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PMI Holds Steady

The Manufacturing PMI for April holds at March levels. In addition, the 10yr minus 3mo Treasury spread has widened to 0.72% for which there is long-term interpretation of debt capital shifting into equity capital. The shift into positive territory for the 10yr minus 3mo Treasury had a brief excursion in 2024 but then retreated till the current run broke above 0.0% in Sept 2025. It certainly appears that the moves in the PMI and the 10yr minus 3mo Treasury are correlated. Both, are market psychology indicators as is the SP500.
We are in a Momentum driven market. My long-term analysis suggests $8,000 for the SP500 by Dec 2026 and potential for $10,000 by 2028 based on current governance policies.