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Borders Earnings / Debt Reduction Beat Estimates

The really good news here is the reduction of debt by almost 40% YOY.


From the release
:

Borders Group, Inc. (BGP) today reported results for the second quarter, ended Aug. 2, 2008. The company generated a second quarter loss from continuing operations of $11.3 million or $0.19 per share, which represents an improvement over the same period last year when Borders Group recorded a loss of $18.1 million or $0.31 per share. On an earnings per share basis, this represents an improvement of 38.7%.

In the first half of the year, operating cash flow from continuing operations improved by $195.7 million. The company generated operating cash of $50.7 million from continuing operations in the first half of the year compared to operating cash used of $145 million in the same period a year ago with the improvement due to tighter management of inventory and other working capital. Inventory from continuing operations decreased at cost by $181.7 million in the second quarter compared to the same period last year. Debt — including the prior-year debt of discontinued operations — was reduced by approximately 37% or $272.7 million at the end of the second quarter to $465.7 million, which compares to $738.4 million for the same period a year ago. The debt reduction was driven primarily by improved management of inventory and other working capital, lower capital expenditures, and proceeds from the previously announced sale of the company’s Australia/New Zealand/Singapore businesses.

Total consolidated sales from continuing operations in the second quarter, at $749.2 million, were down 6.9% over a year ago.

So, we know the economy is slowing and retail sales are suffering yet quarter after quarter Jones is delivering increasingly positive results for shareholders. “We have not only improved profitability, but also substantially reduced debt, improved cash flow and significantly strengthened our balance sheet,” said Borders Group Chief Executive Officer George Jones. “Our focus on expense reduction, inventory management and improved gross margin is clearly working, and we have managed to show substantial improvement in a very difficult retail environment. We will maintain this discipline and continue to manage the company prudently while also addressing the need to improve the top line.”

How did online sales go? In the second quarter, Borders.com generated sales of $7.4 million. This compares to “sales at BarnesAndNoble.com were $99.8 million for the quarter a 3.6% comparable sales increase “. It means Borders has lot of room to grow. All said, $7.4 million of sales in only 8 weeks of Q2 bodes very well indeed for the upcoming quarter that will have a full quarter of results to it for the online business.

More after the earnings call tomorrow morning…….

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long BGP, none,

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Some Additions at Sears Holdings

The best news here is the new head of the “Big three” brands at Sears Holdings (SHLD)

The former head of Motorola’s (MOT) mobile devices business, Stu Reed, will become senior vice president of Sears’s home services unit. His predecessor was Mark Good. Former Procter & Gamble (PG) senior executive Guenther Trieb will take charge of the Kenmore, Craftsman, and Diehard brands.

Trieb spent 24 years with Procter & Gamble, Co., where he was most recently vice president for the company’s Western European feminine care global business unit. that division has been growing “mid to high single digits” according to PG. Trieb also held a variety of senior leadership roles in brand management, marketing and strategic planning while with Procter & Gamble.

Sears also announced the impending departure of Chief Marketing Officer Maureen McGuire. Senior VP Richard Gerstein, also of the marketing team, will serve as chief marketing officer of Kmart and Sears. This one is a wash.

I think we all agree that the “Big 3” brands are under-monetized currently to what their potential is and the addition of a successful PG exec who has spent 24 years monetizing brands, ought to be good news for shareholders.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long SHLD, none

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Fed Auction Results Released

this is the lowest bid toi cover ration yet…good news.

On August 25, 2008, the Federal Reserve conducted an auction of $75 billion in 28-day credit through its Term Auction Facility. Following are the results of the auction:

Stop-out rate: 2.380 percent

Total propositions submitted: $84.168 billion
Total propositions accepted: $75.000
Bid/cover ratio: 1.12

Number of bidders: 66

Rate seem to be holding steady and the number of bidders, or at least the amount of funds requested is falling. I think we may be able to extrapolate less desperation of financials once the are “un-bided” for funds.

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Fed Minutes Released

Here are some of the key sections.

Growth:

In their discussion of the economic situation and outlook, many FOMC participants noted that recent developments suggested that economic activity was likely to remain damped for several quarters. Although economic growth in the second quarter had apparently been boosted by fiscal stimulus, resilience in consumption spending even before tax rebates were distributed, and robust gains in exports, recent indicators pointed to a near-term deceleration in household spending and to softer export demand. Moreover, increasing concerns about financial institutions had contributed to a widening of some risk spreads and a further tightening of credit to households and businesses. Growth in overall economic activity was generally expected to be weak during the remainder of 2008 before recovering modestly next year, and nearly all meeting participants saw continuing downside risks to growth. Recent readings on inflation had been high, but growth in unit labor costs had remained subdued and commodity prices had declined of late. Accordingly, most participants anticipated that inflation would moderate in coming quarters. However, participants also expressed significant concerns about the upside risks to inflation, particularly the risk that longer-term inflation expectations could become unmoored.

Inflation:

Headline inflation was generally expected to moderate in coming quarters, reflecting importantly an anticipated leveling-out of prices for energy and other commodities. Although measures of core inflation might well edge up later this year, given the pass-through to final goods prices of earlier increases in the prices of energy and other inputs, most participants anticipated that core inflation would edge back down during 2009. Some participants reported that firms were increasingly using various pricing strategies–such as escalation clauses or the imposition of fuel surcharges–to pass higher costs on to their customers, who were apparently becoming less resistant to such price adjustments. However, one participant mentioned the difficult pricing decisions of manufacturers who face a combination of elevated input costs along with weakening demand for their products. And a number of participants noted that the outlook for slack in resource utilization should tend to limit the extent of pass-through, contain the degree of inflation spillover to goods and services without high commodity content, and reinforce the anticipated moderation in inflation.


Full Release

Disclosure (“none” means no position):

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An Einhorn Classic

This is beautiful stuff. David Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital has files a 13D/A in MI Development (MIM) in regards to its investment in Magna Entertainment Corp. (MECA). The letter is classic Einhorn. First he reviews his prior concerns, then lists managements dubious actions, then questions them reminds them of their duty.

First the details, according to the filing:
(a) Greenlight LLC is the beneficial owner of 2,234,000 Class A Shares. Greenlight Inc. is the beneficial owner of 2,466,000 Class A Shares. Mr. Einhorn, as the principal of Greenlight and the Affiliates is the beneficial owner of 5,036,335 Class A Shares.
(b)Greenlight LLC is the beneficial owner of 4.8% of the outstanding Class A Shares. Greenlight Inc. is the beneficial owner of 5.3% of the outstanding Class A Shares. Mr. Einhorn is the beneficial owner of 10.9% of the outstanding Class A Shares. These percentages were determined by dividing the number of Class A Shares beneficially owned by each of the reporting persons by 46,160,564, the number of Class A Shares outstanding as of June 30, 2008, as reported in the Issuer’s Second Quarter Report 2008, filed as an exhibit to Form 6-K on August 8, 2008.

In the accompanying letter, Einhorn says:

Dear Sirs:
We are writing to express our concern about MI Developments’ (“MID”) investment in Magna Entertainment Corp. (“MEC”). Given the dire situation at MEC, the MID Board needs to take the necessary actions to enforce or preserve the value of MID’s $267 million senior debt investment in MEC and not compound the risk to MID by continuing to fund MEC or extending the maturity of existing debt.

It is clear that MEC is in serious financial trouble. According to the MEC press release issued on August 5, 2008, “… the Company has needed and will again need to seek extensions from existing lenders and additional funds in the short-term from one or more possible sources.” MEC’s stock price has fallen over 90% since MID’s Board of Directors claimed in 2005 that it was adopting its own recommendation to direct management to maximize the return on MID’s current and future investments in MEC by examining the funding necessary for MEC’s strategic plan, stabilizing MEC’s capital structure, and assessing all reasonable financing alternatives for MEC. At that time MID’s Board determined that MEC was poised for growth and Frank Stronach expressed a vision that MEC would become the most profitable company in the world.

While we disagreed at the time with the Board’s assessment of MEC’s prospects, MID asserted that this was simply a question about short-term versus long-term value creation and that reasonable people could disagree.

Since Magna spun-off MEC over eight years ago, there has been a favorable environment for the U.S. consumer, and the gaming industry has experienced significant growth. MEC failed to create any value during that favorable part of the cycle. Instead, it has been a case-study in mismanagement and poor resource allocation. Its prospects were dim even before the cycle turned against the U.S. consumer and the gaming industry.

MEC’s situation and prospects are no longer matters on which reasonable people can disagree. The facts are obvious and beyond dispute: MEC has utterly failed as a business enterprise. More money, time and resources will not resuscitate it under Mr. Stronach’s leadership or anyone else he appoints to pursue his so-called vision. After many years of failure, MEC still has no viable business plan.

MEC’s plan to eliminate its debt by December 31, 2008 has also failed. On MEC’s conference call on August 6, 2008 (the “MEC Call”), Mr. Stronach stated “…we do not expect to achieve our previously announced targets of eliminating our debt by December 31, 2008.” In addition, MEC’s 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2008 (the “MEC 10-Q”) states that “…we do not expect to execute the Plan on the originally contemplated schedule, if at all.” (emphasis added). Even MEC’s convertible subordinated bonds that mature shortly are now trading at only fifty cents on the dollar.

The MEC debt reduction plan has been such a dismal failure that according to the MID press release issued on August 8, 2008 (the “MID Release”), MEC’s net debt has actually increased by $21.6 million, from $564.5 million to $586.1 million, during the period from December 31, 2007 to June 30, 2008 when debt reduction was supposed to be MEC’s main priority.

MID’s equity investment in MEC is clearly no longer a strategic investment. Yet in the face of the rapidly deteriorating situation at MEC, the MID Board has continued to extend the maturity of the senior debt owed to it by MEC.

In light of MEC’s financial situation, we would have expected MID to see that MEC took aggressive steps to reduce its debt, or otherwise attempt to stabilize its financial situation. Instead, the MEC 10-Q threatens the abandonment of its plan to sell assets to reduce debt by stating “…given the announcement of the MID reorganization proposal, and pending determination of whether it will proceed, we are in the process of reconsidering whether to sell certain assets that were originally identified for disposition under the Plan.” Mr. Stronach made a similar statement during the MEC Call.

On the MEC Call, in an ominous and thinly veiled threat to the public MID shareholders, Mr. Stronach said “…I have some — call it some chips in my hand which the MID shareholders would like to have. And I have no problems releasing those chips or giving up those chips, providing it’s a fair thing for MEC.”
A reasonable interpretation of this statement in light of Mr. Stronach’s MID reorganization proposal is that Mr. Stronach intends to hold MID hostage until MEC is fully funded and Mr. Stronach has received a very large personal pay-off at the expense of the MID shareholders.

To that end, among other things Mr. Stronach has overseen (1) MID’s failure to implement any of its own 2005 Board approved resolutions; (2) the inexplicable “destruction” of MID’s relationship with its largest customer (Magna) which Mr. Stronach also controls; (3) MID dramatically increasing its exposure to the deteriorating investment in MEC through project financings and bridge loans on which MEC has been unable to perform; and (4) MID and MEC’s repeated failures to implement any recognizable business plan.

MID shareholders have been threatened that if they don’t capitulate to Mr. Stronach’s demands, MID will continue to fail to take any action to create shareholder value and, in fact, will destroy additional value through unlimited support of MEC, including perhaps buying the company. Undoubtedly this is why a majority of them were intimidated enough to support a reorganization proposal that otherwise made no sense.

We at Greenlight will remain vigilant in our efforts to protect ourselves and our fellow minority shareholders from what we believe to be oppressive treatment. We have never before witnessed such overt aggression by a business leader against a company he controls.

Despite Mr. Stronach’s actions and intentions, each and every member of the MID Board of Directors has a fiduciary duty to all of the shareholders of MID, not just to Mr. Stronach, and the Board must explore all of MID’s alternatives with respect to MEC, not just the ones that Mr. Stronach wants. It may be that Mr. Stronach can vote his shares on matters subject to shareholder vote as he wishes. However, there are many protective actions MID’s Board can take that do not require a shareholder vote and would mitigate the harm that Mr. Stronach is trying to inflict on the company.

MID’s Board must stop expending any more funds to prop up the value of the MEC equity, should not bail-out MEC’s subordinated bondholders and should stop coercing (including by failing to take affirmative action to protect shareholders) the MID shareholders into approving Mr. Stronach’s terms. MID’s Board is duty bound to resist Mr. Stronach’s efforts to use MID’s money in this regard.

Given that MEC’s equity is no longer a strategic investment for MID, rather than blindly continuing to extend the maturity of the senior debt, MID should act like an independent third-party lender and explore all of its options with respect to MEC. There are several possible options MID’s Board can implement that would not require Mr. Stronach’s personal support, including foreclosing on the senior debt or marketing its MEC debt position for sale to a third party. MID’s Board of Directors has a fiduciary duty to protect the shareholders of MID, not to focus as Mr. Stronach says on what’s a “fair thing for MEC.”

By continuing to extend the senior debt, rather than exploring all of their options, the MID Board is endangering MID’s senior debt investment in MEC and is making repayment of the debt in full less likely with each passing day.

If MEC fails to repay its debt to MID in full, the members of the MID Board will be held accountable for failing to fulfill their fiduciary duty to the MID shareholders. We minority shareholders are looking to you to protect our interests from Mr. Stronach’s continued irresponsible, uneconomic and self-serving support of MEC.

Mr. Stronach said during the MEC Call, “I wouldn’t throw money in an empty hole.” Why has so much of MID’s money met exactly that fate?

This is what makes Einhorn so good, not only does he seem to have a better handle on the companies he invests in that those who run them do, he, unlike them in many cases has more concern for shareholders than they.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):none

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Tuesday’s Links

Patriotism, Foreclosures, Biden, Sequoia

– If you need to tell folks……you have a major problem.

– Cheap stuff from the bank

– So, this is the guy? Really? Is Obama bent on losing?

– This bears looking into

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Bove on Fuld (video)

Bove in on the tube more recently than either Obama or McCain.

Watch the video:

Bove is right that replacing Lehman (LEH) CEO Dick Fuld will not “fix” Lehman. But, Fuld is responsible for the mess they are in and replacing him would be a step in the right direction to restore investor optimism.

Fuld clearly has not had a grasp on what is happening there, or, does and has been less than forthright with investors. Either scenario ought to remove him from the top spot.

Let’s reverse it. What will keeping him due do to better the situation? Lehman is still going to have to hold a fire-sale with or without him. A move to a new guy might at least stabilize things and give the company, which relies on its reputation for its business some breathing room.

Lord knows it would be hard to make things worse…

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Wells Fargo Doesn’t Want Other’s Junk…Surprised?

Not sure why this is a surprise.

Wells Fargo (WFC) CEO John Stumpf said in an interview with the Financial Times.

Stumpf quashed repeated speculation that Wells, the fifth largest US bank, would take advantage of the collapse in the shares of many rivals to clinch a large deal.

“A large transformational [deal] is highly unlikely. Not impossible, but highly unlikely,” Mr Stumpf said. “We don’t need to do a deal. Organic growth is the core growth engine in this company.”

Market talk has linked the San Francisco bank with a number of rivals including Wachovia and Washington Mutual.

Wells was seen as a buyer because, in spite of suffering $3bn in credit-related losses, it has a strong balance sheet and has remained profitable throughout the crisis.

Its share price has outperformed the sector and its market value is about equal to that of the much bigger Citigroup (C).

As the only US bank with a top-notch triple A credit rating, Wells would also be able to borrow funds at advantageous rates.

Mr Stumpf noted that since the 1998 merger between Norwest and Wells Fargo, the group had eschewed large acquisitions, preferring to focus on bolt-on purchases of companies in the western states.

“We come from a culture where bigger is not better. You get bigger by being better, you don’t get better by being bigger,” he said, adding that Wells was also unlikely to stray from its western focus by buying on the East Coast.

Did anyone really think the WFC was going to go dumpster diving for Wachovia (WB) or Washington Mutual (WM)? Really?

Let’s look at the last big deal WFC did a decade ago now when it merged with Norwest. The merger at the time was considered a “merger of equals” in the press release.

At the time WFC CEO Richard Kovacevich said, “This merger of equals will bring together two high performing companies with complementary businesses, products, technology, markets and customers,” said Kovacevich. “It will be a leading franchise in the western United States with all the resources necessary to meet all of our customers’ financial needs and serve them when, where and how they want to be served.”

At the time, WFC shareholders, after the merger owned 52.5% of the new company and Norwest holders owned 47.5%.

I can’t imagine how anyone in their right mind would consider a WFC purchase of either the rumored banks above would garner even the most remote similarity. Could they? What would WFC give WaMu shareholders in a deal? Free checking?

As a matter of fact, can anyone find a WFC deal in which they bought desperate operations? I can’t and that is probably the reason they are not in the same boat as other banks now.

It is kind of like sitting here wondering what tech company Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A) Warren Buffett will buy, he won’t and WFC doesn’t do bad deals.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WFC, WB,C, none

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Monday’s Links

Thank you, Buffett, Schumer, Fed

– A thank you to the Wall St. Journal for the mention.

– The best quote from Friday’s Buffettpaloosa

– His cheap politics has damaged housing almost as bad as the lousy loans

– Isn’t what they should do?

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American Express or Wells Fargo, What Did Buffett Buy?

After Buffett teased the investing world Friday saying he bought more of either Wells Fargo (WFC) or American Express, folks are speculating as to which one he bought. I was under the impression Buffett and Bekshire (BRK.a) had virtually tapped out their ability to buy more American Express (AXP) shares.

After buying 13% of the outstanding total, in 1995 Buffett agreed to the following in a letter to the Chairman Harvey Golub. The letter said Berkshire would not:

(1) acquire or retain shares that would cause its ownership of
American Express** voting securities to equal or exceed 15% of the amount
outstanding (if at such time Berkshire Hathaway has a representative on the
Board of Directors of American Express as allowed by section 4 hereof), or
otherwise acquire or retain shares that reflect ownership or more than 17% of
the amount outstanding; _provided_ that for the purposes of this commitment
shares held by officers or directors of Berkshire Hathaway shall be aggregated
with shares held by Berkshire Hathaway;

Now, Berkshire does not currently have board representation on Amex (unless I missed a recent change) so if Buffett bought more, it would only be less than 2% of the total outstanding in order to comply with the agreement. I do not think that this agreement has been altered or changed, it may have been but I do not see where. If anyone know where it as, please let me know.

We know Buffett bought more Wells Fargo this spring at prices higher than current ones saying he saw value at those prices. If he think there is value there, he must logically see more now.

Of course Amex share did plunge earlier this summer, presenting a great buying opportunity, it is just that there isn’t much more buying Warren can do under the agreement.

We’ll find out in short order what he added, my bet is more Wells Fargo.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):Long WFC, None

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Wallace Weitz Disucsses His Investment Approach

Weitz discusses his Berkshire (BRK.A) approach to investing.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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Home Depot or Lowe’s or Neither?

Both Home depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW) reported last week and the news was better than expected for Lowe’s and worse for Home Depot.

Lowe’s (LOW) reported net earnings of $938 million for the quarter ended August 1, 2008, a 7.9 percent decline from the same period a year ago. Diluted earnings per share declined 4.5 percent to $0.64 from $0.67 in the second quarter of 2007. For the six months ended August 1, 2008, net earnings declined 12.1 percent to $1.54 billion while diluted earnings per share declined 8.7 percent to $1.05.

Sales for the quarter increased 2.4 percent to $14.5 billion, up from $14.2 billion in the second quarter of 2007. For the six months ended August 1, 2008, sales increased 0.7 percent to $26.5 billion. Comparable store sales for the second quarter declined 5.3 percent and declined 6.7 percent in the first half of 2008.

“Our sales results for the quarter, while better than our forecast, reflect the realities of the continuing macro economic pressures on our industry,” commented Robert A. Niblock, Lowe’s chairman and CEO.

Home Depot reported fiscal 2008 second quarter consolidated net earnings of $1.2 billion, or $0.71 per diluted share, compared with $1.6 billion, or $0.81 per diluted share, in the same period in fiscal 2007. Earnings per diluted share from continuing operations in the second quarter of fiscal 2008 were $0.71, compared to $0.77 per diluted share in the second quarter of fiscal 2007, a decrease of 7.8 percent.

Sales for the second quarter totaled $21.0 billion, a 5.4 percent decrease from the second quarter of fiscal 2007, reflecting negative comparable store sales of 7.9 percent, offset in part by sales from new stores.

“We continue to see pressure on our market and the consumer, generally,” said Frank Blake, chairman & CEO. “Despite the macroeconomic conditions, we saw improved execution in our merchandising and operations initiatives during the past quarter. I am very proud of what our associates have accomplished in a difficult environment,” said Blake.

Neither report ought to have investors optimistic although I guess they are less despondent than they were same time last year when comps were dropping double digits.

Is it time to get into either? Do they offer a compelling value proposition at these levels?

I think it is safe to say that housing will lag well into if not past 2009 before it bottoms and turns. The CEO’s of both Toll Brothers (TOLL) and Hovnanian (HOV) feel this way which probably means past 2009 since one would expect both to be on the optimistic side. If that is true, then there ought to be no hurry to purchase shares of either Lowe’s or Home Depot since this means at best their results will stagnate and most likely continue to decline.

Should housing continue its unabated decline, a very possible scenario, then one ought to expect considerably more downside to results and shares prices.

If you are of the “2009 bottom” crowd and want to get in now, who to pick? Home Depot is considerably larger but Lowe’s is the better run company. During the current downturn Lowe’s has been steadily picking up market shares at Home Depot’s expense, has a better net profit margin, operating margin, EBITD margin and return on average assets.

Home Depot advocate will argue its scale, higher dividend and “potential” make it a better value investment than Lowe’s.

All that is true but here is the thing. Management and the Board haven’t done anything to instill confidence in investors that they have the ability to unlock that potential. That, if true, makes Home Depot a classic value trap, a company that through every stock screen and analysis ought to be the better investment based on the numbers but due to management, never succeeds at realizing those expected results.

It is kind of like having a car race in which two racers, one in a Mustang and the other in a Prius face off. By every measure the Mustang ought to win but if its driver cannot manage a manual transmission, the Prius will win the race. Thus is the Home Depot dilemma.

Before I would be willing to wager a penny on the company, they need to show some type of direction. From the selling of the supply division (most of it anyway), the ill conceived stock repurchase plan, still bloated management and only now slowing capex plans one would have a hard time arguing Blake & Co. are on top of the situation.

When you contrast those event with the steady, almost uninteresting progress executing a well designed plan at Lowe’s, the “which one to buy” argument becomes clearer.

I am in the “past 2009 housing bottom” camp now and would avoid both, but, if you disagree, Lowe’s seems to be the better choice.

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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The Week’s Top Stories at VIN

Here are the Top 15 this week at Value Investing News

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Joe Biden on Obama and McCain

Ignore what others say and listen to what the man himself says..

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Blackberry Bold Video

The kjuch talked about new offering from Research in motion (RIMM)

Disclosure (“none” means no position):None

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