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The Dollar, Auto Sales and S&P 500 Intrinsic Value Update

“Davidson” submits:

Equity prices have a long history of rising on positive surprises. Many believe markets to be an ‘efficient’ pricing mechanism of all that is known and unknown. If they believe this, then it is surprising that they are willing to pay more for unexpected positive news.

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Is Oil About To Spike Higher?

“Davidson” submits:

This chart looks interesting. Momentum investors look for levels at which price acceleration suddenly occurs and then try to trade it. The US$ could fall faster from this point if enough believe it will. Will it take $WTI higher?

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USD vs WTI

“Davidson” submits:

Markets continue to reinforce that the long-held inverse relationship between the US$ and $WTI(as well as many other commodities) remains intact.

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Peak Rigs???

“Davidson” submits:

Several months ago I said we could see the BH Rig Count peak near 1,000.

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SPR Inventory Coming Down

“Davidson” submits:

There was mention of not needing as much US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as Trump took office. Looks like the current administration is taking steps to draw down the SPR, now down ~13mil BBL since the EIA March 31, 2017 report. Add this to the normal inventory volatility which occurs with the seasonal shut-down and maintenance and we have seen a total draw of 36,029,00 BBL

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Oil Situation Update