person, who declined to be identified because the purchases haven’t been publicly disclosed.

The purchase inserts Ackman, 42, into the latest skirmish in the credit crisis, a pitched battle over Wachovia’s (WB) deposits and branches after the Charlotte, North Carolina-based company went to the brink of collapse


Full Article\


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AutoNation’s Jackson on Credit (video)

AutoNation’s (AN) Mike Jackson gives some real world examples of the current credit situation. It’s not good…

Watch this, he is talking about 3,000 MORE dealerships closing in 2008-2009. AutoNation will pick up huge market share through this process.



My interview with Mike Jackson


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Altria Files 8-K

Here is the new closing information on the Alria (MO) & UST (UST) deal.

SECTION 1. Amendment to the Merger Agreement.

(i) Section 1.2 (Closing) of the Merger Agreement is hereby deleted in its entirety and replaced with the following:

“Unless otherwise mutually agreed in writing between the Company and Parent, the closing for the Merger (the “Closing”) shall take place at the offices of Hunton & Williams LLP, 200 Park Avenue, New York, NY at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) as promptly as practicable (but in no event later than the third (3rd) business day) following the satisfaction or waiver of the conditions set forth in Article VII (other than those conditions that by their nature are to be satisfied at the Closing, but subject to the fulfillment or waiver of those conditions), provided that (a) if any required pre-approval of any authority regulating the wine Business Unit has not been obtained at the time all conditions set forth in Article VII have been waived or fulfilled (other than those conditions that by their nature are to be satisfied at the Closing), then Parent by written notice to the Company may extend, from time to time, the Closing up to a date not beyond the four (4) month anniversary of the date of this Agreement), and (b) at its sole discretion, Parent by written notice to the Company may extend, from time to time, the Closing up to a date no later than January 7, 2009 (the “Closing Date”). For purposes of this Agreement, the term “business day” shall mean any day other than a Saturday or Sunday or a day on which banks are required or authorized to close in the City of New York.”

FULL FILING


Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long MO
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Altria Updates UST Deal

A sign of the times, the deal will get done, just a month later..

-Altria Group, Inc. (Altria) (NYSE: MO) and UST Inc. (UST) (NYSE: UST) today announced that the companies have amended the September 7, 2008 agreement pursuant to which Altria has agreed to acquire all outstanding shares of UST. The amendment sets forth Altria’s and UST’s agreement to extend, at Altria’s option, the closing date of the transaction to a date that is no later than early January 2009 in the event conditions for closing are met prior to the end of 2008. While Altria currently has fully committed financing to complete the transaction, Altria’s lenders advised that it would be preferable to close the transaction in 2009. The parties also agreed to increase the “reverse termination fee” from $200 million to $300 million under certain circumstances, which are detailed in the amendment. In addition to the regulatory review process, completion of the transaction remains subject to UST shareholder approval and certain other customary closing conditions. The agreement and the amendment are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on September 8 and October 3, respectively.


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O’Reilly Blasts Barney Frank

This is a classic..why can’t Frank just admit he screwed up when it comes to Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE)? A simple “we were wrong” would do just well. Watch how Barney tries to twist his own statement on Fannie and Freddie “going forward will be just fine”. Two months later they were done…


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Wells Fargo to Acquire Wachovia

We knew Wells Fargo (WFC) was going to do something. This begs the question again, is this bailout really so urgent?

Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC) and Wachovia Corporation (NYSE:WB) said today they have signed a definitive agreement for the merger of the two companies including all of Wachovia’s banking operations in a whole company transaction requiring no financial assistance from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) or any other government agency.

Under the agreement, Wells Fargo will acquire all outstanding shares of common stock of Wachovia in a stock-for-stock transaction. In the transaction, Wells Fargo will acquire all of Wachovia Corporation and all its businesses and obligations, including its preferred equity and indebtedness, and all its banking deposits.

Under terms of the agreement, which has been approved unanimously by the boards of both companies, Wachovia shareholders will receive 0.1991 shares of Wells Fargo common stock in exchange for each share of Wachovia common stock. The transaction, based on Wells Fargo’s closing stock price of $35.16 on October 2, 2008, is valued at $7.00 per Wachovia common share for a total transaction value of approximately $15.1 billion. Wachovia has almost 2.2 billion common shares outstanding. The agreement requires the approval of Wachovia shareholders and customary approvals of regulators.

Wells Fargo will record Wachovia’s credit-impaired assets at fair value. The acquisition is expected to exceed Wells Fargo’s internal rate of return goal and add to Wells Fargo’s earnings per share in the first year of operations, excluding integration costs, write-downs, transaction charges, and credit reserve build. Wells Fargo expects to incur merger and integration charges of approximately $10 billion. To maintain its strong capital position, Wells Fargo intends to issue up to $20 billion of new Wells Fargo securities, primarily common stock.

“We at Wachovia have great admiration and respect for the people and businesses at Wells Fargo and we are extremely pleased to join forces with this outstanding company,” said Robert K. Steel, President and CEO of Wachovia Corp. “Today’s announcement creates one of the strongest financial firms in the world and is great for all Wachovia constituencies: our shareholders, customers, colleagues and communities. This deal enables us to keep Wachovia intact and preserve the value of an integrated company, without government support. The market presence and composition of our businesses, along with our service-oriented cultures, are extraordinarily complementary and this combination creates great potential for sustained stability and growth.”

“This agreement represents a compelling value for Wachovia shareholders,” said Wells Fargo Chairman Dick Kovacevich. “It provides superior value compared to the previous offer to acquire only the banking operations of the company and because Wachovia shareholders will have a meaningful opportunity to participate in the growth and success of a combined Wachovia-Wells Fargo that will be one of the world’s great financial services companies. We are combining the industry’s number one ranking customer service culture of Wachovia with the industry’s number one sales and cross-selling culture of Wells Fargo. The best in service and the best in sales, an unbeatable combination. Wachovia shareholders also will benefit from holding the stock of a strong financial institution, the U.S. bank with the highest credit ratings and with a long history of increasing dividends on its common stock. Wachovia’s brokerage and asset management businesses, which would have been left behind in the prior proposal, are tightly interwoven with Wachovia’s core banking business – and this agreement avoids the complexity and unavoidable loss of value in trying to separate them, which would have disrupted Wachovia’s team members and customers. We also bring to this merger agreement our 157 years of experience in financial services and the unparalleled convenience we can offer Wachovia customers through one of the most extensive financial services distributions systems in North America. We have the highest regard for the quality and commitment and caring of Wachovia team members. We believe their demonstrated commitment to outstanding customer service and their highest standards of community leadership are identical to our own values. And, of course, this agreement won’t require even a penny from the FDIC.”

The combined company will have a strong presence in Charlotte, which will be the headquarters for the combined company’s East Coast retail and commercial and corporate banking business. St. Louis will remain the headquarters of Wachovia Securities. In addition, three members of the Wachovia Board will be invited to join the Wells Fargo & Company Board when the transaction is completed.

Kovacevich said, “This agreement is an outstanding opportunity for Wachovia common and preferred shareholders and debt holders, team members and customers, for the Charlotte and St. Louis communities and indeed all of the communities that Wachovia serves, and for the U.S. government and our banking system. It makes compelling business and strategic sense and is simply an incredible fit that will result in an immensely strong, stable financial services company that will carry on Wachovia’s proud tradition of being one of the very best financial institutions in the world.”

“We know this has been a time of great uncertainty for Wachovia team members and many of its customers as their company has gone through a very painful and challenging time of unprecedented change in our industry,” said Wells Fargo President and CEO John Stumpf. “We want to assure them we’ll do everything we can to make the integration of our operations as smooth as possible. An important measure of success for this integration will be our ability to retain as many of the talented Wachovia team members as possible so they can continue to provide outstanding service and financial advice to their customers and continue their careers with Wells Fargo.”

Wells Fargo’s Chief Financial Officer Howard Atkins said Wells Fargo used conservative assumptions in evaluating this opportunity. “As always, we only consider acquisitions that add to earnings per share no later than the third year after purchase and earn an internal rate of return of at least 15 percent,” said Atkins. “This acquisition comfortably exceeds all our financial requirements. This is a unique opportunity to expand both our Community Banking and Wholesale Banking presence in current markets and enter some new markets by acquiring another full service financial services retail banking company with a strong culture of customer service and community involvement very similar to ours.”

Wells Fargo and Wachovia will create the nation’s premier coast-to-coast community banking presence. The combined company will have community banks in 39 states and the District of Columbia. The acquisition will establish a Wells Fargo Community Banking presence for the first time in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia and Washington, D.C. Wells Fargo already has a Community Banking presence in Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas (pending), California, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

The combined company will be #1 in deposit market share2 in 17 of its 39 Community Banking states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Minnesota, Iowa, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, and Virginia. Ninety-three percent of its deposits will be in states in which it ranks #1, 2 or 3 and the combined company will rank #1 in ten of the nation’s 20 largest Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) in deposit market share.2

2 excludes deposits greater than $500 million in a single banking store

Wells Fargo also is the nation’s:

* #1 small business lender,
* #1 agricultural lender,
* #1 commercial real estate broker,
* #2 largest mortgage originator,
* #2 largest mortgage servicer,
* #2 largest debit card issuer,
* #1 financial services provider to middle market businesses in the western U.S. and a national presence in commercial banking (29 states),
* largest bank-owned U.S. insurance brokerage

In connection with the agreement, Wachovia and Wells Fargo entered into a share exchange agreement under which Wachovia is issuing Wells Fargo preferred stock that votes as a single class with Wachovia’s common stock representing 39.9 percent of Wachovia’s voting power


FULL RELEASE


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Housing: In Pictures

From the Milken Institute..

A surge in subprime loans,

Let to a surge in forclosures,

And a collapse in home prices..

The bad news? Based on the charge we have lower to go in home prices and again, based on the chart it’ll take about a decade for them to recover..


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Six Flag’s Latest Gimmick

So, if you see that Six Flags (SIX) stock price has risen, do not be encouraged.

Six Flags Inc. said late Thursday that it will consider various steps, including a reverse stock split, if its share price does not rebound soon. The statement comes in the wake of notification from the New York Stock Exchange that the company is not compliant with the market’s listing standards because its thirty-day average closing price was less than $1. The theme park company has six months to remedy the situation. Six Flags shares closed down 4.4% to 65 cents on Thursday.


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Friday’s Links

Thank you, 401-Keg Plan, Fat Pitch, Dunkin

– A thank you for the mention

– If you had purchased $1,000.00 of AIG stock one year ago you would have $44.34 left.

With Wachovia, you would have had $54.74 left of the original $1,000.00.

With Lehman, you would have had $0.00 left.

But, if you had purchased $1,000.00 worth of beer one year ago…drank all of the beer, then turned in the cans for the aluminum recycling REFUND, you would have $214.00 cash.

Not everyone is losing money

– More pressure on Starbucks


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James Grant on Bloomberg

James Grant who’s upcoming book I am reviewing was on Bloomberg in March.

Grant said then the best thing for the Fed to do is buy mortgages…and here we are..

It is a great discussion on interest rates, gold, treasuries, the dollar and the Fed.

Here is the book, you can pre-order it here:


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Isn’t A Little Deflation Now A Good Thing?

If, inflation is a “silent tax on all consumers” then isn’t a little deflation “a silent tax cut” for us all? If the economy is indeed slowing, then rather that forcing the Fed to lower rates and further emasculate the dollar, won’t a little deflation do the same things for him without a rate cut?

Let’s look at it. All summer into fall we were hearing about inflation and it’s evils. We were hearing that even the governments numbers were wrong and that inflation was actually higher than report due to food and energy.

Well, high prices did the trick. They destroyed demand. Isn’t there an old saying that “nothing cures high prices lie high prices”, meaning people cut back on items when prices rise too high? They rose, we cut back.

Now things seem to be slowing a bit too fast and correspondingly, prices are falling (deflation). Oil (USO) has fallen from $146 to under $94 and food commodities have plummeted with it. But, if high prices are cured by their very being, then ought not low prices be cured by the increased demand they then illicit?

Now of course there other factors involved and I am purposely keeping this basic. Why? We have had unprecedented Fed, Treasury and SEC actions and now Congress is due to get in on the game. We need time to let these event filter through the system before we begin to worry about falling prices.

The best thing the Fed could do now (once Congress acts) is to sit back for a while and go to the sidelines. If you have a problem (or think you do), playing with every lever you have will not help you identify a cause and in reality, you could easily make the problem far worse. If you walk into the Dr. with a stomach ache, they don’t typically prescribe dozens of remedies.

It has been a tumultuous summer and fall. Once Congress acts and the credit pipes begin to become unclogged, let’s just relax on the intervention side for a while and let the market work.


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Value Investing Congress This Sunday-Tuesday

I’m shuffling off the NYC Sunday for the Value Investing Congress, anyone else going? If not, watch here or follow on Twitter as I will be updating from there.


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Warren Buffett on Charlie Rose Last Night (10/1)

Buffett talks about GE (GE), the economy and investing..


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