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CSX / TCI Court Documnents and Thoughts on "Disclosure"

Not sure if anyone has seen thins but it is a must read.

Judge Lewis Kaplan opens with Read the whole document at the link:
“Some people deliberately go close to the line dividing legal from illegal if they seea sufficient opportunity for profit in doing so. A few cross that line and, if caught, seek to justify their actions on the basis of formalistic arguments even when it is apparent that they have defeated the purpose of the law.

This is such a case. The defendants – two hedge funds that seek extraordinary gain,
sometimes through “shareholder activism” – amassed a large economic position in CSX Corporation (“CSX”), one of the nation’s largest railroads. They did so for the purpose of causing CSX to behave in a manner that they hoped would lead to a rise in the value of their holdings. And there is nothing wrong with that. But they did so in close coordination with each other and without making the public disclosure required of 5 percent shareholders and groups by the Williams Act, a statute that
was enacted to ensure that other shareholders are informed of such accumulations and arrangements.

They now have launched a proxy fight that, if successful, would result in their having substantial influence and perhaps practical working control of CSX. Defendants seek to defend their secret accumulation of interests in CSX by invoking
what they assert is the letter of the law. Much of their position in CSX was in the form of total return equity swaps (“TRSs”), a type of derivative that gave defendants substantially all of the indicia of stock ownership save the formal legal right to vote the shares. In consequence, they argue, they did not beneficially own the shares referenced by the swaps and thus were not obliged to disclose sooner
or more fully than they did. In a like vein, they contend that they did not reach a formal agreement to act together, and therefore did not become a “group” required to disclose its collaborative activities, until December 2007 despite the fact that they began acting in concert with respect to CSX far earlier. But these contentions are not sufficient to justify defendants’ actions.”

This is a must read because it goes to disclosure. Hedge funds are constantly all over management (for the good of all) to be more transparent. But actions such as those by TCI, while technically legal, smack of hypocrisy. The same goes to short sellers who are short but refuse to disclose how short they are because “they are not legally required to”.

Disclosure is disclosure and if it is good for some it has to be good for all. It cannot be a piece by piece game. Personally I think if you can be short through ownership of puts and be forced to disclose it then if you have sold shares short you ought to be forced to disclose it also.

If you are acquiring interest via swaps, the same ought to hold. On cannot hold the management of a company to a higher standard than themselves and then stand their a “tisk tisk” management for not “disclosing fully”.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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It’s Friday, So Let’s Play With Macalope

It is time to play “MacSemantics” this Friday

This one gets even sillier:

First as always, Macalope’s “piece”:

Mac graciously does a mea-culpa here: “Todd starts by rightly dinging the horny one for failing to note that he did say Jobs did not actually go so far as to literally say iPhone purchasers were suckers, even though Todd put it in quotes. So the Macalope will agree he shouldn’t have bothered making an issue of that particular point.”

Then we degenerate to more Macgames:

“[Commenter colonelpanic points out that Todd is calculating off a different base by going back to the iPhone’s original price, so his number don’t jibe with Gizmodo’s or the Macalope’s. Some of this may be confusion over the Macalope’s use of “original iPhone” to mean the original hardware at the May 2008 price. The Macalope has already conceded that the price drop from the iPhone’s launch price to the price as of three weeks ago was necessary to stay competitive, the point is that Steve Jobs effectively announced no real price drop at WWDC, contrary to Sullivan’s posts of last Monday. Todd’s trying to reset the goal posts to justify his contention that the iPhone 3G is “cheaper”. Sure, it’s cheaper than it was last July, but it’s not cheaper than it was three weeks ago.] “

Now, what was the post from your truly that started all this? Anyone remember?

Wasn’t it “$199 3G iphone……Job’s Admits Early iPhone Buyers “Suckers” ?. Didn’t I then go on to talk about those who “waited in line for days” for a phone? Didn’t I also then talk about “those of us who laughed when the phone was priced at $499”? Isn’t the genesis of all the my assertions since two months before the phone was even launched that a price drop of this magnitude was necessary?

Wasn’t the first sentence “How stupid do those folks who slept outside for days for a phone feel? They could have waited a year, got a better phone from apple (AAPL) for 1/3 the price….”

Now Mac, excuse us for thinking when you actually said “original price” that you actually meant the “original price”. Silly, silly us. We should know you meant “the price that makes whatever argument I am making correct”.

While your at it, we could just as easily give you GB$500 pounds and in that case after the exchange rate, if you force me to use dollars for the new phone and you use the pounds for your old one, you could make out even better. I mean, as long as we are just doing more “Apple twisting”.

It is nice of you to admit that when one bases his assertion off the original price like I have done since day one that, that person would be 100% correct.

The rest of his post is reduced to some mildly amusing pseudo insult I can only imagine was done to hide the fact he has already admitted on two occasion I was in fact, based on the metrics I used, correct?

Mac post basically says “Sure you are right if you go by what you said, but you are wrong if you go by what I wanted (wished, hoped, tried to make people think) you said”

OK…..Good to know

Perhaps maybe if Mac spent a little more (or any) time writing original stuff rather than just sitting there picking at the work of others, he could avoid this?

Just a thought…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Sold Apple July $280 calls in Jan.

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It's Friday, So Let's Play With Macalope

It is time to play “MacSemantics” this Friday

This one gets even sillier:

First as always, Macalope’s “piece”:

Mac graciously does a mea-culpa here: “Todd starts by rightly dinging the horny one for failing to note that he did say Jobs did not actually go so far as to literally say iPhone purchasers were suckers, even though Todd put it in quotes. So the Macalope will agree he shouldn’t have bothered making an issue of that particular point.”

Then we degenerate to more Macgames:

“[Commenter colonelpanic points out that Todd is calculating off a different base by going back to the iPhone’s original price, so his number don’t jibe with Gizmodo’s or the Macalope’s. Some of this may be confusion over the Macalope’s use of “original iPhone” to mean the original hardware at the May 2008 price. The Macalope has already conceded that the price drop from the iPhone’s launch price to the price as of three weeks ago was necessary to stay competitive, the point is that Steve Jobs effectively announced no real price drop at WWDC, contrary to Sullivan’s posts of last Monday. Todd’s trying to reset the goal posts to justify his contention that the iPhone 3G is “cheaper”. Sure, it’s cheaper than it was last July, but it’s not cheaper than it was three weeks ago.] “

Now, what was the post from your truly that started all this? Anyone remember?

Wasn’t it “$199 3G iphone……Job’s Admits Early iPhone Buyers “Suckers” ?. Didn’t I then go on to talk about those who “waited in line for days” for a phone? Didn’t I also then talk about “those of us who laughed when the phone was priced at $499”? Isn’t the genesis of all the my assertions since two months before the phone was even launched that a price drop of this magnitude was necessary?

Wasn’t the first sentence “How stupid do those folks who slept outside for days for a phone feel? They could have waited a year, got a better phone from apple (AAPL) for 1/3 the price….”

Now Mac, excuse us for thinking when you actually said “original price” that you actually meant the “original price”. Silly, silly us. We should know you meant “the price that makes whatever argument I am making correct”.

While your at it, we could just as easily give you GB$500 pounds and in that case after the exchange rate, if you force me to use dollars for the new phone and you use the pounds for your old one, you could make out even better. I mean, as long as we are just doing more “Apple twisting”.

It is nice of you to admit that when one bases his assertion off the original price like I have done since day one that, that person would be 100% correct.

The rest of his post is reduced to some mildly amusing pseudo insult I can only imagine was done to hide the fact he has already admitted on two occasion I was in fact, based on the metrics I used, correct?

Mac post basically says “Sure you are right if you go by what you said, but you are wrong if you go by what I wanted (wished, hoped, tried to make people think) you said”

OK…..Good to know

Perhaps maybe if Mac spent a little more (or any) time writing original stuff rather than just sitting there picking at the work of others, he could avoid this?

Just a thought…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Sold Apple July $280 calls in Jan.

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Friday's Links

Yahoo, ESL, Whitworth, Starbucks

– Yahoo goes after a blogger

Lampert’s holdings

– At least he owns a bunch of the company he is helping to ruin

– Took long enough

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Friday’s Links

Yahoo, ESL, Whitworth, Starbucks

– Yahoo goes after a blogger

Lampert’s holdings

– At least he owns a bunch of the company he is helping to ruin

– Took long enough

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Friday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


UPGRADES
Popular Inc (BPOP)- B. Riley & Co Neutral » Buy
United Comm Banks (UCBI)- Sterne Agee Sell » Hold
Landstar System (LSTR)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Buy
Pike Electric (PEC)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Silicon Labs (SLAB)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Energy East (EAS)- Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
Casella Waste (CWST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
CarMax (KMX)- Wachovia Underperform » Mkt Perform
American Intl (AIG)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Sepracor (SEPR)- UBS Neutral » Buy

DOWNGRADES
FedEx (FDX)- BB&T Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Plexus (PLXS)- Needham Strong Buy » Hold
Puget Energy (PSD)- Soleil Hold » Sell
Tetra Tech (TTEK)- Stanford Research Buy » Hold
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)- BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Underperform
Coventry Health Care (CVH)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Sonic (SONC)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Integra Bank (IBNK)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Aastrom Biosciences (ASTM)- Dawson James Buy » Neutral
Agrium (AGU)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Kraft Foods (KFT)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Synaptics (SYNA)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
Huntsman (HUN)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Underperform
LG Display (LPL)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Coventry Health Care (CVH)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
TEKELEC (TKLC)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
UBS AG (UBS)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
America’s Car-Mart (CRMT)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Express Scripts (ESRX)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- UBS Buy » Neutral
WCA Waste (WCAA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Commercial Metals (CMC)- Citigroup Buy » Hold

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Friday's Upgrades and Downgrades


UPGRADES
Popular Inc (BPOP)- B. Riley & Co Neutral » Buy
United Comm Banks (UCBI)- Sterne Agee Sell » Hold
Landstar System (LSTR)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Buy
Pike Electric (PEC)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Silicon Labs (SLAB)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Energy East (EAS)- Jefferies & Co Underperform » Hold
Casella Waste (CWST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
CarMax (KMX)- Wachovia Underperform » Mkt Perform
American Intl (AIG)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Sepracor (SEPR)- UBS Neutral » Buy

DOWNGRADES
FedEx (FDX)- BB&T Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Plexus (PLXS)- Needham Strong Buy » Hold
Puget Energy (PSD)- Soleil Hold » Sell
Tetra Tech (TTEK)- Stanford Research Buy » Hold
Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)- BMO Capital Markets Market Perform » Underperform
Coventry Health Care (CVH)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Sonic (SONC)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Integra Bank (IBNK)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Aastrom Biosciences (ASTM)- Dawson James Buy » Neutral
Agrium (AGU)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Kraft Foods (KFT)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Synaptics (SYNA)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
Huntsman (HUN)- Jefferies & Co Hold » Underperform
LG Display (LPL)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
Coventry Health Care (CVH)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
TEKELEC (TKLC)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-Weight
UBS AG (UBS)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
America’s Car-Mart (CRMT)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
Express Scripts (ESRX)- UBS Buy » Neutral
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- UBS Buy » Neutral
WCA Waste (WCAA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Commercial Metals (CMC)- Citigroup Buy » Hold

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Hedge Fund Buys Owens Corning Shares

Special-Situations Hedge Fund Harbinger Capital Partners has taken a stake in Owens Corning (OC).

Since late April, Harbinger has spent $57.46 million purchasing 2.6 million (almost 2%) shares of Owens Corning on the open market at prices ranging from $20.56 to $23.96 each.

The most recent transaction was early this week as they purchased 479,790 shares for $11.5 million, according to a SEC filing late Wednesday.

Harbinger’s Website says they invest in:

Restructuring/Bankruptcy

Purchase securities at a price that values the underlying investment at attractive valuations to private and public market multiples.

Turnaround

Purchase securities at a depressed price with the expectation that the business has bottomed or can be restructured out of court. Receive coupon payments and expect price appreciation to the intrinsic value of the enterprise.

Liquidation

Purchase securities at a price which is materially below our assessment of the asset values.

Event Driven

Purchase securities based on a quantitative analysis of the value of the underlying securities, timing and probability of a specific event such as an exchange offer, emergence from or announcement of bankruptcy, earnings announcement, or outcome of creditor negotiations.

Capital Structure Arbitrage

Simultaneous purchase and short sale of two or more securities of the same issuer in order to take advantage of perceived mis-pricings between an issuer’s securities or in anticipation of an event that will cause the pricing differential to narrow.

Short Sale

Sell short securities when a company’s deterioration or industry fundamentals are not reflected in current price.

Special Situations

Identify medium to long-term investments with a primarily long bias, with flexibility to use other investment strategies and types of securities when attractive opportunities arise.

Owens fits in to a few of the categories. The simple truth is that currently it is a wind energy and hurricane play. Nothing sells a whole bunch of roofing shingles like a hurricane of even minor intensity and Owens, currently a huge producer of the composite material used in wind turbines for wind energy can barely keep up with demand for the product. This is the reason they recently reiterated full year results despite the current housing calamity.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long OC

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Biglari Named Steak n’ Shake Chairman

The Steak n Shake Company (SNS) today announced that its current board member, Sardar Biglari, has been appointed Chairman of the Board of Directors, replacing interim Chairman Wayne L. Kelley. Mr. Kelley will remain on the Board of Directors and will retain his position as Interim Chief Executive Officer until the Company concludes its search for a permanent Chief Executive Officer.

Biglari is the head of Western Sizzlin’ (WEST).

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Biglari Named Steak n' Shake Chairman

The Steak n Shake Company (SNS) today announced that its current board member, Sardar Biglari, has been appointed Chairman of the Board of Directors, replacing interim Chairman Wayne L. Kelley. Mr. Kelley will remain on the Board of Directors and will retain his position as Interim Chief Executive Officer until the Company concludes its search for a permanent Chief Executive Officer.

Biglari is the head of Western Sizzlin’ (WEST).

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Wal-Mart Cuts CapEx Spending Again….Good, Can We Get More BuyBacks?

Wal-Mart is continuing to realize that making what they have better at this point returns more that just throwing up stores everywhere.

Spending on new stores will decline for a second straight year to $13 billion to $14 billion for the 12 months through January, down from an October projection of $13.5 billion to $15.2 billion, Wal-Mart said today. The company spent $14.9 billion in the previous fiscal year.

Let’s not forget the original number for 2007 was $17 billion.

Plans are to add 170 U.S. supercenters this fiscal year and 140 in next 12-month period starting in February after opening 191 and 281 in the previous two fiscal years respectively.

Square footage of stores is expected to increase by 5% to 6% this fiscal year, slowing from 7.7% growth last year.

Wal-Mart is in the mist of a $15 billion share repurchase that, ought to be increases as this spending is decreased. The store remodels are excellent, the “Save More Live Better” campaign has been a success as predicted and customer are flocking to the stores as dollars are pinched.

The only thing really left to do to increase the rewards to shareholders in an increase in the share repurchase. The money is there, so is the financial flexibility. Why not?

As of 4/30 there was $7.1 billion left on the $15 billion plan announced in May 2007. It ought to be finished or real close to being finished this year based on results so far. Why not announce another $10 to $15 billion plan?

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WMT

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Circuit City…..going ….going…. Schoonover Inexplicably Still There

CEO Phillip Schoonover continues to be devoid of any reality……you have to read this.

Circuit City (CC) says its loss widened in the first quarter because of a 11.3% drop in sales at established stores ads it is also suspending its dividend. The soon to be extinct retailer reported a loss of $164.8 million, or $1 per share, compared with a loss of $54.6 million, or 33 cents per share a year ago. Circuit City Stores Inc. says revenue fell 7% to $2.30 billion from $2.49 billion.

For the Q2, Circuit City (CC) expects a loss of $170 million to $185 million. Analysts expect a loss of $143.4 million.

Lousy, right? Not according to Schoonover..

“In the first quarter, we continued to see improvement in many of our operating performance measures,” said Philip J. Schoonover, chairman, president and chief executive officer of Circuit City Stores, Inc. “We are rebuilding our selling culture and focusing on creating a good first and last impression with the customer. We have seen improved trends in our store close rate and in our services and accessories attachments, and we are delivering a better customer experience in our stores as evidenced by the upward trends in our third-party mystery shop scores. In short, the quarter represented improved execution and solid, steady progress towards our goals, and we expect to start to see year-over-year improvements in our financial results beginning in the second half of the year. I want to thank our associates for maintaining a sharp focus on expense controls, in order to build a more competitive cost structure, as well as for their hard work and dedication throughout the quarter.”

How about looking at some metrics that actually matter? Executive compensation? Sales collapsed, profits collapsed, margins fell, expenses as a percentage of sales rose, cash balances fell 74% to $94 million, accounts payable rose and debt rose 30%.

But wait, there is more:
“Crisp execution of our retail turnaround efforts remains our primary focus. The outcome of those efforts will position Circuit City well for the future and help us to capitalize on the anticipated improvement in the macroeconomic climate during the second half of the fiscal year,” concluded Schoonover.

Now, Phil, how about we just stop the collapse before we start talking about turning this thing around? Nothing good has happened in the three years you have been there.

If that was not enough, it would seem they are going to turn down the overture from Blockbuster (BBI). While I fell that it would be a disaster for Blockbuster, it would be the best thing for Circuit city holders as they will never see the price Blockbuster offered in this decade.

Said Schoonover, “As we previously announced, the board of directors is leading a process to explore strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, and that review continues. The board has not determined any course of action. As part of that process, today we filed a shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission in order to give us greater flexibility to respond to strategic opportunities as they arise. Separately, during the quarter, we settled the potential proxy contest with Wattles Capital Management.”

What other choice could he possibly have? Nothing he has done in three years has worked. Just sell the damn things and give shareholder something….

The final slap in the face?

the company reaffirmed the following outlooks:
Fiscal 2009 Outlook
The company reaffirmed the following expectations for fiscal 2009:
— Consolidated net sales relatively unchanged from the prior year
— A mid-single digit domestic segment comparable store sales decline

Uh, any idea about little things like profits or losses? It kind of really does matter more than the other two above…

Jeez…one more
“For the second quarter, the company expects to record a loss from continuing operations before income taxes of $170 million to $185 million, compared with a loss of $128.2 million in the prior year second quarter. While the expected loss is larger than the prior year period, the year-over- year increase in the loss is significantly smaller than the increase in the first quarter loss.”

Translation? Q2 will suck also, just not as bad as Q1. I think they want a pat on the back for that.

Great job guys…

I am trying to come up with something funny to say but I cannot think of anything better than what is in this press release…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Buffett in Wachovia?

It has been a while since the latest rumor about what Berkshire’s (BRK.A) Buffett is buying so lets look at this one. It think the last one was a Bear Sterns deal?

Wachovia (WB) credit protection costs fell yesterday on rumors Buffett is considering making an investment in the bank. Five-year credit protection costs on Wachovia fell to 193 basis points, or $193,000 a year to protect $10 million of debt, in from about 202 basis points.

“There is unconfirmed speculation that Warren Buffett is considering an investment in Wachovia,” said Paul Foster, option strategist at Web information site theflyonthewall.com in Chicago.

Now, Buffett does have consider equity investment in financials in Wells Fargo (WFC), M&T Bank (MTB) and US Bancorp (USB).

Would he consider a purchase in Wachovia? The argument could be made that it is undervalued today based on it’s long term potential. We also know that when Buffett invests in banks, the time frame to this point is measure not just in years but decades.

But, Wachovia will not be one of those investments. The reason? Management. Buffett has said repeatedly about Wells Fargo that its management is the “finest at any bank” and M&T and USB have so far shown to have escaped the worst of the current situation through conservative decisions.

This is not to say that what is left at Wachovia management wise is not good, it is just that the situation is unsettled. Buffett, to my knowledge has yet to invest in a company during a time of management transition, especially when the situation has deteriorated as it has at Wachovia. I guess one could argue his investment in Salomon Brothers was one such investment but if we use that as a guide then since he has called it one of his “worst decisions” we can then all but eliminate a Wachovia deal.

What if Buffett did do a deal? If he did then we can only figure that he sees a current valuation so low that even mediocre management at the bank will not mess up the eventual revaluation to normalized levels.

At the end f the day this is nothing more than a rumor but the exercise is always fun..

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WB,WFC, none

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Thursday’s Links

Fat Pitch, Gore, FireFox, Klarman

Nice work George……

Why is this news?

I agree

– Anything he says should be listened to

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Thursday's Links

Fat Pitch, Gore, FireFox, Klarman

Nice work George……

Why is this news?

I agree

– Anything he says should be listened to

Todd Sullivan's- ValuePlays

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