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Sherwin Williams: Time For Shareholders to Sue RI?

More thoughts on litigation by shareholders of Sherwin Williams (SHW) vs The State of Rhode Island

The Court Said:
“we conclude that the state has not and cannot allege any set of facts to support its public nuisance claim that would establish that defendants interfered with a public right or that defendants were in control of the lead pigment they, or their predecessors, manufactured at the time it caused harm to Rhode Island children.”

They continued:

“defendants were not in control of any lead pigment at the time the lead caused harm to children in Rhode Island, making defendants unable to abate the alleged nuisance, the standard remedy in a public nuisance action.”

Here is a veiled rebuke of the original trial Judge Silverstien:
“This Court is bound by the law and can provide justice only to the extent that the law allows. Law consists for the most part of enactments that the General Assembly provides to us, whereas justice extends farther. Justice is based on the relationship among people, but it must be based upon the rule of law. This Court is powerless to fashion independently a cause of action…..”

This is what Silverstien did in the original trial by even letting it go forward as a public nuisance action.

Here is the best part:
“After all, the judiciary’s “duty [is] to determine the law, not to make the law.” City of Pawtucket v. Sundlun, 662 A.2d 40, 57 (R.I. 1995). “To do otherwise, even if based on sound policy and the best of intentions, would be to substitute our will for that of a body democratically elected by the citizens of this state and to overplay our proper role in the theater of Rhode Island government.” DeSantis v. Prelle, 891 A.2d 873, 881 (R.I. 2006).”

In January 2000, defendants moved to dismiss all counts of the state’s complaint pursuant to Rule 12(b)(6) of the Superior Court Rules of Civil Procedure. With respect to the public nuisance claim, defendants asserted that they did not control the lead pigment at the time it caused harm to Rhode Island children and that, therefore, they cannot be held liable for public nuisance.

Now, where have I read that before? Oh yea…..I the RISC decision, almost verbatim!!!!!!!

In 2000 Sherwin asked for the State’s Claim to be dismissed for the very reason it was dismissed by the RISC almost a decade later. Judge Silverstien, ignoring the actual laws of the State of Rhode Island dismissed Sherwin’s motion. 8.5 years of legal fees that should have never been incurred.

What Rhode Island did was the equivalent of charging the person who laid the asphalt on the highway with murder because a pothole on the road 3 decades later caused an accident in which someone died. They knew the correct claim, product liability was un-winnable so they trumped up another charge. Why the dramatic analogy? Had they prevailed, lead paint would have been the next asbestos and the defendants would have faced bankruptcy just as asbestos defendants like USG (USG) and Owens Corning (OC) did as suits would have mushroomed.

In dismissing the Illinois public nuisance lead litigation, the court made the following analogy should public nuisance become defined the way states wanted it to:

“Similarly, cell phones, DVD players, and other lawful products may be misused by drivers, creating a risk of harm to others. In an increasing number of jurisdictions, state legislatures have acted to ban the use of these otherwise legal products while driving. A public right to be free from the threat that other drivers
may defy these laws would permit nuisance liability to be imposed on an endless list of manufacturers, distributors, and retailers of manufactured products that are intended to be, or are likely to be, used by drivers, distracting them and causing injury to others.”

Again, 8.5 years of legal expenses that according the the RISC, if the laws of the State has be applied, should have never been incurred.

As proof of this, the RISC, in its decision said “We agree with defendants that the public nuisance claim should have been dismissed at the outset because the state has not and cannot allege that defendants’ conduct interfered with a public right or that defendants were in control of lead pigment at the time it caused harm to children in Rhode Island.”

“For the alleged public nuisance to be actionable, the state would have had to
assert that defendants not only manufactured the lead pigment but also controlled that pigment at the time it caused injury to children in Rhode Island and there is no allegation of such control. Translation? The State did not even allege the necessary elements for a public nuisance case!! Yet, Judge Silverstien allowed the action to go to trial. Kind of like charging someone with theft when nothing is stolen.

Am I right? Just ask the RISC who said “In denying defendants’ motion to dismiss, the highly respected trial justice, however well intentioned, departed from the traditional requirements of common law public nuisance.”

8.5 years of unnecessary legal fees, not just in Rhode Island but in New Jersey, Ohio, Wisconsin, California and Missouri. Suits were filed in all these jurisdictions AFTER the case in Rhode Island was brought to trial.

Let’s look at numbers now:

The suit is not about lost stock price appreciation. That would be a guesstimate based on today’s environment. How would we argue what mattered more, the litigation or housing etc. We need a number we can prove. Take the total legal fees incurred and multiply them by Sherwin’s return on equity (29% average since litigation began) and lets find out what it cost us in earnings.

The reason to do this is because that money, if it had been left in Sherwin’s control would have grown at that rate annually based on the last 8 years results. Now, were that money not spent on the litigation, we would have seen the results directly on the bottom line so we need to find out the EPS impact of the litigation.

I have spaced the legal fees equally over the course of 8 years. There is now way to know when what was incurred. I have scoured SEC filings and cannot ind the answer. Each amount is compounded at 29% annually over 8 years then I divided it by the 119 million shares outstanding.

$50 million gives us $223 million in equity and $1.87 in EPS lost

$100 million gives us $446 million in equity and $3.74 in EPS lost

$250 million gives us $1.16 billion in equity and $9.74 in EPS lost.

$500 million gives us $2.3 billion in equity and $19.32 in EPS lost.

Now, you would apply a moderate PE of 15 times each amount and we can come up with a per share appreciation (or lack thereof) due to the litigation.

Sherwin or its shareholders need to pursue these amounts (adjusted for details of course) against RI. It is justified because, as the RISC said “the public nuisance claim should have been dismissed at the outset”.

The irony here is that I am sure they could find someone to take it on a contingency fee. Should Sherwin not do it, a class action shareholder suit would be the way to go. We are the owners of the company and have been economically harmed by the persecution err… prosecution.

Clearly I am waiting to see what Sherwin does as rumors are now they will pursue legal costs but things are getting rolling on this end.

Interested parties may email me.

For everything lead, email James Cordrey at Lexis/Nexis and visit Jane Genova at Law and More

Full decision:

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long SHW, none

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Thursday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
QLogic (QLGC)- Pacific Growth Equities Neutral » Buy
Massey Energy (MEE)- Caris & Company Above Average » Buy
PF Chang’s (PFCB)- Wedbush Morgan Sell » Hold
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)- BMO Capital Markets Underperform » Market Perform
Walgreen (WAG)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
SW Energy (SWN)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Ultra Petroleum (UPL)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
American Eagle (AEO)- Needham Underperform » Hold
Brigham Exploration (BEXP)- JP Morgan Underweight » Overweight
Concho Resources (CXO)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Arena Resources (ARD)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Bill Barrett (BBG)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
PF Chang’s (PFCB)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Nalco (NLC)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
Borg Warner (BWA)- Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform

Downgrades
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS)- Edward Jones Buy » Hold
US Bancorp (USB)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Navigators Group (NAVG)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Nymagic (NYM)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Procter & Gamble (PG)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Sun Microsystems (JAVA)- Cross Research Buy » Hold
Orion Energy Systems (OESX)- Northland Securities Outperform » Market Perform
St. Mary Lnd/Expl (SM)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
Research In Motion (RIMM)- Needham Hold » Underperform
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Kaufman Bros Buy » Hold
Cardiome Pharma (CRME)- RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
eResearchTech (ERES)- Leerink Swann Mkt Perform » Underperform
CB&I (CBI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Penn Virginia (PVA)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
O2Micro (OIIM)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Brigham Exploration (BEXP)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
SAIC (SAI)- Cowen & Co Outperform » Neutral
Informatica (INFA)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Lev Pharmaceuticals (LEVP)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Veraz Networks (VRAZ)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Underperform
Cisco Systems (CSCO)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
ADC Telecom (ADCT)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Optium (OPTM)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
ADTRAN (ADTN)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Underperform
Ciena (CIEN)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Underperform
EW Scripps (SSP)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Underweight
Esco Tech (ESE)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Time Warner Tcom (TWTC)- JP Morgan Overweight » Underweight
Washington Mutual (WM)- Edward Jones Hold » Sell

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Thursday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
QLogic (QLGC)- Pacific Growth Equities Neutral » Buy
Massey Energy (MEE)- Caris & Company Above Average » Buy
PF Chang’s (PFCB)- Wedbush Morgan Sell » Hold
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)- BMO Capital Markets Underperform » Market Perform
Walgreen (WAG)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
SW Energy (SWN)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Ultra Petroleum (UPL)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
American Eagle (AEO)- Needham Underperform » Hold
Brigham Exploration (BEXP)- JP Morgan Underweight » Overweight
Concho Resources (CXO)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Arena Resources (ARD)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
Bill Barrett (BBG)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral » Buy
PF Chang’s (PFCB)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Buy
Nalco (NLC)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
Borg Warner (BWA)- Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform

Downgrades
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS)- Edward Jones Buy » Hold
US Bancorp (USB)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Navigators Group (NAVG)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Nymagic (NYM)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Procter & Gamble (PG)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Sun Microsystems (JAVA)- Cross Research Buy » Hold
Orion Energy Systems (OESX)- Northland Securities Outperform » Market Perform
St. Mary Lnd/Expl (SM)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
Research In Motion (RIMM)- Needham Hold » Underperform
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Kaufman Bros Buy » Hold
Cardiome Pharma (CRME)- RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
eResearchTech (ERES)- Leerink Swann Mkt Perform » Underperform
CB&I (CBI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Penn Virginia (PVA)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
O2Micro (OIIM)- Roth Capital Buy » Hold
Brigham Exploration (BEXP)- Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy » Neutral
SAIC (SAI)- Cowen & Co Outperform » Neutral
Informatica (INFA)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Lev Pharmaceuticals (LEVP)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Veraz Networks (VRAZ)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Underperform
Cisco Systems (CSCO)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
ADC Telecom (ADCT)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Optium (OPTM)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
ADTRAN (ADTN)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Underperform
Ciena (CIEN)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Underperform
EW Scripps (SSP)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Underweight
Esco Tech (ESE)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Time Warner Tcom (TWTC)- JP Morgan Overweight » Underweight
Washington Mutual (WM)- Edward Jones Hold » Sell

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Wells Fargo: Earnings and a Dividend Increase From a Bank? What?

Just a yesterday I said, “It is getting to the point where you have Goldman (GS), JP Morgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) as the cream of the crop in financials..” Wishing now I had listened to myself and bought more…

Wells Fargo reported today and:

Net income of $1.8 billion compared with $2.3 billion a year ago
— Diluted earnings per share of $0.53 compared with $0.67 a year ago (estimates were for 50 cents)
— Record revenue of $11.5 billion, up 16 percent from prior year and
34 percent (annualized) from prior quarter
— Record cross-sell for both retail and commercial customers
— Provision for credit losses of $3.0 billion (including reserve
build of $1.5 billion)
— Positive operating leverage (revenue growth of 16 percent; expense
growth of 2 percent from prior year)
— Average loans up 18 percent from prior year and 8 percent
(annualized) from prior quarter
— Average earning assets up 20 percent from prior year and 15 percent
(annualized) from prior quarter
— Net interest margin of 4.92 percent, up 23 basis points from prior
quarter
— Tier 1 capital of 8.24 percent, up from 7.92 percent at March 31,
2008, and 7.59 percent at December 31, 2007

“Wells Fargo continued to strengthen its franchise during the second quarter,” said President and CEO John Stumpf. “Earnings per share were 14 cents below that of last year due to $2.3 billion of higher provision expense, including a credit reserve build of $1.5 billion (30 cents per share). We were able to lend more to current customers where we believed it was prudent and properly priced. We grew core deposits while reducing funding costs. We achieved record cross-sell results with our retail and commercial customers – a testament to our relationship-based strategy and our 160,000 team members who serve our customers. We are open for business and getting lots of it. We also continued to benefit from opportunities in this environment to gain new business and customers through selective acquisitions. We maintained a strong balance sheet and, for the 21st consecutive year, increased our dividend. We’re still affected by the weak economy, but we believe we’re one of the best positioned in financial services to grow through this adversity and to build an even stronger company for our team members, customers, communities and shareholders.”

Now, is that the most confident you have heard a banks exec is a very long time or what? Wait, let me rephrase, confident and you actually believed what he had to say?

Here is the thing. Unlike the pother banks who are writing down loans, shrinking business and recording losses, Wells is still profitable and growing. When these write downs become write up, earnings will explode. A dividend increase? Did anyone actually expect that?

Wells is superbly positioned (other than JP Morgan (JPM) and Goldman, they are the only one positioned) to take a run at a struggling bank like Wachovia (WB). In one fell swoop they could expand their base into the Southeast and dramatically expand their footprint. Wachovia may get whacked when they report another billion dollar loss soon. I would be surprised not to see Wells start picking up smaller regional bank.

Here is the CFO discussing the results:

Earnings call transcript

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WFC,WB,GS, none

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More on SEC Chief Chris Cox

Dealbreaker has it right..

“Every time this man speaks he adds uncertainty and regulatory risk to the markets.”

Read full post

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FOMC Minutes

Key paragraph…

“In the Committee’s discussion of monetary policy for the intermeeting period, members generally agreed that the risks to growth had diminished somewhat since the time of the last FOMC meeting while the upside risks to inflation had increased. Nonetheless, the risks to growth remained tilted to the downside. Conditions in some financial markets had improved, but many financial institutions continued to experience significant credit losses and balance sheet pressures, and in these circumstances credit availability was likely to remain constrained for some time. At the same time, however, the near-term outlook for inflation had deteriorated, and the risks that underlying inflation pressures could prove to be greater than anticipated appeared to have risen. Members commented that the continued strong increases in energy and other commodity prices would prompt a difficult adjustment process involving both lower growth and higher rates of inflation in the near term. Members were also concerned about the heightened potential in current circumstances for an upward drift in long-run inflation expectations. With increased upside risks to inflation and inflation expectations, members believed that the next change in the stance of policy could well be an increase in the funds rate; indeed, one member thought that policy should be firmed at this meeting. However, in the view of most members, the outlook for both economic activity and price pressures remained very uncertain, and thus the timing and magnitude of future policy actions was quite unclear. Against this backdrop, most members judged that an unchanged federal funds rate at this meeting represented an appropriate balancing of the risks to the economic outlook and was consistent, for now, with a policy path that would support an eventual decline in both inflation and unemployment. Nonetheless, members recognized that circumstances could change quickly and noted that they might need to respond promptly to incoming information about the evolution of risks.”

Rates on their way up……..good

Full release:

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SEC Tries to Eliminate Free Market, Promises to Find Patsy

The SEC said “As a result (of short selling), the prices of securities may artificially and unnecessarily decline well below the price level that would have resulted from the normal price discovery process,” the SEC said. “If significant financial institutions are involved, this chain of events can threaten disruption of our markets.” Well perfect….more rules they will not enforce to protect people from themselves.

The agency’s rule change would prevent investors from making “naked” short sales of the biggest financial stocks (an investor sells stock that has not yet been borrowed). These companies would include Merrill (MER), Citi (C), Lehman (LEH), Morgan (MS), Fannie (FNM), Freddie (FRE), Wachovia (WB). Bank of America (BAC) and almost any other financial of any significance. Naked shorting is not always done intentionally as many times broker-dealers will accidentally fail to deliver stocks to investors who have arranged to borrow a stock. If it is done intentionally, it is illegal. If not intentional, it is a mulligan? Why is the investor being held up to scrutiny here? Why isn’t the SEC coming down on broker-dealers for doing it?

I cannot short shares without going through my broker, if they allow me to do it without having shares available to borrow, why is it my fault? They are the ones with the information, not me.

“Today’s commission action aims to stop unlawful manipulation through naked short selling that threatens the stability of financial institutions,” SEC Chairman Christopher Cox said in a statement.

The “new /old” rule would require a short seller to borrow the securities before executing the sale. It would also require the investor to deliver the securities on the settlement date. Hasn’t naked shorting been a no-no for a long time? Is this like Cox doing a Dean Wermer and now putting the investor community on “double secret probation”?

Now, As of June 30, shorts held about 14% of Fannie’s outstanding stock, almost 12% of Freddie’s, and 10% of Lehman’s stock. Does it matter that all three are sitting on billions in losses and actually may go under? If their performance did not suck, the shorts would ignore them. This is the genesis for Cox finally coming in off the golf course.

Bill Fleckstien said, “While no one in Washington did their job, now they are trying to blame short sellers,” he continued, “Short sellers don’t make stocks go down. If a short seller was trying to push a stock to a price where it didn’t belong, it would come back right away.”

All this while the SEC subpoenaed Deutsche Bank (DB), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Merrill Lynch (MER) in a probe of suspected manipulation of Lehman Brothers (LEH) and Bear Stearns shares. The SEC requested trading records and e-mails.

They also sent subpoenas to more than 50 hedge-fund advisers, seeking trading and communications data related to short-selling and options trading in Bear Stearns or Lehman.

Here is what will happen. Cox and Crew are going to find their “patsy”. Some poor slob buried deep in a trading floor is going down and his boss will resign. They will find an email from the guy who said to someone “hey did you here the latest on Lehman?”. The rumor will have turned out to be false but no matter the intent, this lackey is going down. Then the SEC will hold a press conference, thump its chest and claim to be looking out for the “little guy” and protecting them from “rumor mongering price manipulators”.

The executives that caused the billions in losses are going to just walk away with their multi-million dollar paydays and Johnny, the one year out of business school derivatives trader gets 3-5 and a million dollar fine. Go Chris!!!!!

This is so predictable….

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long GS,WB,C, none

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Wednesday’s Links

Ambac, JP Morgan, Graham, Steve & Barry

Miller and Whitman buy more

– Perhaps the next time Dimon gets involved with a proposed buyout, he’ll make sure the CEO and Chairman know about it?

Interesting thoughts

– I think it would be worth it

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Wednesday's Links

Ambac, JP Morgan, Graham, Steve & Barry

Miller and Whitman buy more

– Perhaps the next time Dimon gets involved with a proposed buyout, he’ll make sure the CEO and Chairman know about it?

Interesting thoughts

– I think it would be worth it

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Ackman's Presentation (ppt.)

Thanks to John for the email alerting me to this. It is a slide show on Ackman’s plan for Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM)

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Ackman’s Presentation (ppt.)

Thanks to John for the email alerting me to this. It is a slide show on Ackman’s plan for Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM)

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Wednesday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
F5 Networks (FFIV)- Wedbush Morgan Hold » Buy
IntercontinentalExchange (ICE)- BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Outperform
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Brean Murray Hold » Buy
Acergy (ACGY)- Lehman Brothers Underweight » Equal-Weight
Schering-Plough (SGP)- Lehman Brothers Equal-Weight » Overweight
Bankrate (RATE)- Roth Capital Hold » Buy
Nike (NKE)- Susquehanna Financial Neutral » Positive
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Lennar (LEN)- UBS Sell » Neutral
eHealth (EHTH)- Oppenheimer Underperform » Perform

Downgrades
LaSalle Hotel (LHO)- RBC Capital Mkts Top Pick » Outperform
Continental Resources (CLR)- Broadpoint Capital Buy » Neutral
Cogent Communications (CCOI)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Underperform
Memsic (MEMS)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
LHC Group (LHCG)- BB&T Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Sunstone Hotel (SHO)- RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
Groupe Danone (GDNNY)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Vail Resorts (MTN)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
American Intl (AIG)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Third Wave (TWTI)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Kimberly-Clark (KMB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Wachovia (WB)- Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform

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Wednesday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
F5 Networks (FFIV)- Wedbush Morgan Hold » Buy
IntercontinentalExchange (ICE)- BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Outperform
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Brean Murray Hold » Buy
Acergy (ACGY)- Lehman Brothers Underweight » Equal-Weight
Schering-Plough (SGP)- Lehman Brothers Equal-Weight » Overweight
Bankrate (RATE)- Roth Capital Hold » Buy
Nike (NKE)- Susquehanna Financial Neutral » Positive
CSG Systems (CSGS)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Lennar (LEN)- UBS Sell » Neutral
eHealth (EHTH)- Oppenheimer Underperform » Perform

Downgrades
LaSalle Hotel (LHO)- RBC Capital Mkts Top Pick » Outperform
Continental Resources (CLR)- Broadpoint Capital Buy » Neutral
Cogent Communications (CCOI)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Underperform
Memsic (MEMS)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
LHC Group (LHCG)- BB&T Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Sunstone Hotel (SHO)- RBC Capital Mkts Outperform » Sector Perform
Groupe Danone (GDNNY)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Vail Resorts (MTN)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
American Intl (AIG)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Third Wave (TWTI)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Kimberly-Clark (KMB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Wachovia (WB)- Oppenheimer Perform » Underperform

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Ackman on Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE) (video)

Ackman is short the junior debt and equity of both, but not the senior debt.

First watch Rep. Paul Ryan from the Ways and Means and listen to his concerns regarding Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE).

Now listen to Ackman’s plan:

Part 1:

Part 2:

Ackman’s plan is brilliant as it restores the institutions financially so they can help the housing market, punishes equity holders for investing in a company with equity of 140 to 1, save senior debt that has the implicit guarantee and uses most likely, no tax payer funds.

If you do not get it, listen to the plan again. It is very simple and covers all the bases as far as the current objections to any government involvement in them.

With all the hand wringing out there over both entities, this solution is by far the best proposed. Now, the skeptics will say “Ackman just wants to make money”. So what? Let him is he saves us all a whole lot more losses. Besides, if he comes up with the plan, why shouldn’t he profit?

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Fed Releases Auction Results

Rates are going up…This is the highest interest rate for the auction yet.

On July 14, 2008, the Federal Reserve conducted an auction of $75 billion in 28-day credit through its Term Auction Facility. Following are the results of the auction:

Stop-out rate: 2.300%

Total propositions submitted: $93.344 billion
Total propositions accepted: $75.000 billion
Bid/cover ratio: 1.24

Number of bidders: 82

Bids at the stop-out rate were prorated at 10.77% and resulting awards were rounded to the nearest $10,000 (except that all awards below $10,000 are rounded up to $10,000).

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