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Monday's Upgrades and Downgrades

Upgrades
CIGNA (CI)- FTN Midwest Neutral » Buy
Town Sports Intl (CLUB )- William Blair Mkt Perform » Outperform
MedAssets (MDAS)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Buy
CBL & Assoc (CBL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Patterson-UTI (PTEN)- Credit Suisse Underperform » Neutral
Nordstrom (JWN)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Helmerich & Payne (HP)- CapitalOne southcoast Neutral » Add
Duke Realty (DRE)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Duke Realty (DRE)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Valassis (VCI)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
PGT Inc. (PGTI)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Pioneer Natural (PXD)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Embarq (EQ)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Morningstar (MORN)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
RadioShack (RSH)- Banc of America Sec Neutral » Buy
Affiliated Computer (ACS)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Apria Healthcare (AHG)- Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
ComScore (SCOR)- Oppenheimer Perform » Outperform
Sun Healthcare (SUNH)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Investools (SWIM)- Kaufman Bros Buy » Hold
Palomar Medical (PMTI)- Lazard Capital Buy » Hold
Magma Design (LAVA)- Needham Buy » Hold
Bankrate (RATE)- Needham Buy » Hold
Millipore (MIL)- Leerink Swann Outperform » Mkt Perform
Investools (SWIM)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Silver State Bancorp (SSBX)- Sandler O’Neill Hold » Sell
St. Jude Medical (STJ)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
ManTech (MANT)- Cowen & Co Outperform » Neutral
Equity Res (EQR)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Churchill Downs (CHDN)- Brean Murray Buy » Hold
Murphy Oil (MUR)- Bernstein Outperform » Mkt Perform
Cerus (CERS)- JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
Gap Inc (GPS)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Monogram Biosciences (MGRM)- Piper Jaffray Buy »
Bankrate (RATE)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Endo Pharm (ENDP)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Essex Property (ESS)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
Investment Tech (ITG)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
Jones Soda (JSDA)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Sell
Chunghwa Telecom (CHT)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
Idera Pharma (IDRA)- Susquehanna Financial Neutral » Negative $
Sun Microsystems (JAVA)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
Sepracor (SEPR)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Underperform
Smith & Nephew (SNN)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
Dynamic Materials (BOOM)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Sunstone Hotel (SHO)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
priceline.com (PCLN)- Citigroup Buy » Hold

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Monday’s Upgrades and Downgrades

Upgrades
CIGNA (CI)- FTN Midwest Neutral » Buy
Town Sports Intl (CLUB )- William Blair Mkt Perform » Outperform
MedAssets (MDAS)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Buy
CBL & Assoc (CBL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Patterson-UTI (PTEN)- Credit Suisse Underperform » Neutral
Nordstrom (JWN)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Helmerich & Payne (HP)- CapitalOne southcoast Neutral » Add
Duke Realty (DRE)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Duke Realty (DRE)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Valassis (VCI)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
PGT Inc. (PGTI)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Pioneer Natural (PXD)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Embarq (EQ)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Morningstar (MORN)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
RadioShack (RSH)- Banc of America Sec Neutral » Buy
Affiliated Computer (ACS)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Apria Healthcare (AHG)- Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
ComScore (SCOR)- Oppenheimer Perform » Outperform
Sun Healthcare (SUNH)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Investools (SWIM)- Kaufman Bros Buy » Hold
Palomar Medical (PMTI)- Lazard Capital Buy » Hold
Magma Design (LAVA)- Needham Buy » Hold
Bankrate (RATE)- Needham Buy » Hold
Millipore (MIL)- Leerink Swann Outperform » Mkt Perform
Investools (SWIM)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Silver State Bancorp (SSBX)- Sandler O’Neill Hold » Sell
St. Jude Medical (STJ)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
ManTech (MANT)- Cowen & Co Outperform » Neutral
Equity Res (EQR)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Churchill Downs (CHDN)- Brean Murray Buy » Hold
Murphy Oil (MUR)- Bernstein Outperform » Mkt Perform
Cerus (CERS)- JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
Gap Inc (GPS)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Monogram Biosciences (MGRM)- Piper Jaffray Buy »
Bankrate (RATE)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Endo Pharm (ENDP)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Essex Property (ESS)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
Investment Tech (ITG)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
Jones Soda (JSDA)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Sell
Chunghwa Telecom (CHT)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
Idera Pharma (IDRA)- Susquehanna Financial Neutral » Negative $
Sun Microsystems (JAVA)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
Sepracor (SEPR)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Underperform
Smith & Nephew (SNN)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
Dynamic Materials (BOOM)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Sunstone Hotel (SHO)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
priceline.com (PCLN)- Citigroup Buy » Hold

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"Fast Money" for Monday


Monday’s Picks
Jeff Macke likes Microsoft (MSFT) $29.24

Guy Adami prefers UPS (UPS) $73.28

Karen Finerman suggests Philip Morris International (PM) $51.02

Tim Seymour thinks Unibanco (UBB) $155.66 is a buy.

Friday’s Results
Guy Adami likes Cisco (CSCO) $26.67 Close $26.75 GAIN

Karen Finerman prefers Comverse Technology (CMVT) $17.56 Close $18.13 GAIN

Pete Najaraian recommends American Express (AXP) 51.33 on a pull back. Close $50.40 LOSS

Jeff Macke suggests shorting the Dow with Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG) $59.82 Close $59.44 LOSS

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 1-1
Jon Najarian= 4-3
Jeff Macke= 33-26-1
Tim Seymore= 16-12
Guy Adami= 34-29
Pete Najarian= 34-27
Karen Finerman= 27-28-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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The Week’s Insider Buys

Here are the top insider purchases by dollar amount.

Colonial Bancgroup Inc (CNB)= $8,050,397
Harrington West Financial Group Inc (HWFG)= $2,083,254
Schering Plough Corp (SGP)= $2,008,774
Mercer International Inc Wa (MERC)= $1,810,494
Valence Technology Inc (VLNC)= $1,370,000
Cathay General Bancorp (CATY)= $831,032
AP Pharma Inc (APPA)= $701,300
Northstar Neuroscience Inc (NSTR)= $683,323
National City Corp (NCC)= $619,000
Kimberly Clark Corp (KMB)= $576,745
MBIA Inc (MBI)= $529,933
Zenith National Insurance Corp (ZNT)= $474,524

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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The Week's Insider Buys

Here are the top insider purchases by dollar amount.

Colonial Bancgroup Inc (CNB)= $8,050,397
Harrington West Financial Group Inc (HWFG)= $2,083,254
Schering Plough Corp (SGP)= $2,008,774
Mercer International Inc Wa (MERC)= $1,810,494
Valence Technology Inc (VLNC)= $1,370,000
Cathay General Bancorp (CATY)= $831,032
AP Pharma Inc (APPA)= $701,300
Northstar Neuroscience Inc (NSTR)= $683,323
National City Corp (NCC)= $619,000
Kimberly Clark Corp (KMB)= $576,745
MBIA Inc (MBI)= $529,933
Zenith National Insurance Corp (ZNT)= $474,524

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Lampert Continues Buying AutoNation

Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman Edward Lampert continued his buying of AutoNation (AN) shares adding an additional 400,000 shares on 4/30 at prices just under $16

He now controls 67.749 million shares or 37.9% of the total outstanding

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Weekend Reading at VIN

Here are the week’s most popular at Value Investing News

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Proposed Fed Rules for Credit Cards

The Fed proposed rule changes today that would aid consumers with some “iffy” practices by credit card companies.

The Proposals:
* Banks would be prohibited from increasing the rate on a pre-existing credit card balance (except under limited circumstances) and must allow the consumer to pay off that balance over a reasonable period of time.

* Banks would be prohibited from applying payments in excess of the minimum in a manner that maximizes interest charges.

* Banks would be required to give consumers the full benefit of discounted promotional rates on credit cards by applying payments in excess of the minimum to any higher-rate balances first, and by providing a grace period for purchases where the consumer is otherwise eligible.

* Banks would be prohibited from imposing interest charges using the “two-cycle” method, which computes interest on balances on days in billing cycles preceding the most recent billing cycle.

* Banks would be required to provide consumers a reasonable amount of time to make payments.

Here is the whole release:

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Phillip Morris Int. Tender Offer: Just How Dumb Does TRC Capital Think We Are??!!!??

I had to read this three times before I could actually believe these clown are serious. You will find the man who made the offer’s contact info at the end.

Philip Morris International (PM) has been notified of an unsolicited “mini-tender offer” by TRC Capital Corporation to purchase up to 2.0 million shares, or approximately 0.09%, of Philip Morris International stock for $49.25 per share.

OK. Let’s just assume that is not a 3.2% DISCOUNT to the price I could sell it in the market today. Let’s also assume we are not looking at 15% to 20% EPS growth in the future. Let’s also forget that there is no multi-billion dollar buyback being exercised by the company as I write. While we are at it, we should also ignore that it is a market leader (and growing) on a massive international stage. Of course we also need to eliminate the fact based on current EPS the stocks trades at 15 times earnings which essentially is a discount to it growth rate.

What is maddening is just how stupid they think PM investors are? We have waited for years for this spin from Altria (MO) and now they actually think we are going to plop our shares over to them at a discount to current prices?

You may contact the man who made the offer, TRC Capital Corporation Lorne H. Albaum CEO (416) 304-1932 ext.223, and tell him yourself “I got your tender offer right here pal!”.

Here is a brief description of the company. The fact he made the offer means he thinks the price is going higher. He is just trying to take advantage of investor who may be confused by the “mini-offer” and think the company may be sold.

I spoke to Mr. Albaum Friday. He claims he is going to hold shares for a “long term investment”. He also said that shares tendered by the 29th would become his then and he would have “2 or 3 days” to actually pay for them. When I said, “well, if the price stays the same as it is today, you could essentially sell all of the 2 million shares (assuming he gets them all) the 29th and never pay a penny and pocket $2 to $3 million dollars”. After an awkward pause, he stammered, “that is a possibility”.

Or, he could sell 1/2 and then keep the other half after which he would have paid nothing for them. When I asked if he was going to keep all the shares he said “he would have to look at that depending how much capital was at risk”. Short answer? No.

He said the offer is made for people who own “10 to 12 shares and the offer may pocket them more money than paying a broker a commission to sell them”. Well, Etrade (ETFC) charges me $9.99 a trade and even at that, I come out ahead of Mr. Albaum’s price if I only had 10 shares. I asked him what other scenario’s there were and he said “numerous” but did not give any.

If you are contacted about this please ignore it.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long PM, MO, None

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Recession?

Here is an interesting video..

Can we be in a recession with the economy growing and historically low 5% unemployment? Maybe since we have the inexplicable need to label things we can call it a “sluggession”?

Just because it is not what we want does not mean it is bad….

Oh.. yea… removing the gas tax? Stupid…

Want to get off oil? Double it..

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Pickens Interview: (CNQ),(SU),(CHK),(SD)

I found this in my daily travels around the web and had to share it.

T. Boone is one of the best interviews out there as he pulls no punches, admits to being wrong (the few times he actually is) and explains his thoughts very clearly.

Mentioned was Canadian Oil Sands (CNQ), Suncor (SU), Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and SandRidge (SD)

The interview is 35 minutes long and you can hear it here.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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SWF’s Holding Periods: (C),(UBS)

Now, this is a long term perspective..

In an interview recently on Bloomberg TV, Lee Kuan Yew the head of the Government of Singapore Investment corp. (GIC) said “We are buying into something that we intend to keep for the next two or three decades and grow with them.” He was talking about his recent $18 billion worth of investments in both Citigroup (C) and UBS (UBS).

He continued, “If there are other banks of the quality of the two that we bought into, with the promise and the capabilities and inherent capabilities to recover, we have got the liquidity to meet it, to make such an investment,”

Yew currently has 6% of the $300 billion in assets he has on hand invested in the two banks.

Why? Yew says both banks have good franchises and brands and GIC has a performance benchmark of 5 to 10 years. “Will there be another Swiss bank like UBS for wealth management? I doubt it, we doubt it, that is why we invested in it,” he said.

5 years from now we will look back at the current financial situation much like folks did in the mid 90’s after the 1990-1991 recession and the mess financials were in at the time.

The large banks will get stronger as the weak get flushed and their will be score on investors kicking themselves for not pulling the trigger “back then”.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long C, None

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SWF's Holding Periods: (C),(UBS)

Now, this is a long term perspective..

In an interview recently on Bloomberg TV, Lee Kuan Yew the head of the Government of Singapore Investment corp. (GIC) said “We are buying into something that we intend to keep for the next two or three decades and grow with them.” He was talking about his recent $18 billion worth of investments in both Citigroup (C) and UBS (UBS).

He continued, “If there are other banks of the quality of the two that we bought into, with the promise and the capabilities and inherent capabilities to recover, we have got the liquidity to meet it, to make such an investment,”

Yew currently has 6% of the $300 billion in assets he has on hand invested in the two banks.

Why? Yew says both banks have good franchises and brands and GIC has a performance benchmark of 5 to 10 years. “Will there be another Swiss bank like UBS for wealth management? I doubt it, we doubt it, that is why we invested in it,” he said.

5 years from now we will look back at the current financial situation much like folks did in the mid 90’s after the 1990-1991 recession and the mess financials were in at the time.

The large banks will get stronger as the weak get flushed and their will be score on investors kicking themselves for not pulling the trigger “back then”.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long C, None

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Friday's Links

Flip Blackberry, Icahn, Citigroup (C), $199

– Finally, this has been my only complaint with my Blackberry

– I can’t wait to read this

– People cannot get enough of these shares.

Could it be?

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Friday’s Links

Flip Blackberry, Icahn, Citigroup (C), $199

– Finally, this has been my only complaint with my Blackberry

– I can’t wait to read this

– People cannot get enough of these shares.

Could it be?

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