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Tuesday's Upgrades and Downgrades

Upgrades
Boeing (BA)- AmTech Research Sell » Neutral
Hasbro (HAS)- Needham & Co Hold » Buy
Gol Intelligent Airlines (GOL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
WD-40 Company (WDFC)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
Pinnacle Airlines (PNCL)- JP Morgan Underweight » Overweight
Eaton Vance (EV)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
PETsMART (PETM)- Banc of America Sec Neutral » Buy
Marsh McLennan (MMC)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Cybex (CYBI)- Dougherty & Company Buy » Neutral
Brown-Forman (BF.B)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
Perini (PCR)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
News Corp (NWS)- Bernstein Outperform » Mkt Perform
Cymer (CYMI)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Underperform
Fastenal (FAST)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
ABB Ltd (ABB)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
TriZetto Group ( TZIX)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
General Electric (GE)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
General Electric (GE)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
First Financial (FFBC)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Underperform
SPX Corp (SPW)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
ActivIdentity (ACTI)- Soleil Buy » Hold

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Tuesday’s Upgrades and Downgrades

Upgrades
Boeing (BA)- AmTech Research Sell » Neutral
Hasbro (HAS)- Needham & Co Hold » Buy
Gol Intelligent Airlines (GOL)- Deutsche Securities Hold » Buy
WD-40 Company (WDFC)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
Pinnacle Airlines (PNCL)- JP Morgan Underweight » Overweight
Eaton Vance (EV)- JP Morgan Underweight » Neutral
PETsMART (PETM)- Banc of America Sec Neutral » Buy
Marsh McLennan (MMC)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform

Downgrades
Cybex (CYBI)- Dougherty & Company Buy » Neutral
Brown-Forman (BF.B)- HSBC Securities Overweight » Neutral
Perini (PCR)- BMO Capital Markets Outperform » Market Perform
News Corp (NWS)- Bernstein Outperform » Mkt Perform
Cymer (CYMI)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Underperform
Fastenal (FAST)- Piper Jaffray Buy » Neutral
ABB Ltd (ABB)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
TriZetto Group ( TZIX)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Hold
General Electric (GE)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
General Electric (GE)- Bear Stearns Outperform » Peer Perform
First Financial (FFBC)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Underperform
SPX Corp (SPW)- Deutsche Securities Buy » Hold
ActivIdentity (ACTI)- Soleil Buy » Hold

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Borders 10-K notes

Some information from the just-released Borders (BGP) 10-K.

* Achieved average sales per square foot of $228 and average sales per superstore of $5.6 million.
* International superstores, which operate under the Borders name, achieved average sales per square foot of $381 and average sales per superstore of $8.3 million in 2007.
* Waldenbooks Specialty Retail operates stores under the Waldenbooks, Borders Express and Borders Outlet names, as well as Borders-branded airport stores. Average sales per square foot were $277 and average sales per store were $1.1 million for 2007
* Borders leases all of its stores. Borders store leases generally have an average initial term of 15 to 20 years with multiple three- to five-year renewal options. At February 2, 2008, the average unexpired term under Borders existing store leases in the United States was 9.8 years prior to the exercise of any options. The expiration of Borders leases for stores open at February 2, 2008 are as follows:
* Waldenbooks Specialty Retail store leases generally have an initial term of five to 10 years, and in certain cases posses renewal terms of one to three years. At present, the average unexpired term under Waldenbooks Specialty Retail existing store leases is approximately 1.7 years.
* Borders has $92.2 million remaining on a share repurchase authorization but cannot repurchase them if borrowings under credit agreement exceed 90%.
* Borders Rewards has grown to over 25 million members.

Again, nothing earth shattering which is a nice disclosure sign.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP

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"Fast Money" for Tuesday


Tuesday’s Picks
Jeff Macke likes Citigroup (C) $22.51

Karen Finerman prefers Microsoft (MSFT) $28.06

Pete Najarian recommends Halliburton (HAL) $44.08

Guy Adami thinks Wachovia (WB) $25.55 is a buy with an extraordinarily tight stop.

Monday’s Results
Jeff Macke recommends making a list of names you like and buying the dips. He’s looking at Intel (INTC)$21.24 and Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.8 Close $55.15 GAIN

Guy Adami prefers Apple (AAPL) $147.14 around $145. Close $147.78 GAIN

Tim Seymour thinks the UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ProShares (EEV) $75.55 is a buy as a bet against the emerging markets. Close $75.85 GAIN

Jon Najarian recommends shorting eBay (EBAY) $30.98 Close $31.37 LOSS

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-3
Jeff Macke= 27-20-1
Tim Seymore= 15-10
Guy Adami= 26-24
Pete Najarian= 27-22
Karen Finerman= 20-24-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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Lampert Ups Autozone (AZO) Stake

In a just released SEC filing Sears Holdings (SHLD) Chairman Eddie Lampert disclosed through his RBS and ESL hedge funds he has increased his AutoZone (AZO) holdings to 22.669 million shares. This is up from 22.2 million just last week. The purchases were made 4/9 and 4/10 at about $116 a share.

Lampert now holds 36% of the total outstanding

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long SHLD, None

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Monday's Links

How bad, Ross, Porn, Cullen

– Could this pessimism be a sign of the bottom?

– If he is buying, downside from here is minimal

– OK, how does one stop this? Every been to DC? It is best to keep them inside watching their screens.

– James Cullen is a very smart man

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Monday’s Links

How bad, Ross, Porn, Cullen

– Could this pessimism be a sign of the bottom?

– If he is buying, downside from here is minimal

– OK, how does one stop this? Every been to DC? It is best to keep them inside watching their screens.

– James Cullen is a very smart man

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The Problem With "Guarantee's"

Wachovia (WB) CEO G. Kennnedy Thompson said in January, “Will Wachovia cut its dividend? And the answer to that question is we have no plans to cut the dividend, because we don’t need to cut the dividend. We are confident in our ability to meet our 2008 business plan and that plan, as we have said before, will generate cash earnings that will cover our dividend payments, continue to build necessary credit reserves, improve our capital ratios and support growth in our business lines.”

They also said “Wachovia is expecting to earn “in excess” of a dollar per share each quarter for about $4.12 a share total in 2008.”

Today Thompson is learning the danger of making promises in turbulent markets much like GE’s (GE) Jeff Immelt did last week with his “in the bag” comments from a month ago…

Wachovia posted a net loss was $350 million or 20 cents per share. It compared with a year-earlier profit of $2.3 billion, or $1.20 per share. Excluding items, the loss was $270 million, or 14 cents per share vs an expected profit of 48 cents per share.

Revenue fell 5 percent to $7.9 billion, short of the average $8.37 billion estimate. Wachovia set aside $2.83 billion for credit losses, and its investment bank took $1.56 billion of write-downs. They finally cut the quarterly dividend 41 percent to 37.5 cents per share (6% yield) from 64 cents, preserving $2 billion of capital a year.

Investors buying today still get a nice fat yield and the chance that anything Thompson says will hold true. His reputation and job are hanging now. It is one thing to make an assumption that turns out not to be true, it is quite another to chastise those doubting you and make a guarantee based on that which is stunningly wrong.

Is Wachovia a good investment long term? Sure. The question that now remains is whether or not Thompson will be around to see that time. His purchase of Golden West looks worse each day despite his proclamations to the contrary and now the dividend cut despite his assurance he would not.

It is one thing to follow fellow banks Citigroup (C), Merrill Lynch (MER) and UBS (UBS) raising tens of billions of dollars from foreign and private equity investors, and last week Washington Mutual (WMU) getting cash from private equity form TPG. It is another to do do after laughing at those who said you would.

Not good at all G…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WB,C, None

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The Problem With "Guarantee’s"

Wachovia (WB) CEO G. Kennnedy Thompson said in January, “Will Wachovia cut its dividend? And the answer to that question is we have no plans to cut the dividend, because we don’t need to cut the dividend. We are confident in our ability to meet our 2008 business plan and that plan, as we have said before, will generate cash earnings that will cover our dividend payments, continue to build necessary credit reserves, improve our capital ratios and support growth in our business lines.”

They also said “Wachovia is expecting to earn “in excess” of a dollar per share each quarter for about $4.12 a share total in 2008.”

Today Thompson is learning the danger of making promises in turbulent markets much like GE’s (GE) Jeff Immelt did last week with his “in the bag” comments from a month ago…

Wachovia posted a net loss was $350 million or 20 cents per share. It compared with a year-earlier profit of $2.3 billion, or $1.20 per share. Excluding items, the loss was $270 million, or 14 cents per share vs an expected profit of 48 cents per share.

Revenue fell 5 percent to $7.9 billion, short of the average $8.37 billion estimate. Wachovia set aside $2.83 billion for credit losses, and its investment bank took $1.56 billion of write-downs. They finally cut the quarterly dividend 41 percent to 37.5 cents per share (6% yield) from 64 cents, preserving $2 billion of capital a year.

Investors buying today still get a nice fat yield and the chance that anything Thompson says will hold true. His reputation and job are hanging now. It is one thing to make an assumption that turns out not to be true, it is quite another to chastise those doubting you and make a guarantee based on that which is stunningly wrong.

Is Wachovia a good investment long term? Sure. The question that now remains is whether or not Thompson will be around to see that time. His purchase of Golden West looks worse each day despite his proclamations to the contrary and now the dividend cut despite his assurance he would not.

It is one thing to follow fellow banks Citigroup (C), Merrill Lynch (MER) and UBS (UBS) raising tens of billions of dollars from foreign and private equity investors, and last week Washington Mutual (WMU) getting cash from private equity form TPG. It is another to do do after laughing at those who said you would.

Not good at all G…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WB,C, None

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Are You Kidding? Circuit City (CC) and Blockbuster (BBI)?

When this was first emailed to me I thought the emailer was being a smart a#@. Turns out it is true. How? Why? Haven’t shareholders suffered enough? Why does management hate them so much?

Blockbuster (BBI) said it made a $1 to $1.3 billion cash offer in a Feb. 17 letter to Circuit City (CC) Chief Executive Philip Schoonover. They decided to go public with the offer Monday after Circuit City did not provide access to its books. (Read the letter.)

Circuit City said today of Blockbuster they had “reservations as to their ability to finance the offer.” Considering that as of January Blockbuster only had $184 million in cash on the books, they are only $1 to $1.12 billion short of the stated goal.

In the letter
Blockbuster CEO Jim Keyes said, “Given current debt market conditions, we believe most of the cash necessary would be generated through the issuance of additional Blockbuster equity, most probably in a rights offering to our existing shareholders. We believe they, and the market, will recognize the merits of this transaction and we are confident that we can raise the required equity. The borrowing capacity of the combined business would provide the remaining cash proceeds.”

They’ll have to essentially dilute shareholders to the max and then raid the credit line CC set up in February to fund the deal since banks are not loaning money for deals that make sense much less one that means a struggling retailer barely making a profit buying one that isn’t.

The larger issue is, what is Blockbuster trying to become? They have a valuable franchise in video if they would just realize the video store concept is officially dead. Adding more brick and mortar locations, diluting shareholders and maxing out the credit line to acquire another problem is a huge mistake.

Keyes said “The combination of Blockbuster and Circuit City will result in an $18 billion retail enterprise uniquely positioned for the convergence of media content and electronic devices. We would seek to differentiate products in both Blockbuster and Circuit City stores by offering exclusive content and content-enabled devices. Both companies would benefit from complementary products, marketing, management strengths, technology and distribution and the resulting synergies would significantly improve consolidated financial performance.”

He has mentioned this vision before but it has yet to be rolled out in Blockbuster locations, why bet the farm on a wholly unproven concept? He talks about “differentiating products” in both locations. That is confusing because I was not aware of any similarities currently. Let’s also be real honest here. Using the term “management’s strengths” and either Blockbuster or Circuit City in the same sentence is laughable unless it is preceded by “lack of”.

Now, were RadioShack (RSK) to make a run a CC, that would make sense. Borders (BGP) and Barnes and Noble (BKS) does. This doesn’t on any level.

Maybe Keyes is officially throwing on the towel in the war with Netflix (NFLX) and has decided to try a new direction?

Circuit City shareholders should jump at the price because they won’t see $6 to $8 a share anytime soon, this will destroy Blockbuster holders…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP, None

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Monday's Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades

AmericanWest Banc (AWBC)- DA Davidson Neutral » Buy $18
Northwest Airlines (NWA)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Delta Air Lines (DAL)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Seagate Tech (STX)- Caris & Company Average » Above Average
EuroBancshares (EUBK)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
SBA Comm (SBAC)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Crown Castle (CCI)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Diamond Offshore (DO)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Ross Stores (ROST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Atlas America (ATLS)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR)- Broadpoint Capital Underperform » Neutral
BP (BP)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Wright Medical (WMGI)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight

Downgrades

Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- Collins Stewart Buy » Hold
Seaspan (SSW)- Cantor Fitzgerald Buy » Hold
Ixia (XXIA)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Tollgrade (TLGD)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- BWS Financial Buy » Sell
General Electric (GE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Pinnacle (PNK)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Underweight
Garmin (GRMN)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
IdaCorp (IDA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Abercrombie (ANF)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ixia (XXIA)- JMP Securities Strong Buy » Mkt Outperform
Smith Intl (SII)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Cintas (CTAS)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Zoran (ZRAN)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Underperform
Total S.A. (TOT)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Valspar (VAL)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Johnson Controls (JCI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ensco (ESV)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
BlackRock (BLK)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Millennium Pharm (MLNM)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Red Robin Gourmet (RRGB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Hershey Foods (HSY)- Bernstein Mkt Perform » Underperform

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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Monday’s Upgrades and Downgrades


Upgrades

AmericanWest Banc (AWBC)- DA Davidson Neutral » Buy $18
Northwest Airlines (NWA)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Delta Air Lines (DAL)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Seagate Tech (STX)- Caris & Company Average » Above Average
EuroBancshares (EUBK)- Keefe Bruyette Mkt Perform » Outperform
SBA Comm (SBAC)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Crown Castle (CCI)- Soleil Hold » Buy
Medco Health Solutions (MHS)- Credit Suisse Neutral » Outperform
Diamond Offshore (DO)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Ross Stores (ROST)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Atlas America (ATLS)- Friedman Billings Mkt Perform » Outperform
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR)- Broadpoint Capital Underperform » Neutral
BP (BP)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight
Wright Medical (WMGI)- JP Morgan Neutral » Overweight

Downgrades

Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- Collins Stewart Buy » Hold
Seaspan (SSW)- Cantor Fitzgerald Buy » Hold
Ixia (XXIA)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Tollgrade (TLGD)- Ferris Baker Watts Buy » Neutral
Foundry Ntwks (FDRY)- BWS Financial Buy » Sell
General Electric (GE)- Credit Suisse Outperform » Neutral
Pinnacle (PNK)- KeyBanc Capital Mkts Hold » Underweight
Garmin (GRMN)- Oppenheimer Outperform » Perform
IdaCorp (IDA)- JP Morgan Neutral » Underweight
Abercrombie (ANF)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ixia (XXIA)- JMP Securities Strong Buy » Mkt Outperform
Smith Intl (SII)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
Cintas (CTAS)- Lehman Brothers Overweight » Equal-weight
Zoran (ZRAN)- Jefferies & Co Buy » Underperform
Total S.A. (TOT)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Valspar (VAL)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Johnson Controls (JCI)- JP Morgan Overweight » Neutral
Ensco (ESV)- Citigroup Buy » Hold
BlackRock (BLK)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Millennium Pharm (MLNM)- Robert W. Baird Outperform » Neutral
Red Robin Gourmet (RRGB)- Wachovia Outperform » Mkt Perform
Hershey Foods (HSY)- Bernstein Mkt Perform » Underperform

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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"Fast Money" for Monday


Monday’s Picks
Jeff Macke recommends making a list of names you like and buying the dips. He’s looking at Intel (INTC)$21.24 and Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.8

Guy Adami prefers Apple (AAPL) $147.14 around $145.

Tim Seymour thinks the UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ProShares
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEV) $75.55 is a buy as a bet against the emerging markets.

Jon Najarian recommends shorting eBay (EBAY) $30.98

Friday’s Results
Jeff Macke recommends Wal-Mart (WMT) $54.66 on a dip. Close $54.80 GAIN

Guy Adami prefers Cephalon (CEPH) $64.89. Close $63.15 LOSS

Tim Seymour likes ConocoPhillips (COP) $79.32 Close $78.54 LOSS

Jon Najarian thinks Cameco (CCJ) $37.42 is a buy. Close $36.74

2008 Records:
Brian Schaeffer= 0-1
Carter Worth= 0-1
Jon Najarian= 4-2
Jeff Macke= 26-20-1
Tim Seymore= 14-10
Guy Adami= 25-24
Pete Najarian= 27-22
Karen Finerman= 20-24-1
Joe Terrenova= 1-1

2007 Results (Since 6/21):
Guy Adami= 58-46 = 56%
Jeff Macke= 60-40 = 60%
Pete Najarian= 49-41 = 54%

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Wilbur Ross on SubPrime (video)

Wilbur says watch out for regional banks.

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The Week's Insider Buys


Amount of insider purchases:
Crocs Inc (CROX)= $4,988,274
Integramed America Inc (INMD)= $4,821,795
Granahan Mccourt Acquisition Corp (GHN)= $4,466,250
Xcorporeal Inc New (XCR)= $ 2,774,000
Allied Nevada Gold Corp (ANV)= $2,772,424
Titanium Metals Corp (TIE)= $1,938,842
Hillenbrand Inc (HI)= $ 1,742,936
Liberty Global Inc (LBTYA)= $842,383
Philip Morris International Inc ( PM)= $ 805,493

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