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Yahoo’s Bostock to Icahn "I’m Rubber Your Glue"

This is great…..the perfect thing for a summer news story…

So, Icahn send the following letter the Yahoo (YHOO) shareholders after the letter below was sent by Yahoo’s Roy Bostock.

Dear Fellow Yahoo! Shareholders:

Over the years I have attempted to make changes at many companies but I have yet to see a company distort, omit and twist events and facts in the manner that Yahoo! has done in their press release issued Saturday night, July 12th.

During the last week, Goldman Sachs called me a number of times asking me to relate to them any transaction that Microsoft (MSFT) might be interested in transactingwith Yahoo!

I discussed with them the possibility of doing a “Search only” deal wherein Microsoft would purchase “Search” from Yahoo! and pay Yahoo! for any searches that would originate from a Yahoo! content page. Yahoo! felt that a deal of this nature would be very interesting, but only if Microsoft would
guarantee the revenue that Yahoo! now received. This would obviously be a great deal for Yahoo! because Yahoo! would, for five years, receive a minimum of the $2.3 billion they are currently receiving as long as they continued to supply the page views and affiliate traffic they now had. Heretofore, Microsoft had been unwilling to even come close to making this guarantee. However, after I negotiated with Steve Ballmer for the better part of a week, he agreed to the guarantee. He also agreed to commit $7.7 billion dollars to the transaction (consisting of a $1 billion payment for “Search”, a $2.8 billion loan and a $3.9 billion tender offer to Yahoo! shareholders). Under the transaction, Yahoo! shareholders would receive $16.25 per share in distributions (consisting of cash
and securities) and be left with a content company which would have a minimum guarantee of $2.3 billion per year of “Search” revenue from Microsoft and cost saving synergies from exiting the “Search” business that Yahoo! has publicly stated would be $750 million per year (excluding the benefits from reduction of stock compensation and other non-cash items). However, Microsoft believes the synergies from Yahoo! exiting “Search” would be far superior and that Yahoo!’s 2009 GAAP operating income would exceed $2 billion. Microsoft would be making a substantial equity investment in the remaining company at a valuation of $19.50 per share. Furthermore, Yahoo! would be spared the great expense of maintaining “Search” as well as having to spend billions in developing new technology to compete with Google and Microsoft – which it is highly doubtful they would be
able to do successfully. Additionally, Yahoo! would be able to avoid the great risk of seeing “Search” continue to lose market share and eventually melt away.

I spoke to Goldman Sachs and Roy Bostock on Thursday concerning the breakthrough with Microsoft. A call to discuss the details of the transaction was then set up among Microsoft, Yahoo! and me on Friday afternoon, July 11th. However to my surprise and consternation, on the Friday call Yahoo!, instead of being interested in the Microsoft offer, seemed to me to be focused on who would be
running Yahoo!. Finally, Steve Ballmer suggested that we not spend the rest of Friday afternoon on corporate governance. “First tell us if you like the deal,” he said.

THE YAHOO! PRESS RELEASE

a. Yahoo! in their Saturday night press release makes much of the fact that they were only given 24 hours to decide on the Microsoft offer because of the time constraints relating to the proxy fight, but neglects to mention that they were offered more time if they would be willing to postpone the
annual meeting for a short period.

b. Yahoo! conveniently neglects in its press release to tell you about the extremely important above mentioned guarantees that Microsoft was willing to make;

c. Yahoo! tells you in their press release that a condition of the deal was the immediate replacement of the current board and removal of top management. Yahoo! neglected to mention we were willing to discuss keeping a number of the current board members and Jerry Yang as Chief Yahoo!

d. Yahoo tells you the Microsoft proposal precludes the potential sale of all Yahoo! however, they neglect to tell you that that train has left the station in that Microsoft is no longer willing to buy all of Yahoo! with the current board overseeing the company.

e. Yahoo!’s press release states that “this odd and opportunistic alliance of Microsoft and Mr. Icahn has anything but the interest of Yahoo stockholders in mind”, raising the innuendo that I am on Microsoft’s side in this manner. That is patently ridiculous. Since Yahoo! failed to consummate a
transaction with Microsoft this year, I have spent hours and hours attempting to get the parties together because I believe that it is beneficial to Yahoo! shareholders to have a deal with Microsoft and I have worked hard trying to make it happen. It is important to note that my funds and affiliates own 70 million shares of Yahoo and own no shares of Microsoft or Google while the current board outside of Jerry Yang owns only the shares they have received from Yahoo for being directors. My interests
are aligned with yours and not Microsoft and I think it is in our interest to have this transaction consummated so that we can get value much in excess of the recent and current market for Yahoo! shares.

In June, Microsoft apparently made a $33 per share offer for all of Yahoo! which was met with Yahoo countering at $37, thereby rejecting the $33 offer. Amazingly, before Microsoft decided that it would not buy all of Yahoo! with this board in place, it offered $33 and was turned down. The Yahoo! press release indicates that Yahoo!, in rejecting the current Microsoft proposal, stated that it would do a deal in which the entire company was sold to Microsoft for $33 per share. It is hard to understand why it turned down $33 and is now willing to accept it. It is the same obfuscation that is so prevalent in the rest of the press release. DON’T BE FOOLED.

I believe that, just like the $33 per share offer that was refused by Yahoo! in early June, refusing the Microsoft offer for the Yahoo! search business is also another grave mistake that will be deeply regretted. Our company is on a precipice and our Board seems ready to take the risk of seeing it topple – ARE YOU, THE REAL OWNERS OF YAHOO!, WILLING TO TAKE THE SAME RISK?

Read full letter including deal details here:

Roy Bostock had responded to Icahn latest offer withwith the following:

Dear Fellow Stockholder:
We have written to you before to explain why we believe your Board of Directors has the knowledge, experience, independence and commitment to best represent the interests of all Yahoo! stockholders. We have also told you why we believe the slate of directors advanced by Carl Icahn is not the right answer for Yahoo!.
When Mr. Icahn began his proxy contest he had no articulated plan for Yahoo! other than a sale of the Company to Microsoft. Today he still lacks a plan that makes sense for Yahoo! stockholders. On Monday, July 7, Mr. Icahn announced that he and Microsoft had engaged in conversations he claimed could lead to a transaction between Yahoo! and Microsoft if his slate is elected. In what was clearly a coordinated approach, Microsoft promptly followed Mr. Icahn’s announcement with its own press release, stating that if – but only if – a new Board of Directors is elected, it might be interested in discussing either a transaction involving only Yahoo!’s valuable search assets or an acquisition of the entire Company (something Microsoft had refused to discuss with your Board for months).
The fact that Microsoft and Icahn had indeed teamed up to serve their own ends became entirely clear the evening of Friday, July 11, when Microsoft and Mr. Icahn jointly proposed a new complex restructuring of Yahoo! that would include the acquisition of Yahoo!’s search business by Microsoft. Your Board of Directors was given less than 24 hours to accept the proposal, the fundamental terms of which Microsoft and Mr. Icahn made clear they were unwilling to negotiate. After reviewing the proposal with our legal and financial advisors, your Board of Directors determined that accepting the proposal is not in the best interests of our stockholders.
The Board’s rejection of the new proposal was based on a number of factors, including the following:
1. Yahoo!’s existing business plus its recently signed commercial agreement with Google has superior financial value and less complexity and risk than the Microsoft/Icahn proposal.

2. The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would preclude a potential sale of all of Yahoo! for a full and fair price, including a control premium.

3. The major component of the overall value per share asserted by Microsoft/Icahn would be in Yahoo!’s remaining non-search businesses which would be overseen by Mr. Icahn’s slate of directors, which has virtually no working knowledge of Yahoo!’s businesses.

4. The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would require the immediate replacement of the current Board and removal of the top management team at Yahoo!. Your Board believes these moves would destabilize Yahoo! for the up to one year it would take to gain regulatory approval for this deal.

Am I the only one who thinks Bostock kind of makes points for Icahn? Let’s go with the basic premise that the business of Yahoo is deteriorating and has been for some time. I think that is undeniable. If that is true, then, why is keeping current management and the Board there something shareholders would want? Ought that be an enticement for them to vote for Icahn?

Shareholders also must think and realize that Icahn, who has 5% of the stock really does have “shareholder interests” in mind vs the Board’s and management’s interest in “their jobs”. It will matter when they make their proxy votes.

Bostock keeps mentioning a “fair price”. The $33 a share offer is 45 times the last twelve months earnings at the company of 76 cents a share. That 76 cents while up from FY 2007’s 46 cents is down from 2005’s $1.12. In other words, earnings really have not gone anywhere in 3.5 years now and Icahn if offering 45 times them. Bostock can’t even really make the argument “thing are getting better” at Yahoo. The reality is they are just trading water, like the stock price.

The true irony here is had Bostock and Yang not held their breath and stomped their feet when Icahn came knocking, they may have been able to avoid in the end what they will end up seeing happening, their resume’s being polished up.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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SEC to Quell Rumors………..Right!!

Does anyone really think the SEC will be able to stop rumors? Do they really?

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said Sunday that it and other regulators are firing up new examinations to prevent stock-price maniplation by short sellers and others.The agencies’ goal is the “prevention of the intentional spread of false information intended to manipulate securities prices.”

Now, who is to say what is “false” vs what is “wrong”. We are now delving into the realm of a persons intent and when you do that, it is a losers game. On another note, why are we only looking at short sellers?

How about CEO’s and CFO’s of financials who said “things were ok” only to write down billions months later? Are they not just as guilty?

The SEC is up against it in this one because up until now, the shorts have been right and the firms that have come under attack are poorly managed, over leveraged and have questionable business models for down times. Reads Bear Sterns (BSC), Lehman (LEH).

If I “think Lehman has questionable loans and think management is not forthcoming enough so things must be worse”, then am I spreading false rumors or just speculating? Is this going to be a rear view mirror test? We are going to prosecute people after the fact when what they have said proves wrong? Will journalists get into trouble by reporting these rumors?

Will we investigate Congress-people in an election year like this one who throw bombs about the economy and stocks in an attempt to curry votes? In effect they are hurting equities and stock prices by making the current situation seemingly worse than it is. Surely we can prove half of what is said there is “less than truthful”. Is a SEC investigation into Sen. Schumer coming? clearly his letter lead to a run on the bank. any bad news is bad for Republican’s in the election. Was Schumer pushing Indymac over the edge for votes?

If we are going to investigate Bill Ackman and David Einhorn, let’s look at Schumer’s motives also.

Rumors have and will be around forever. If you have a strong business, they may affect the share price temporarily but not impair it. If your business is weak, they may hurt it….

How about the SEC investigate all those newsletters I get in the mail pumping stocks that never go anywhere?

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Monday's Links

Sears, Bankers, Buffettisms, Hydrogen

– Some interesting thoughts on Sears

Great thoughts

– George has a great collection of Buffett quotes

– Great…..home made hydrogen bombs

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Monday’s Links

Sears, Bankers, Buffettisms, Hydrogen

– Some interesting thoughts on Sears

Great thoughts

– George has a great collection of Buffett quotes

– Great…..home made hydrogen bombs

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Monday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
Berry Petroleum (BRY)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Applied Signal (APSG)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
China Unicom (CHU)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
China Netcom (CN)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Ceradyne (CRDN)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Century Aluminum (CENX)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Jacobs (JEC)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Anadarko Petro (APC)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Morgan Stanley (MS)- HSBC Securities Neutral » Overweight
Commercial Metals (CMC)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Steel Dynamics (STLD)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Syniverse Holdings (SVR)- Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Acergy (ACGY)- Citigroup Sell » Hold

Downgrades
Texas Industries (TXI)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Jack In The Box (JBX)- Wedbush Morgan Strong Buy » Buy
Tuesday Morning (TUES)- B. Riley & Co Buy » Neutral
Webster Financial (WBS)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Texas Industries (TXI)- Longbow Buy » Neutral
Teva Pharm (TEVA)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Wachovia (WB)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Five Star Quality Care (FVE)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Applied Materials (AMAT)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Marriott (MAR)- Susquehanna Financial Positive » Neutral
Marriott (MAR)- JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
DaVita (DVA)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Elan (ELN)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Sell
Emulex (ELX)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Rohm and Haas (ROH)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Tuesday Morning (TUES)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Big 5 Sports (BGFV)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Fresenius Medical (FMS)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Royal Philips Electronics (PHG)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
MiddleBrook Pharma (MBRK)- Merriman Curhan Ford Buy » Neutral

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Monday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades
Berry Petroleum (BRY)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Applied Signal (APSG)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
China Unicom (CHU)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
China Netcom (CN)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
Ceradyne (CRDN)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Century Aluminum (CENX)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Jacobs (JEC)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Anadarko Petro (APC)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)- Wachovia Mkt Perform » Outperform
Morgan Stanley (MS)- HSBC Securities Neutral » Overweight
Commercial Metals (CMC)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Steel Dynamics (STLD)- Citigroup Hold » Buy
Syniverse Holdings (SVR)- Robert W. Baird Neutral » Outperform
Acergy (ACGY)- Citigroup Sell » Hold

Downgrades
Texas Industries (TXI)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Buy » Hold
Jack In The Box (JBX)- Wedbush Morgan Strong Buy » Buy
Tuesday Morning (TUES)- B. Riley & Co Buy » Neutral
Webster Financial (WBS)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Texas Industries (TXI)- Longbow Buy » Neutral
Teva Pharm (TEVA)- FTN Midwest Buy » Neutral
Wachovia (WB)- Fox Pitt Outperform » In Line
Five Star Quality Care (FVE)- Stifel Nicolaus Buy » Hold
Applied Materials (AMAT)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Marriott (MAR)- Susquehanna Financial Positive » Neutral
Marriott (MAR)- JMP Securities Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
DaVita (DVA)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
Elan (ELN)- Piper Jaffray Neutral » Sell
Emulex (ELX)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Rohm and Haas (ROH)- Banc of America Sec Buy » Neutral
Tuesday Morning (TUES)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Big 5 Sports (BGFV)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Sell
Fresenius Medical (FMS)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Royal Philips Electronics (PHG)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
MiddleBrook Pharma (MBRK)- Merriman Curhan Ford Buy » Neutral

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Fed Backhands Fannie and Freddie Shorts

Bernanke sure does like these Sunday night releases

Release Date: July 13, 2008
For immediate release

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System announced Sunday that it has granted the Federal Reserve Bank of New York the authority to lend to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should such lending prove necessary. Any lending would be at the primary credit rate and collateralized by U.S. government and federal agency securities. This authorization is intended to supplement the Treasury’s existing lending authority and to help ensure the ability of Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) to promote the availability of home mortgage credit during a period of stress in financial markets.

Release:

Now, while the move may not spare shareholder pain for the foreseeable future, it does say that the Fed will not let them fail. Both companies have had value destroyed the past two years and this move will restore some of that.

It would seem Ben just does not like to see the shorts win…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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The Week's Insider Buys

Top insider purchases by dollar volume.

Stericycle (SRCL)- $10,001,000
Capitalsource (CSE)- $3,902,000
Copart (CPRT)- $3,615,000
Transmeta (TMTA)- $3,046,000
Equity One (EQY)- $2,856,000
Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)- $1,139,000

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The Week’s Insider Buys

Top insider purchases by dollar volume.

Stericycle (SRCL)- $10,001,000
Capitalsource (CSE)- $3,902,000
Copart (CPRT)- $3,615,000
Transmeta (TMTA)- $3,046,000
Equity One (EQY)- $2,856,000
Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)- $1,139,000

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The Week's Best at VIN

Here are the week’s top stories at Value Investing News

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The Week’s Best at VIN

Here are the week’s top stories at Value Investing News

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Buying More Dow Chemical for A Better Deal Than Warren Got

So, after the news of the past couple days, I have added to the position in Dow Chemical (DOW)

At prices averaging $32 even we tripled the position in Dow yesterday and today.

Current yield, 5.25% and rock solid safe. Think about it, Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.a) Warren Buffett only got 8.5% on his $3 billion convertible and it is underwater if shares are under $41 and change (28% higher than today) in 5 years ($41 is the conversion price).

Now, Warren’s 8.5% is stagnant. My dividend will grow and I will also gain the additional 28% price appreciation of the shares if they sit at $41 when Warren converts at no gain other than the interest he has received.

Dow has increased the dividend 18% over the past three years. Assuming a consistent growth, three years from now the dividend will be $1.94 for a yield on my investment of 6%. Again given the same growth, I will get $2.17 a share when Warren converts his shares and I will be yielding 6.8% on my initial investment.

The dividend growth enjoyed by shareholders may just turn out to be a conservative growth rate that I am using for comps. The reality may very well be far better than that but is very unlikely to be anything less than the current yield given the company’s history. Even were the dividend to stay flat for 5 years (again, very unlikely scenario), the common at these prices offers superior appreciation prospects.

When you add the 28% share price growth I will get in order for shares to get to $41, right now, common share buyers today are getting a better deal than Warren. He will receive interest totaling a 42.5% over the five years and if the dividend on the common stays the same for 5 five years, I will receive 26.25% plus the 28% appreciation in the shares for a total return of 54.25%. Should the dividend grow as is has, the return on my invested cash goes to 58% plus.

Chances do not come around very often to get a better deal than Warren….grab it.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long DOW, None

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Harley Davidson Buys Italian Motorcycle Maker

Harley Davidson (HOG) is expanding its footprint overseas. With International sales increasing 16%-20% even in the current environment, the move makes perfect sense.

“Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) today announced the signing of a definitive agreement to purchase the Italian motorcycle maker MV Agusta Group (MVAG). Under the agreement, Harley-Davidson will acquire 100 percent of MV Agusta Group shares for total consideration of approximately 70 million euros ($109 million), which includes the satisfaction of existing bank debt for approximately 45 million euros ($70 million). In addition, the agreement provides for a contingent payment to Claudio Castiglioni in 2016, if certain financial targets are met. MV Agusta Group is privately held, with the Castiglioni family owning 95 percent of MVAG shares.

The acquisition is expected to close in several weeks, pending the satisfaction of contingencies and receipt of regulatory approvals. Harley-Davidson intends to fund the transaction primarily through euro-denominated debt.

MV Agusta Group has two families of motorcycles: a line of exclusive, premium, high-performance sport motorcycles sold under the MV Agusta brand; and a line of lightweight motorcycles sold under the Cagiva brand. MV Agusta’s F4-R motorcycle, powered by a 1078cc in-line four-cylinder liquid cooled engine, is rated at 190 hp. The company sells its products through about 500 dealers worldwide, the vast majority of them in Europe. In 2007, MVAG shipped 5,819 motorcycles. During 2008 MVAG has significantly slowed production due to financial difficulties.

“Motorcycles are the heart, soul and passion of Harley-Davidson, Buell and MV Agusta,” said Harley-Davidson, Inc. Chief Executive Officer Jim Ziemer. “Both have great products and close connections with incredibly devoted customers. The MV Agusta and Cagiva brands are well-known and highly regarded in Europe. They are synonymous with beautiful, premium, Italian performance motorcycles,” Ziemer said.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. plans to continue to operate MV Agusta Group from its headquarters based in Varese, Italy. Following closing, the first priority will be to appoint a leadership team to include a new Managing Director and to resume the manufacture of current models.”

Full release

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long HOG

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On Shorts and Their Targets

Barry Ritholtz has a great post on the companies currently under siege by short sellers.

Here is a portion:

“We’ve heard from oh-so-many people how whisper campaigns have brought down so many firms like Bear Stearns (BSC) and Indy Mac (IMB) and Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE) and now Lehman Brothers (LEH).

Why is it that all these rumor-mongerers and shorts are only bringing some firms to their knees? How come they always seem to be the over-leveraged, under-capitalized, unhedged, most poorly-managed companies? Isn’t it funny that all of the firms that are the subject of such rumors have so many similar characteristics? Bear and Lehman and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and AIG and . . . the list goes on and on.”

Read Full Post

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Oh Yea….Wal-Mart Beats Estimates and Raises Guidance…Yawn…

I really hope no one out there is surprised by this..

Back in April I said folks ought to get used to Wam-Mart (WMT) increasing its guidance. Today was no exception.

Wal-Mart reported a 5.8% increase in same store sales for the five weeks ending 7/4. Wal-Mart US was 6.1%, Sam’s Club was 4.6%. International sales held strong at 25% of the total.

Wal-Mart U.S.

All six merchandise units (grocery, entertainment, health and wellness, apparel, home and hardlines) achieved comparable store sales increases in the June five-week period. The strongest results remain in grocery, entertainment and health and wellness. Favorable weather and improved assortments helped drive seasonal sales in apparel, toys and hardlines. In addition, the economic stimulus checks contributed to increases in overall comparable store traffic results.

“Our underlying business is strong because of price leadership, clearly defined product offerings and a better store experience that continue to drive customers to our stores,” said Eduardo Castro-Wright, Wal-Mart U.S. president and chief executive officer. “Customers like what they are seeing and they’re shopping more of the store. Assortments and brands have improved, which bodes well for the upcoming seasons, including back-to-school.”

Sales in entertainment were strong, with flat panel television sets continuing to run high double-digit comparable store increases. Within apparel, sales of swimwear and sportswear were strong.

Sam’s Club

Sam’s Club sales during the June period had strengths in fresh foods, dry grocery and consumables. Video games and mattresses were among the best performing general merchandise categories. House wares and jewelry were soft. Seasonal hardline sales were also behind plan.

“Both traffic and ticket continued to increase with both our Business and Advantage members in June, even excluding fuel sales,” said Doug McMillon, Sam’s Club president and chief executive officer. “We continue to see a shift in the overall mix toward fuel, food and consumables, as our members manage through the current environment. Small business is especially price conscious in this environment and we remain committed to delivering value for them.”

Fuel sales were higher both in gallons and dollars sold, increasing comparable club sales with fuel by 3.7 percentage points. The transition of the clubs to back-to-college and fall merchandise is on schedule for later in the month.

“Our estimate for U.S. comparable store sales, excluding fuel, for the July four-week period is between two and four percent,” said Tom Schoewe, executive vice president and chief financial officer. “The Wal-Mart U.S. underlying business remains strong. However, consumers and small business owners remain concerned about the economy, inflation and most of all, higher gas prices. With the last large mailing of economic stimulus checks due this Friday, it is difficult to forecast the benefit from the economic stimulus through the remainder of the year.

“Because of our improved sales results during the quarter, we have updated our guidance estimate for earnings per share for the second quarter of fiscal year 2009 to a range of $0.82 to $0.84,” Schoewe said.

View full release

This all goes back to last fall when the “Save More Live Better” campaign was rolled out. At the the time I said:

“What Wal-Mart does with the ads is remind you what you can do with the money you save at their stores. Rather than the previous ad campaign that only told you they had “low prices” they are now saying “look at the fun things you can do with the money you save”. The images of a family vacation with the kids is sure to spur memories in people of their childhood and the desire to create similar memories with their kids”

It has resonated as folks pinched by fuel prices are going to Wal-Mart to stretch their dollars and be able to afford those very vacations in the commercial. It was the perfect campaign at the perfect time.

You know, I was hard on Scott for a while last year and actually called for him to go. Not long after he seems to have become far more shareholder friendly.

Glad I was wrong about him…… 🙂

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WMT, None

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