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Dow Chemical Trims Marginal Operations

Dow Chemical (DOW) CEO Andrew Liveris has stated the goal of ridding Dow of marginally profitable businesses to focus the company on its specialty ones.

Liveris said “Today’s announcement reflects our commitment to prune businesses that are not delivering appropriate value and tackle tasks more efficiently across the entire organization … freeing up capital and resources that will be re-directed toward value-creating growth opportunities”

He continued, “Our focus on financial discipline and low cost to serve remains as sharp as ever, and we will continue to seek ways to refine our organizational structure, asset base and business portfolio to ensure Dow’s competitiveness on the world stage.”

The moves, which will result in a Q4 cash expenditures of $150 million include:

º Due to overcapacity within the industry, a disadvantaged cost position, and increasing pressure from generic suppliers, the Company will record an impairment charge related to its agricultural products manufacturing site located in Lauterbourg, France. As required, the Company has launched an information/consultation process with local employee representatives on the closure project.

º The Company has assessed the long-term profitability of its participation in the automotive sealers business and has determined that the projected results are inconsistent with the financial performance expected of a market-facing business. As a result, the Company will exit the automotive sealers business in North America, Asia Pacific and Latin America within the next 9 to 18 months, and will explore strategic options within Europe.

º The Company will write down its investment in a joint venture – Petromont and Company, Limited Partnership – due to an unfavorable financial outlook, reflecting significant long-term economic challenges.

º The Company has evaluated the economic and financial feasibility of its styrene plant in Camaçari, Brazil, and due to raw material competitiveness, the age of the facility, as well as the ready availability of styrene within the global marketplace, the Company will recognize an impairment charge related to this facility.

º The Company will close its hydroxyethyl cellulose manufacturing facility located in Aratu, Brazil, due to a number of factors, including capacity limitations, high structural and raw material costs, and older technology. After studying several options to improve the profitability of the facility, the Company decided to close the plant during the first quarter of 2008.

º Due to a number of factors, including the inability to secure a source of economically sustainable propylene and the use of older technologies at the plant, Union Carbide Corporation (a wholly owned subsidiary of Dow) has decided to shut down the polypropylene facility at St. Charles Operations in Hahnville, Louisiana, by the end of 2007.

The total charges including the above expenditures are expected to be $500 to $600 million. If all the charges are taken in Q4, the total comes to about 62 cents a share. Dow will save about $180 million a year from the moves. While not a huge number, the real advantage for shareholders here is the availability of cash for other uses. The move will allow Dow to now redirect millions of dollars into operations whose return on that investment is far higher than those bring shuttered. Other use could include dividend increases or additional share repurchases.

All in all this is a rather mundane event as far as earnings go but its importance is in Dow still delivering on the ambitious goals it is setting for itself.

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Lampert Adds to Autonation Stake

In a late filing Tuesday, Eddie Lampert purchased an additional 467,609 shares of AutoNation (AN).

The shares were purchased between $16.11 and $16.50 a share today. This brings his RBS Partners stake to over 39,300,000 shares. Lampert controls an additional 17,000,000 shares through other entities. They are:

1. Shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Shares”), of AutoNation, Inc. (the “Issuer”) are held by ESL Partners, L.P. (“Partners”).
2. Shares are held by ESL Institutional Partners, L.P. (“Institutional”).
3. Shares are held in an account established by the investment member of ESL Investors, L.L.C. (“Investors”).
4. Shares are held by CBL Partners, L.P. (“CBL”).
5. Shares are held by ESL Investment Management, L.P. (“ESLIM”).
6. Shares are held by RBS Partners, L.P. (“RBS”).
7. Shares are held by Edward S. Lampert.

The Form 4 was filed on behalf of Mr. Lampert, ESL Investments, Inc. (“Investments”), RBS and Partners. RBS is the general partner of Partners and the managing member of Investors. RBS Investment Management, LLC (“RBSIM”) is the general partner of Institutional. Investments is the general partner of RBS and CBL and the manager of RBSIM. Mr. Lampert is the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Director of Investments and the managing member of the general partner of ESLIM.

The good thing about sentiment being against Lampert now? You can easily copy him and get in a very good prices.

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Chris Dodd Goes After Someone People Have Heard Of: Paulson

Connecticut Democrat Chris Dodd has realized one thing, the NY Times still runs the agenda for his party.

Dodd, realizing 99% of American’s not only do not know who he is but also do not know he is running for President, found a way to get himself some publicity today. He decided to question the integrity of someone most American’s do know: Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson. On a side note, if more folks know who the head guy at Treasury is than know who you are, and you are running for President, stop, you are now officially wasting all our time.

Dodd said he was concerned because it appeared that Goldman Sachs (GS) was “aggressively pushing subprime mortgages that they knew to be of concern while simultaneously shorting collateralized mortgage obligations.” Maybe they were. If they were, so what? They are after all a brokerage that has a massive trading operation. Is Dodd suggesting investment houses can only take long positions?

Another thing Chris. Goldman did not sell mortgages. They financed them and that is a huge difference. Goldman has also taken large writedowns on its CDO portfolio, they just hegded against that better than the other institutions.

Dodd said Paulson should “address the concerns” raised by the New York Times article and added a warning: “Failure to do so may be cause for a formal investigation.” Once again, the NY Times telling Democrats what is important and them following like a dog to a burger.

How about this. I would love to hear Paulson address him like this at the upcoming dog and pony show. Chris, let me explain things to you. You clearly have no idea how the real world works and we both know the only reason you are sitting there is because of your late father U.S. Senator Thomas Joseph Dodd. Without him we both know you probably would be asking me if I wanted to “super-size that for only one more dollar” rather than wasting everyones time on this subject.

That being said, you and the group of trained chimps you sit with pass laws on the sale securities. We follow those rules and oh yea, we also have a trading operation that takes all types of positions on all types of securities in almost every country in the world. As a matter of fact, more than 50% of the profits at Goldman profits come from overseas (that means countries outside the US).

You see Chris, almost every bank out there bought and sold these securities (including us) and most hedged these bets. Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), Wachovia (WB), Morgan Stanley (MS) etc.. they all did it. The difference is we just did it better. They got greedy and we bet against the grain. Pretty simple really.

Now that we are on the subject, maybe you could help us out. Could you try to win the election? We just ask because the tax increase you are promising will definitely drive the economy into recession and we could really make a killing off these short positions then. Just a thought…

On a side note, speaking of possible “ethical issues” . We know you received more money from Arthur Andersen than any other Democrat — $54,843.00 — and aggressively worked to insulate Arthur Andersen and other accounting firms from liability to defrauded investors in cases like Enron. Now that Anderson is gone, where do you get your $$ from now?

Perhaps this is just payback for Goldman Chief Blankenfeld supporting Hillary for President? That is the only thing that actually would make any sense.

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"Fast Money" for Wednesday


Wednesday’s Picks
Jeff Macke thinks Guess (GES) is a buy. Open $43.48

Guy Adami likes Nordstrom (JWN). Open $36.45

Karen Finerman recommends getting long Goldman (GS) Open $215.22 and short Lehman (LEH).Open $59.61

Pete Najarian thinks Fannie Mae (FNM) is a buy. Open $35.18

Tuesday’s Results

Jeff Macke likes THQ Inc. (THQI) on Monday’s Activision buyout. Open $24.90 close $24.99 GAIN

Guy Adami recommends betting against the Dow by buying Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG).Open $59.54 Close $59.82 GAIN

Karen Finerman prefers Kohl’s (KSS).Open $49.22 Close $50.58 GAIN

Pete Najarian likes U.S. Bancorp (USB) Open $32.93 Close $32.47 LOSS

Guy Adami= 49-42 = 55%
John Najarian= 13-4 = 76%
Jeff Macke= 54-35 = 61%
Pete Najarian= 37-38 = 48%
Tim Seymore= 6-7 = 57%
Karen Finerman= 31-24 = 55%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 3-0 = 100
Ned Riley= 1-0 = 100%
Carter Worth= 0-1 = 0%

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Tuesday’s 52 Week Low’s


WAG Walgreen Co. 35.93
VVI Viad Corp 28.60
VRNM Verenium Corporation 3.39
VFC VF Corporation 72.83
RUTH Ruths Chris Steak Hse Inc 11.32
RT Ruby Tuesday, Inc. (G … 12.60
RMIX U S Concrete Inc 3.60
ODP Office Depot, Inc 16.33
OC Owens Corning New 21.43
JSDA Jones Soda Co 5.93
JBL Jabil Circuit Inc 16.31
IIG Imergent Inc 11.36
IHP IHOP Corp 46.69
GEHL Gehl Co 15.72
GCI Gannett Co., Inc 35.63
BBI Blockbuster Inc 3.34

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Autozone Easily Beats Estimates: Is Lampert a Genius Again?

Does Autozone’s (AZO) earnings report today is sending shares up 15% today (up 9% for the past year). Does Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman’s Eddie Lampert’s near 40% stake in the company now mean he is a genius again? I can’t help but notice CNBC has not mentioned ONE TIME TODAY his stake in the company. Mistake? I think not.

Does anyone else find it odd that post after post has hit the blogsphere and the mainstream media bashing Lampert’s investments almost hourly for the past three weeks, today’s news has been met with a deafening silence?

Where are all the pundits today? Are we done piling on? If a bad 9 months means Lampert has offically “lost it” then a 16% gain in one day by the same infantile logic must mean he is an uber-investor once again, no?

This is the problem with short term thinking. I makes you stupid. Nobody is “what they did today”, there are what they have done up until this point. Investors like Bill Miller, Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A) Warren Buffett and Lampert, who have produce decades of market beating return just do not lose it. Investing is not like baseball where a power pitcher turns a certain age and the skills just go. If anything, age and the knowledge that come with it help investors.

CNBC is really disappointing me today. It is one thing to bash an investor and even another to use “questionable” comparisons to make your point, but it is ethically vapid to then not be “fair and balanced” (wrong network?) when events turn.

It just comes down to a credibility issue, they are losing it.

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Tuesday’s Links

Blogging, Attorney’s, Ebay and Subprime, Toy Safety

– Howard Lizdon has the best defense of blogging I have seen to date.

– These folks are going to ride the lead paint wagon to ruin.

– Ebay may find itself in a whole heap of trouble soon enough.

– A great piece on the history of toy safety.

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Blockbuster Almost Finished

Blockbuster (BBI) is in the midst of a standing eight count in its fight against NetFlix (NFLX)

The site Compete.com has a chart that shows what I am talking about.

Now, Blockbuster earlier in the year was gunning for NetFlix in the online game. Less than a month ago, I noted new CEO Jim Keyes was “still considering ways to build up a digital distribution channel for films. Proposals include merging its Blockbuster.com Internet site for ordering films by mail with its Movielink download service, and partnering with telecom and cable companies.”

Still considering? What is he waiting for? As far back as August they finally got the ball rolling here and yet despite the chart above, they are still dragging their heals and actually talking about “remodeling the stores” in some bizarre Apple (APPL) induced concept. Note to Keyes: It works for Apple because they are, well, Apple, people cannot get enough of their products. Your Blockbuster, when folks think of you they think, “are they still around?”.

The oddest thing? Back in July when former CEO John Antioco was fired Keyes said “as the technology continues to evolve it will be my job to have Blockbuster front and center as a player in those areas of technology”.

Okay… any day now. In case you did not realize, you are rapidly becoming irrelevant.

Back in July I said “If nothing else, he cannot screw things up there any more than they are now. For under $5 a share, it just might be worth taking a gander. I want to see what Keyes will do, I want to see more that 290 stores closed this year. Double it and I become a buyer.”

I would like to correct that now. Apparently Keyes can and has outdone his predecessor. Not with a 10 foot pole would I touch this one now. With shares down 40% since then, I guess most folks feel the same way.

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Retail Website Traffic for Thanksgiving Week

Here are the retail states for the wek ending 11/24 (including “Black Friday”)

1. www.walmart.com (WMT)= 10.9%
2. www.target.com (TGT)= 5.64%
3. www.bestbuy.com (BBY)= 5.62%
4. www.circuitcity.com (CC)= 4.53%
5. www.sears.com (SHLD)= 2.85%
6. www.toysrus.com (private)= 2.66%
7. www.jcpenney.com (JCP) = 2.35%
8. www.kmart.com (SHLD)= 1.89%

Walmart.com continues to set the pace at almost twice its closest competitor and even outdrawing amazon.com (AMZN) for the big week. An interesting note, the combined Sears and Kmart traffic, both owned by Sears Holdings places them in 4th place with more than double the traffic of JC Penny and just behind Best Buy.

Data from hitwise.com

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"Fast Money" for Tuesday


Tuesday’s Picks

Jeff Macke likes THQ Inc. (THQI) on Monday’s Activision buyout. Open $24.90

Guy Adami recommends betting against the Dow by buying Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG).Open $59.54

Karen Finerman prefers Kohl’s (KSS).Open $49.22

Pete Najarian likes U.S. Bancorp (USB) Open $32.93

Monday’s Results
Tim Seymour recommends selling Banco Itau Holding Financeira S.A. (ITU). Open $27.54 Close $27.39 LOSS

Guy Adami says short the Dow with Shrt Dow30 Proshares (DOG). Open $59.13 Close $59.54 GAIN

Karen Finerman prefers Limited Brands (LTD). Open $20.08 Close $19.94 LOSS

Guy Adami= 48-42 = 54%
John Najarian= 13-4 = 76%
Jeff Macke= 54-35 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 37-37 = 50%
Tim Seymore= 6-7 = 57%
Karen Finerman= 30-24 = 54%
Stacey Briere-Gilbert= 3-0 = 100
Ned Riley= 1-0 = 100%
Carter Worth= 0-1 = 0%

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Merry Chrsitmas Altria Shareholders

Altria’s (MO) Phillip Morris USA received $1.2 billion in funds held in an escrow account under the bond stipulation in the Engle smoking and health class action in Florida today.

PM USA also said that it will immediately seek the discharge of a $100 million appeal bond in the same case.

$1.2 billion will repurchase a whole bunch of shares after the PMI spin is complete.

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Could It Be? The Hammer at Citi?

CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo dropped an bomb (at least for me) today in an interview with Hank Paulson.

Bartiromo said “everybody has the highest regard for you within government when it comes to economics, now, the latest talk is that, they want you at Citigroup (C), have you been approached about the CEO position?”

I actually danced when I heard that…

You may remember a month ago I almost begged the powers that be a Citi to get the former Co-President of Goldman Sachs (GS) in the door to run the bank. I had all but given up on it until today.

Paulson’s response?
The usual denial talk about “running full speed at treasury” until the end of Bush’s term. What was odd was that he did not deny being approached or being interested and he answered the question with an odd smile on his face almost as if he was saying to himself, “think she’ll buy this?”

Paulson at Citi would be a dream for shareholders. If anyone could give that institution the kick in the but it needs, it is him…

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Monday’s 52 Week Low’s


ZQK Quiksilver Inc 10.18
WSO Watsco, Inc 35.99
WFBC Willow Financial Banc … 9.01
WAG Walgreen Co. 36.49
VOL Volt Information Scie … 12.37
VM Virgin Mobile Usa Inc 6.78
UXG US Gold Corporation 3.12
MW Mens Wearhouse Inc 32.42
MSW Mission West Pptys Inc 9.80
MRT Mortons Restaurant Gr … 11.06
JSDA Jones Soda Co 6.31
JBL Jabil Circuit Inc 16.44
BNHN Benihana Inc 13.55
BLG Building Matls Hldg Corp 5.60
BJRI BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. 17.44
BIG Big Lots Inc 17.77
BBI Blockbuster Inc 3.40

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Monday’s Links

Cell Phones, Bloggystyle, Race Hypocrisy, Krugman

– It though this number would actually be higher.

– Thanks for the mention….

– This is just great…..Maybe it is not what is said but who says it that matters?

– For the 1,242,876,000,000 time since Bush took office, Paul Krugman calls for the end of civilization as we know it.

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Vikrim Citi’s New CEO?

Not sure if this is the best idea for Citigroup (C)….

The NY Times reported Sunday that Citi insider Vikrim Pandit is the lead candidate for the CEO job vacated by Chuck Prince.

According to The Times “no final decision had been made and that the four-member search committee, led by Richard D. Parsons, was reviewing other candidates.

The board is hoping that a chief executive can be named within the next week, a person briefed on the situation said. The search has been difficult and no clear choice has emerged, the person said, adding that support on the search committee seemed to be building for Mr. Pandit.”

Pandit’s ascension, if it happens, will not go smoothly. Several people inside Citi are vying for the job and given Pandit’s age, 54 and tenure at Citi, 7 months, his getting the job would cause an exodus of candidates who would not see a vacancy at the Citi CEO office for decades. Assuming Pandit did not fail.

What to do then? Bring in an outsider. Why? Any insider that is given the spot will not be greeted by investors with glee because it will be assumed not much will change at the bank. Who then? In the past I have wished for former Goldman Sachs (GS) Co-President Hank Paulson but it would appear the chances of that are, well, nothing. My second choice would be Richard M. Kovacevich. the former Wells Fargo (WFC) chief executive, and current chairman. At 64 and an alumnus of Citicorp’s consumer banking group Kovacevich would accomplish several very important things.

He would bring a impeccable banking track record to Citigroup that would, unlike any other candidate currently being considered, give investors a sense that Citi’s current problems would be fixed. At 62, Kovacevich would also not take the job long term. This would stop an exodus of talent currently at Citi as they would know the CEO job would be up for grabs again in a few years. Finally, his taking the post would finally enable Robert Rubin to do what he wants to do, get back into politics.

Nothing against Vikrim and me may eventually get the job and do it wonderfully. But, another insider being promoted at Citi, an institution investors have been begging for change at will not boost the stock. Pandit will be greeting with a heavy dose of skepticism. For one, he will have to prove his ability unlike Kovacevich who has proven he can do the job, and secondly, if Pandit is named, investors will wonder why it took so long to name him.

The question will be, was he the first pick, the last one or the only one who said yes?

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