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"Fast Money" for Friday


Friday’s Picks
Jeff Macke likes Apple (AAPL) $151.61

Guy Adami prefers Corning (GLW) $25.53

Karen Finerman recommends Microsoft (MSFT) $29.0

Pete Najarian thinks Walter Industries (WLT) $69.08 is a buy.

Thursday’s Picks
Guy Adami likes Western Digital (WDC) $27.57 Close $28.85 GAIN

Karen Finerman recommends shorting Capital One (COF) $53.18 Close $52.99 LOSS

Pete Nararian thinks Nokia (NOK) $33.7 is a buy. Close $33.75 GAIN

Jeff Macke likes Apple (AAPL) $147.49 Close $151.61 GAIN

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-1
Jeff Macke= 24-17
Tim Seymore= 14-8
Guy Adami= 22-22
Pete Najarian= 25-19
Karen Finerman= 18-23-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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Wattles Demands Schoonover’s Dismissal

Activist Mark Wattles has had the best line to date on Circuit City’s (CC) turnaround effort.

Wattles said management “has repeatedly touted the fact that they have cut $200 million of annualized selling, general and administrative expenses while ignoring the fact that approximately $500 million of gross profit has been wiped-out in the process.”

Beautiful…

He has also nominated 5 people to the Board of Directors and a proxy fight is on.

I first wrote about CC almost a year ago now and speculated it may be a good buy-out candidate. Not soon after that I backed off that claim after watching Schoonover & Crew’s various missteps and have since said that the company is still a good buy-out candidate, but not until current management is gone.

The WJS ran a piece Thursday that said “The company has a lot of financial commitments to stores in sub-par locations. Many retailers have gone the way of all flesh. It’s a precarious industry. Their former big box stores litter the landscape like giant ruins. Circuit City could certainly follow suit. The advantage of a $4.65 share price, as speculators are wont to joke, is that you know your downside. That’s even more true of the options. There is nothing wrong with taking a flyer, so long as you know that’s what you’re doing.”

Now, to a point the author is correct in that at $4.50 a share, the downside is minimal. But, unless you buy a bunch, so is the upside. Your profit or loss is based on what your total investment is, regardless of share price.

Whether a stock is $100 or $2, really does not matter, it is the dollar amount you buy that matters. If I by 2 shares at $100 or 100 shares at $2, my investment is the same.

All that being said, I may buy the day Schoonover leaves, but not a second before. Given the current economy and his track record, $4.50 is much more likely to become $2.50 than $6.50 in the near future.

If shareholders are lucky, Wattles gets his wish….

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Wattles Demands Schoonover's Dismissal

Activist Mark Wattles has had the best line to date on Circuit City’s (CC) turnaround effort.

Wattles said management “has repeatedly touted the fact that they have cut $200 million of annualized selling, general and administrative expenses while ignoring the fact that approximately $500 million of gross profit has been wiped-out in the process.”

Beautiful…

He has also nominated 5 people to the Board of Directors and a proxy fight is on.

I first wrote about CC almost a year ago now and speculated it may be a good buy-out candidate. Not soon after that I backed off that claim after watching Schoonover & Crew’s various missteps and have since said that the company is still a good buy-out candidate, but not until current management is gone.

The WJS ran a piece Thursday that said “The company has a lot of financial commitments to stores in sub-par locations. Many retailers have gone the way of all flesh. It’s a precarious industry. Their former big box stores litter the landscape like giant ruins. Circuit City could certainly follow suit. The advantage of a $4.65 share price, as speculators are wont to joke, is that you know your downside. That’s even more true of the options. There is nothing wrong with taking a flyer, so long as you know that’s what you’re doing.”

Now, to a point the author is correct in that at $4.50 a share, the downside is minimal. But, unless you buy a bunch, so is the upside. Your profit or loss is based on what your total investment is, regardless of share price.

Whether a stock is $100 or $2, really does not matter, it is the dollar amount you buy that matters. If I by 2 shares at $100 or 100 shares at $2, my investment is the same.

All that being said, I may buy the day Schoonover leaves, but not a second before. Given the current economy and his track record, $4.50 is much more likely to become $2.50 than $6.50 in the near future.

If shareholders are lucky, Wattles gets his wish….

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Another Court Win for Altria

Back in August I wrote, “the legal environment surrounding tobacco has not been this good in 20 year. I just got better.

The 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals Thursday reversed U.S. District Judge Jack B. Weinstein’s 2006 decision certifying a class of smokers in what became known as the “Schwab Case”. The suit sought $280 billion.

Altria argued that the lower-court judge was wrong in granting class-action status to the case, saying the certification was “overbroad” and the issues were so individualized for each brand or each smoker’s own circumstances that the case couldn’t be effectively grouped in such a class.

Altria also said the class certified by Judge Weinstein would cover “nearly everyone who ever purchased a cigarette”. Why? Light cigarettes weren’t introduced until the 70’s, and have been used by only an estimated 50 million U.S. residents.

The court agreed with Altria, saying, “Because individual issues outweigh issues susceptible to common proof, the class is not maintainable,”.

As if that was not enough, the court followed that rebuke of Weinstein with these gems:

* Federal law “is not a one-way ratchet, empowering a judge to conform the law to the proof.”
* Neither of plaintiffs’ theories of injury “is plausible as a matter of law.”
* Plaintiffs’ theory of distribution of damages “is an impermissible affront to defendants’ due process rights.”

I think that is the closest I have ever seen a court essentially say to another judge “are you #$#@$$ kidding me?”

For their part, Altria said today, “Philip Morris USA is pleased with today’s decision and believes the court came to the right conclusion in light of the overwhelming precedent denying class certification in smokers’ litigation,”: Murray Garnick, Altria Client Services senior vice president and associate general counsel.

I think this essentially ends any serious class action litigation against tobacco. With losses in both Florida and Illinois in the last two years added to this one, plaintiff’s attorneys are not going to see the payoff and the end of the rainbow in this litigation and will move on to the next cause dujor. There is far too many costs involved to bring these suits when to outcome bias has clearly switched against them.

This is not to say there will not be the occasional suit here and there, but billion dollar settlements are done….

The US tobacco litigation risk is now insignificant………..

Other defendants were R.J. Reynolds Tobacco (RAI), Loews Corp.’s Lorillard Tobacco (LTR), Vector Group Ltd.’s Liggett Group (VGR) and British American Tobacco (BAT) .

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long MO, PM, None

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Altria Spin Cost Basis

Here is the cost basis for your shares after the spin for both altria (MO) and Phillip Morris International (PM).

Your Altria shares are to be adjusted to 30.5% of the cost and your PM shares are at 69.5%.

Here is the document from Altria.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long MO, PM

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Thursday’s Links

Penthouse, Snow tires, Grads, iPhones

_ I wonder what the stock certificate will look like?

– This is pretty cool

Here is who is hiring…

– OK….are we officially sick of hearing about this?

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Thursday's Links

Penthouse, Snow tires, Grads, iPhones

_ I wonder what the stock certificate will look like?

– This is pretty cool

Here is who is hiring…

– OK….are we officially sick of hearing about this?

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Borders Delays 10-K

Borders (BGP) announced yesterday that it is delaying its 10-K and made an interesting disclosure.

Here is the announcement:
“Borders Group, Inc. (NYSE: BGP) today announced that it is delaying the filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2007, ended February 2, 2008. The company expects to make the filing on or before April 17 after it has completed its evaluation of financing alternatives and can include finalized transactions in its 10-K filing.”

“As stated in the company’s most recent financial news release dated March 20, as well as in exhibit 10.1 to its current report on Form 8-K filed March 21 with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Borders Group has received a financing commitment from Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. Under the terms of the commitment, which expires on April 4, 2008, Borders Group is allowed to explore alternatives to the Pershing Square financing that may be more advantageous to the company.”

Here is the interesting part:
“Borders Group has entered into discussions with several parties regarding alternative financing proposals. The company’s board of directors and senior management are currently evaluating the terms of these proposals against the Pershing Square commitment, and no decision has yet been made. As this process is not complete as of today’s filing deadline, Borders Group is delaying the filing in accordance with Rule 12b-25 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.”

This is good stuff and the possibilities are endless. Is it just another financing option on better terms? Is there a buyer? Will someone just take a large chunk of the company? Is it simply an international operations sale?

The good news is that any of the options will be an improvement over what Ackman was going to do (not that what he was going to do was bad). We can be assured it will be a shareholder friendly deal since Ackam owns 25% of the shares and has Board representation.

Can’t wait to hear….

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP

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Thursday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
TravelCenters of America (TA)- Ferris Baker Watts Neutral » Buy
AstraZeneca (AZN)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Forest Oil (FST)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Fifth Third (FITB)- Morgan Keegan Underperform » Mkt Perform
Packeteer (PKTR)- Merriman Curhan Ford Neutral » Buy
China Mobile (CHL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Vodafone PLC (VOD)- Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform
Pharmasset (VRUS)- UBS Neutral » Buy
RadNet (RDNT)- Morgan Keegan Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Innovative Card (INVC)- Feltl & Co. Hold » Sell
ISTA Pharm (ISTA)- Punk, Ziegel & Co Mkt Perform » Sell
North Valley Bancorp (NOVB)- Sandler O’Neill Hold » Sell
Nara Bancorp (NARA)- Sandler O’Neill Buy » Hold
JB Hunt Trans (JBHT)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
SCBT Financial (SCBT)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Expeditors Intl (EXPD)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Inland Real Estate (IRC)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Underperform
China Unicom (CHU)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
CSK Auto (CAO)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Quintana Maritime (QMAR)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
LM Ericsson (ERIC)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
State Street (STT)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
AstraZeneca (AZN)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
I-TRAX (DMX)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
AFLAC (AFL)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Ram Holdings (RAMR)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Crocs (CROX)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral

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Thursday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
TravelCenters of America (TA)- Ferris Baker Watts Neutral » Buy
AstraZeneca (AZN)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Forest Oil (FST)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Fifth Third (FITB)- Morgan Keegan Underperform » Mkt Perform
Packeteer (PKTR)- Merriman Curhan Ford Neutral » Buy
China Mobile (CHL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Vodafone PLC (VOD)- Bear Stearns Peer Perform » Outperform
Pharmasset (VRUS)- UBS Neutral » Buy
RadNet (RDNT)- Morgan Keegan Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Innovative Card (INVC)- Feltl & Co. Hold » Sell
ISTA Pharm (ISTA)- Punk, Ziegel & Co Mkt Perform » Sell
North Valley Bancorp (NOVB)- Sandler O’Neill Hold » Sell
Nara Bancorp (NARA)- Sandler O’Neill Buy » Hold
JB Hunt Trans (JBHT)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
SCBT Financial (SCBT)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Expeditors Intl (EXPD)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Inland Real Estate (IRC)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Underperform
China Unicom (CHU)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
CSK Auto (CAO)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Quintana Maritime (QMAR)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
LM Ericsson (ERIC)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
State Street (STT)- Keefe Bruyette Outperform » Mkt Perform
AstraZeneca (AZN)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
I-TRAX (DMX)- Friedman Billings Outperform » Mkt Perform
AFLAC (AFL)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Ram Holdings (RAMR)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Crocs (CROX)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral

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Borders New Concept (Video)

Here is a video of Borders (BGP) new concept store in Michigan.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP

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"Fast Money" for Thursday


Thursday’s Picks
Guy Adami likes Western Digital (WDC) $27.57

Karen Finerman recommends shorting Capital One (COF) $53.18

Pete Nararian thinks Nokia (NOK) $33.7 is a buy.

Jeff Macke likes Apple (AAPL) $147.49

Wednesday’s Results
Jeff Macke likes Microsoft (MSFT) $29.4999 Close $29.16 LOSS

Guy Adami thinks FedEx (FDX) $97.71 looks compelling at current levels. Close $97.33 LOSS

Pete Najarian recommends buying puts on the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) $26.62 Close $26.50 GAIN

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-1
Jeff Macke= 23-17
Tim Seymore= 14-8
Guy Adami= 21-22
Pete Najarian= 24-19
Karen Finerman= 18-22-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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Google Finance Stock Screener

For those who may not know yet, Google Finance finally has a stock screener. It is very usable but needs more criteria.

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Wednesday’s Links

PMI, Sears, Adam vs Cramer, Obama,

Want a taste of what Philip Morris International can do?

– Now, this is a really great concept…

– I tell you what, Adam is rapidly becoming the person to go to when one wants to catch the latest Cramerism….

– Let’s put the race issue he and his supporters always raise so they can tell us we “need to get past this” for a moment. His economic ideas ought to terrify people.

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Wednesday's Links

PMI, Sears, Adam vs Cramer, Obama,

Want a taste of what Philip Morris International can do?

– Now, this is a really great concept…

– I tell you what, Adam is rapidly becoming the person to go to when one wants to catch the latest Cramerism….

– Let’s put the race issue he and his supporters always raise so they can tell us we “need to get past this” for a moment. His economic ideas ought to terrify people.

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