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Lehman's Inexplicable BuyBack

Lehman (LEH) is now playing games in an attempt to trounce shorts who, based on the firms results, have been correct in their analysis of the company.

One can argue that continuing to pay a dividend while raising capital in excusable. Many dividend stocks are in income funds that if they were to cease paying the dividend would be dumped, causing a further cratering of the stock price. For this reason, the argument does hold.

The can be no legitimate reason to repurchase shares while raising cash at the same time. Unless you are playing games..

The Wall St. Journal reported:
“The Wall Street firm’s shares had tumbled nearly 15% at one point Tuesday as investors who feared their stakes would be diluted sold shares and rumors flew on trading desks that Lehman had gone to the Federal Reserve for funds. Lehman said that wasn’t true.

But a second rumor, that Lehman was buying back shares, turned out to be true, people familiar with the situation said. Such buying helped the stock pare its losses Tuesday.”

It is one thing to repurchase shares because they are undervalued, it is another to do it simply to halt a slide in a single day. It is also irresponsible when most folks figure you are going to then turn around and dump these shares back on the market in another offering to raise more capital.

Now that the rumors are out there and at least this one is true, does Lehman really think it will not spur more conjecturing? The moves smacks of desperation and that in and of itself will lead people to now attemot to anticipate the real reason and what the next move will be.

Think about it. Financials are raising money at a discount to current share prices currently. What Lehman essentially did was repurchase stock it knows it will be forced to re-issue at a loss to whomever they get to provide them more capital.

Shrewed…

They can rail against Einhorn all they want and sit there and call him names, but, until their results refute anything he says, they will lose. Why? Currnetly their results are refuting everything they say…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Lehman’s Callahan Now On The Hot Seat

Looks like Einhorn was correct……despite Lehman’s (LEH) proclamations to the contrary.

Lehman has raised $6 billion in capital in the past year, including $4 billion last quarter. It is now looking at the need to raise another $3 to $4 billion.

CFO Erin Callahan has been the public face of the company during the crisis and has made statements that will now come back to haunt her. The firm is saddled with billions of dollars of illiquid commercial real-estate assets and leveraged loans and is expected to face further write-downs on these portfolios.

The Wall St Journal reported today
“During the second quarter, Lehman was stung by hedges used to offset losses in real estate and other securities, according to people familiar with the matter. The firm bet that indexes tracking markets such as real-estate securities and leveraged loans would fall. If that happened, it would book profits that would make up some of its losses from holding these securities and loans.

However, in an unexpected twist, some of the indexes rose, even as the assets they were supposed to hedge against continued to lose value or stayed relatively flat. Lehman’s losses from both write-downs on assets and ineffective hedges will likely top $2 billion, people familiar with the matter said.”

Just over a month ago Callahan was on CNBC and said at the time they did not expect to need the last fund-raising they did.

Now additional funds and further shareholder dilution are being needed. Someone will pay and you cannot just sit back anymore and blame short-sellers “spreading rumors”. When what you alleged to be “rumor” starts coming true, it now looks as though you are the not being totally honest.

Watch Einhorn express his concern about the company. Bartiromo tries to refute Einhorn but he makes his point nontheless. Who is looking more accurate?

I think it may not be too long before Callahan joins the latest list of casualties.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Lehman's Callahan Now On The Hot Seat

Looks like Einhorn was correct……despite Lehman’s (LEH) proclamations to the contrary.

Lehman has raised $6 billion in capital in the past year, including $4 billion last quarter. It is now looking at the need to raise another $3 to $4 billion.

CFO Erin Callahan has been the public face of the company during the crisis and has made statements that will now come back to haunt her. The firm is saddled with billions of dollars of illiquid commercial real-estate assets and leveraged loans and is expected to face further write-downs on these portfolios.

The Wall St Journal reported today
“During the second quarter, Lehman was stung by hedges used to offset losses in real estate and other securities, according to people familiar with the matter. The firm bet that indexes tracking markets such as real-estate securities and leveraged loans would fall. If that happened, it would book profits that would make up some of its losses from holding these securities and loans.

However, in an unexpected twist, some of the indexes rose, even as the assets they were supposed to hedge against continued to lose value or stayed relatively flat. Lehman’s losses from both write-downs on assets and ineffective hedges will likely top $2 billion, people familiar with the matter said.”

Just over a month ago Callahan was on CNBC and said at the time they did not expect to need the last fund-raising they did.

Now additional funds and further shareholder dilution are being needed. Someone will pay and you cannot just sit back anymore and blame short-sellers “spreading rumors”. When what you alleged to be “rumor” starts coming true, it now looks as though you are the not being totally honest.

Watch Einhorn express his concern about the company. Bartiromo tries to refute Einhorn but he makes his point nontheless. Who is looking more accurate?

I think it may not be too long before Callahan joins the latest list of casualties.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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David Einhorn on Wealth Track

You’ve got to like Einhorn. 25% a year since 1996…….p

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Weekend Reading at VIN

Here are the week’s top stories at Value Investing News

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Weekend Reading at VIN

Here are the week’s most popular at Value Investing News

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

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The Week's Top Ten at VIN

Weekend reading at Value investing News
1. Susan Buffett interview 8/26/2004
(via www.charlierose.com)

A remembrance of philanthropist Susan Thompson Buffet. She talks a lot about Warren Buffett.

2. Visit with Warren Buffett
(via www.bengrahaminvesting.ca)

On March 31, 2008 students from Dr. Athanassakos’ Value Investing class travelled to Omaha, Nebraska to meet with Mr. Warren Buffet, the world’s best known investor and the richest person in the world.

3. Buffett Leans on Italian Guide for Europe Investment
(via www.bloomberg.com)

Billionaire Warren Buffett, who will embark on a four-city European trip next month to meet with owners of family businesses, has for years been laying the groundwork for an acquisition in Europe.

4. Doubling Down in Financials – Interview with Richard Pzena
(via www.forbes.com)

When it comes to value investing or buying out-of-favor stocks, patience is a virtue. These days few are more virtuous than Richard Pzena, Chairman of Pzena Investment Management, a $20 billion assets money management company whose New York Stock Exchange listed shares are down more than 38% in the last 12 months.

5. The Money Kept Vanishing
(via online.wsj.com)

David Einhorn’s New Book “Fooling Some of the People All of the Time”

6. Roger Lowenstein : Triple-A Failure
(via www.nytimes.com)

In 1996, Thomas Friedman, the New York Times columnist, remarked on “The NewsHour With Jim Lehrer” that there were two superpowers in the world — the United States and Moody’s bond-rating service — and it was sometimes unclear which was more powerful.

7. Buffett, Seeking Acquisitions, to Travel to Europe
(via www.bloomberg.com)

April 22 (Bloomberg) — Billionaire investor Warren Buffett will visit Europe next month to scout potential acquisitions, said an executive at an Italian refiner who is organizing the tour.

8. Business Sector Breakdown of the Magic Formula
(via www.magicdiligence.com)

Does the Magic Formula screen favor certain types of businesses? And if so, why? These are the questions we’ll examine in this new series examining which business sectors most frequently appear in the Magic Formula screen.

9. Looking Up to Warren Buffett
(via www.smartmoney.com)

T OFTEN SEEMS like every hedge-fund manager is reading from the same playbook about how to look, work and behave. Neatly pressed khakis; thumbs glued to a BlackBerry; slick digs in Greenwich or Manhattan staffed by number-crunching research drones. But apparently, Mohnish Pabrai never got his copy.

10. MFI Stock List Additions for Week Ending April 18, 2008
(via magicformulainvestor.blogspot.com)

Five new stocks were added to the Magic Formula List last week.

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

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Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

Categories
Articles

The Week’s Top Ten at VIN

Weekend reading at Value investing News
1. Susan Buffett interview 8/26/2004
(via www.charlierose.com)

A remembrance of philanthropist Susan Thompson Buffet. She talks a lot about Warren Buffett.

2. Visit with Warren Buffett
(via www.bengrahaminvesting.ca)

On March 31, 2008 students from Dr. Athanassakos’ Value Investing class travelled to Omaha, Nebraska to meet with Mr. Warren Buffet, the world’s best known investor and the richest person in the world.

3. Buffett Leans on Italian Guide for Europe Investment
(via www.bloomberg.com)

Billionaire Warren Buffett, who will embark on a four-city European trip next month to meet with owners of family businesses, has for years been laying the groundwork for an acquisition in Europe.

4. Doubling Down in Financials – Interview with Richard Pzena
(via www.forbes.com)

When it comes to value investing or buying out-of-favor stocks, patience is a virtue. These days few are more virtuous than Richard Pzena, Chairman of Pzena Investment Management, a $20 billion assets money management company whose New York Stock Exchange listed shares are down more than 38% in the last 12 months.

5. The Money Kept Vanishing
(via online.wsj.com)

David Einhorn’s New Book “Fooling Some of the People All of the Time”

6. Roger Lowenstein : Triple-A Failure
(via www.nytimes.com)

In 1996, Thomas Friedman, the New York Times columnist, remarked on “The NewsHour With Jim Lehrer” that there were two superpowers in the world — the United States and Moody’s bond-rating service — and it was sometimes unclear which was more powerful.

7. Buffett, Seeking Acquisitions, to Travel to Europe
(via www.bloomberg.com)

April 22 (Bloomberg) — Billionaire investor Warren Buffett will visit Europe next month to scout potential acquisitions, said an executive at an Italian refiner who is organizing the tour.

8. Business Sector Breakdown of the Magic Formula
(via www.magicdiligence.com)

Does the Magic Formula screen favor certain types of businesses? And if so, why? These are the questions we’ll examine in this new series examining which business sectors most frequently appear in the Magic Formula screen.

9. Looking Up to Warren Buffett
(via www.smartmoney.com)

T OFTEN SEEMS like every hedge-fund manager is reading from the same playbook about how to look, work and behave. Neatly pressed khakis; thumbs glued to a BlackBerry; slick digs in Greenwich or Manhattan staffed by number-crunching research drones. But apparently, Mohnish Pabrai never got his copy.

10. MFI Stock List Additions for Week Ending April 18, 2008
(via magicformulainvestor.blogspot.com)

Five new stocks were added to the Magic Formula List last week.

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

↑ Grab this Headline Animator

Visit the ValuePlays Bookstore for Great Investing Books

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 License.

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The Week’s Top Stories at Value Investing News

Here are this week’s best at VIN.

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The Top Stories at Value Investing News

Here are the weeks top stories at Value Investing News

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Top Stories At Value Investing News

Here are the top stories for the week at one of my favorite sites, Value Investing News.

1- David Einhorn’s Analysis of St. Joe’s

2- Interview With Sardar Biglari

3- Note To Lampert: Let People Know About Land’s End Valueplays

4- Buybacks vs. Dividend Poll Results

5- Bruce Berkowitz

Please visit the site at here for more stories